Tag: Yankees Guardians odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

ALCS Game 5: New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians meet in Game 5 of the best-of-7 ALCS Saturday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (TBS / truTV / Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

ALCS: Yankees lead 3-1; Yankees won regular-season series 4-2

After a wild Game 3, it seemed like nothing could top it. But, Game 4 was pretty wild in its own right.

The Yankees had a 6-2 lead at the 7th-inning stretch, but the Guardians posted 3 in the bottom of the frame to make things interesting. A squibber to the pitcher ended up being too hard to handle, and Cleveland tied it up heading to the 9th in front of a raucous crowd at Progressive Field.

However, the Yankees managed to get to closer Emmanuel Clase for a 2nd straight night as he allowed 2 ER and 3 H in his inning of work to take the loss in Jose Mesa-esque fashion when it mattered most.

DH Giancarlo Stanton had a titanic 3-run HR in the top of the 6th for New York’s biggest hit, while 1B Josh Naylor collected 3 RBIs and 3B Jose Ramirez drove in a pair of runs for Cleveland’s big blows.

Now, New York is just a win away from punching its ticket to the World Series, while Cleveland is on the brink of elimination, needing 3 straight victories.

Yankees at Guardians projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Tanner Bibee

Rodon (16-9, 3.96 ERA) made 32 regular-season starts. He had a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 175 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H (1 solo HR), 0 BB, 9 K in 5-2 home victory in Game 1 of ALCS Monday
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): 7-7, 4.69 ERA (94 IP, 49 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 30 BB, 104 K, .261 opponents’ batting average in 18 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians (regular season): 8-5, 2.81 ERA (125 IP, 39 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 19 starts (21 appearances)
  • Didn’t face Cleveland in 2024 regular season
  • 2024 postseason: 1-1, 4.66 ERA (9 2/3 IP), 1.03 WHIP, 16 K in 2 starts
  • Career postseason: 1-2, 6.57 ERA (12 1/3 IP), 1.46 WHIP, 19 K in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance

Bibee (12-8, 3.47 ERA) made 31 regular-season starts. He had a 1.12 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 173 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 1 1/3 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 5 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 6-3 road loss in Game 2 of ALCS Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits (regular season): 5-4, 4.15 ERA (89 IP, 41 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 22 BB, 99 K in 16 starts
  • Didn’t face New York in 2024 regular season
  • Career postseason: 0-1, 3.60 ERA (10 IP), 1.70 WHIP, 11 K in 3 starts in 2024

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Yankees at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Guardians +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Guardians +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (+100) are a solid play in this elimination game. Either way, it is likely to be the final game of the season in Cleveland barring a miraculous comeback in this series.

Cleveland’s offense has risen to the occasion at Progressive Field in the 2 games so far, especially in the late innings, but the bullpen has let it down at times, especially in Game 4. That’s the risk here.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a super conservative bettor, GUARDIANS +1.5 (-175) is not priced out of line for some insurance. Ultimately, it might be the better play, but if you like Cleveland, the better value is playing it straight up behind its ace Bibee.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-120) is the lean in Game 4, but go lightly.

With Cleveland’s season on the line, we could see the offense tighten up a bit. And, for New York, it could struggle to plate as many runs, too. It’s always toughest to get that final win in a series. Look for good pitching, solid defense and runs to be at a premium.

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ALCS Game 4: New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians meet in Game 4 of the best-of-7 ALCS Friday. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (TBS / truTV / Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

ALCS: Yankees lead 2-1; Yankees won regular-season series 4-2

New York dropped its first game of the series with a 7-5 tenth-inning loss Thursday as a -102 underdog. CF Aaron Judge (1-for-5, 2 RBIs) and DH Giancarlo Stanton (1-for-3, 1 RBI) hit back-to-back 8th-inning homers off All-Star RP Emmanuel Clase to give the Yankees a temporary 4-3 lead.

Trailing 5-3, Guardians RF Jhonkensy Noel hit a pinch-hit 2-run HR with 2 outs in the bottom of the 9th to extend the game for Cleveland. With 2 outs and 1 on in the bottom of the 10th, 1B David Fry cashed Guardians (-106) tickets with a walk-off 2-run homer to left-center field.

Yankees at Guardians projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. RHP Gavin Williams

Gil (15-7, 3.50 ERA) made 29 regular-season starts. The rookie had a 1.19 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 151 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 9-4 home setback against Pittsburgh Pirates Sept. 28
  • 2024 vs. Guardians: 0-0, 1 home start (Aug. 20), 3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 6 BB, 3 K in 9-5 loss in 12 innings
  • Career vs. Guardians: 0-1, 6.14 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 6 H, 10 BB, 9 K in 2 starts

Williams (3-10, 4.86 ERA) made 16 regular-season starts. He had a 1.37 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 76 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 BB, 3 K in 2-1 loss at St. Louis Cardinals Sept. 22
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 1 road start (Aug. 22), 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 6-0 loss

Yankees at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Guardians +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Guardians +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Guardians 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There is better value on the Yankees’ run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+145).

New York has had a clear advantage in this series, scoring 5 or more runs in each game, while Cleveland has scored 3 or fewer in 2 of the 3.

Cleveland was able to rally behind its home crowd Thursday, but it will be unable to do the same Friday. With Gil on the mound, expect the Guardians to struggle on offense.

Each of New York’s last 3 wins have come by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Yankees have a powerful offense. They’ve scored 5 or more runs in 3 straight games and are 5-3-1 O/U in their last 9.

Cleveland may not be able to keep up Friday, but expect it to score enough to tip the total. It has scored 3 or more runs in 4 of its last 5 games.

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ALCS Game 3: New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians meet in Game 3 of their best-of-7 ALCS Thursday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 5:08 p.m. ET (TBS / truTV / Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

ALCS: Yankees lead 2-0; Yankees won regular-season series 4-2

The Yankees doubled up the Guardians 6-3 in Game 2 Tuesday, cashing as a moderate favorite (-159) with the Over (7) cashing behind Yankees SP Gerrit Cole (4 1/3 IP, 2 ER) and 4 relievers (4 2/3 IP, 1 ER). New York led wire to wire, with CF Aaron Judge swatting a 2-run HR and finishing with 3 RBIs.

While New York was just 2-for-10 with runners in scoring position in Game 2, Cleveland went 0-for-7 RISP.

The Guardians received a solo HR from 3B Jose Ramirez in the top of the 9th, but he is just still 4-for-24 (.167) with a 2B, 2 solo HRs, 2 RBIs, 4 runs and an SB in 7 postseason games.

Yankees at Guardians projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. LHP Matthew Boyd

Schmidt (5-5, 2.85 ERA) made 16 regular-season starts. He had a 1.18 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 85 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 win at Kansas City Royals in Game 3 of the ALDS Oct. 9 — only 2024 postseason appearance
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): 3-3, 1.39 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 17 BB, 46 K, .211 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians (regular season): 1-0, 3.52 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.89 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 in 3 starts (4 appearances)
  • 2024 vs. Guardians (regular season): 1 start, win, 5 IP, 1 ER (2 R), 3 H, 5 BB, 7 K in 3-2 road victory April 13
  • Career postseason: 0-2, 6.43 ERA (7 IP, 5 ER), 1.71 WHIP in 1 start and 3 relief appearances

Boyd (2-2, 2.72 ERA) made 8 regular-season starts. He had a 1.13 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 39 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-3 home victory in Game 5 of the ALDS vs. Detroit Tigers Saturday
  • 2024 home splits (regular season): 1-1, 2.25 ERA (20 IP, 5 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 4 BB, 23 K in 4 starts
  • 2024 vs. Yankees (regular season): 1 start, no-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H (2 HR), 4 BB, 2 K in 9-5 road win in 12 innings Aug. 20
  • 2024 postseason: 0-0, 0.00 ERA , 6 2/3 IP, 3 BB, 10 K, 1.20 WHIP in 2 starts

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Yankees at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Guardians -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+150) | Guardians +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -125 | U: +105)

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Yankees at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 3, Yankees 2

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-105) are worth playing lightly in Game 3 as the home ‘dog as they look to keep their season alive.

Yes, they wouldn’t be eliminated with a loss, but going into a 3-0 hole in a series against the powerful Yankees is basically a death knell.

Cleveland catches a slight break against Schmidt, certainly not the strongest starter in the New York pitching arsenal, and the Yankees were just 21-23 in the regular season vs. left-handers.

Run line/Against the spread

The Guardians +1.5 (-185) will set you back nearly 2 times the potential return. That’s too much risk and not enough reward.

Cleveland should play with some urgency returning home after falling into a 2-0 hole. If you like the Guardians, just play them straight up — on the moneyline.

PASS on the spread.

Over/Under

UNDER 7 (+105) is a solid value at plus-money in Game 3.

We should see a decent pitching performance from the home team as the Yankees struggled against southpaws. Of course, Boyd didn’t go terribly deep into 2 starts for manager Stephen Vogt in the ALDS.

The Over is 3-0-1 in the past 4 games for Cleveland, but just 3-2-2 in 7 postseason games. New York has cashed Unders at a 3-2-1 pace in 6 playoff outings.

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New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (7-4) wrap up a 3-game road series against the Cleveland Guardians (7-5) Wednesday. First pitch at Progressive Field is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Series tied 1-1. New York won the regular-season series 5-1 in 2022 before eliminating Cleveland 3-2 in an AL Division Series.

The Yankees fell behind 2-0 in the 1st inning Tuesday but rolled up 11 unanswered runs in the final 8 innings to level the series at a game apiece. OF Franchy Cordero had the big blow with a 3-run homer in the top of the 3rd inning to open the floodgates.

The Guardians got to RHP Gerrit Cole quickly but the team grabbing the early 2-0 lead ended up never scoring again and losing for the 2nd consecutive day.

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Yankees at Guardians projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Peyton Battenfield

Schmidt (0-0, 9.45 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.10 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 6 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 4 ER on 5 H and 3 BB with 3 K in just 3 1/3 IP in his first road start of the season at the Baltimore Orioles Friday
  • Faced the Guardians Sept. 19, 2021, allowing 3 R (2 ER) on 5 H and 2 BB with 4 K in 2 IP of relief at Yankee Stadium

Battenfield makes his major league debut. He allowed 3 R (2 ER) on 3 H and 1 BB with 3 K across 5 IP in his lone start with Triple-A Columbus this season.

  • Allowed 2 R (1 ER) on 1 H with 3 BB and 4 K across 5 IP in 3 Cactus League spring appearances
  • Went 8-6 with a 3.63 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9, 6.4 K/9 across 153 2/3 IP in 28 starts for Columbus in 2022

Yankees at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:52 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Guardians -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+130) | Guardians +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 7, Yankees 5

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-110) are worth playing at home in the finale.

The Yankees have a pitcher who has been very giving so far this season and the Guardians have a pitcher making his major league debut. This could be a game with a lot of fireworks and plenty of hitting, so fasten your seat belt.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-160) are worth a look if you want a little insurance, as they’re not priced out of line.

It’s hard to bet on either of these sides really, as Schmidt has been hammered in his 2 shortened starts and the Guardians are rolling out a guy who has never toed the slab in the majors. Whatever you decide, go lightly on the side.

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Over/Under

OVER 9.5 (-105) is a big number, but it’s still worth pursuing.

The Yankees took care of the Over on their own Tuesday night. We’ll get a stiff wind blowing 12-15 mph from left to right field, aiding left-handed batters against both Schmidt and Battenfield. We could get some runs quickly.

The Over is 6-2-1 in the past 9 games overall for the Guardians and 4-1 in their past 5 vs. righties.

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New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (6-4) play the 2nd contest of a 3-game road series against the Cleveland Guardians (7-4) Tuesday. First pitch at Progressive Field is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 1-0. New York won the regular-season series 5-1 in 2022 before eliminating Cleveland 3-2 in an AL Division Series.

The Yankees jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the top of the 1st inning Monday, but the offense spigot was slammed shut. New York went scoreless in the final 8 innings while allowing a single run in the bottom of the 2nd, bottom of the 4th and bottom of the 7th on route to a 3-2 loss.

New York is just 1-2 in the second game of a series so far this season.

The Guardians have cashed in back-to-back games at home after losing the first 2 games at Progressive Field this season. Cleveland looks for its 1st 3-game win streak at home since Sept. 28-30 last season.

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Yankees at Guardians projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Huter Gaddis

Cole (2-0, 0.73 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.89 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 13.9 K/9 through 12 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed just 1 ER on 3 H and 3 BB with 8 K across 6 1/3 IP in a win over the Philadelphia Phillies last time out on Wednesday
  • Went 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA, .163 opponent batting average (OBA) and 15 K with 12 2/3 IP in 2 starts vs. Cleveland in 2022

Gaddis (0-0, 3.72 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 9 2/3 IP.

  • Yielded just 1 H and 2 BB across 6 scoreless IP with 4 K last time out in a no-decision at the Oakland Athletics Wednesday
  • Went 0-2 with an 18.41 ERA, 7 HR allowed and 5 K across 7 1/3 IP in 2 home starts last season

Yankees at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Guardians +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+105) | Guardians +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-160) turn to Cole as they look to bounce back after losing the series opener Monday. The 5-time All-Star has been nearly unhittable through his first 2 starts, allowing just 1 ER across 12 1/3 IP.

The Guardians won’t be able to match donuts with the Yankees, as Cole should be able to easily outpitch Gaddis.

Run line/Against the spread

The YANKEES -1.5 (+105) are a value play at plus money. New York will seek to correct its ways after frittering a 2-run lead in the early going Monday.

The Yankees have posted a 4-0 mark in the previous 4 outings following a loss and are 4-1 in the past 5 tries against a right-handed starting pitcher.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) is the lean, ever so slightly.

The Under is 7-1 in the past 8 games for the Yankees against teams with a winning overall record and is 5-2 in their last 7 road games. The Under is also 24-8-1 in the past 33 games following a loss dating back to last season for the Pinstripers.

The Under is 35-17 in Cleveland’s last 52 games against winning teams. The Under is also 19-7 in the past 26 games for the Guardians vs. AL East teams.

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New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (6-3) open a 3-game road series against the Cleveland Guardians (6-4) Monday. First pitch at Progressive Field is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. New York won the regular-season series 5-1 in 2022 before eliminating Cleveland 3-2 in an AL Division Series.

The Yankees took 2 of 3 games in a weekend series at the Baltimore Orioles while cashing the Over twice. New York has won all 3 of its series to date with 2 victories and 1 loss.

The Guardians lost the first 2 games of a home series against the Seattle Mariners over the weekend but won 7-6 in the finale as +119 underdogs. Cleveland has dropped 3 of the past 5 games after opening the season 4-1. The Over is 5-1-1 across the past 7 games.

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Yankees at Guardians projected starters

RHP Domingo German vs. RHP Shane Bieber

German (0-1, 7.71 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 4 ER on 4 H and 0 BB with 8 K across 4 2/3 IP in a loss against the Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday.

  • Last season on the road: 0-4, 3.46 ERA (39 IP, 15 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 30 K, .248 opponent batting average (OBA) in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Last season in night games: 2-4, 3.05 ERA (56 IP, 19 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 40 K, .228 OBA in 10 starts and 1 relief appearance

Bieber (0-0, 2.25 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.83 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 12 IP.

  • Has 2 quality starts (QS) through 2 road outings with just 1 BB with 10 K across 12 IP
  • Allowed 3 ER on 3 H with 1 BB with 7 K across 6 IP in an 89-pitch no-decision at the Oakland Athletics Tuesday in his most recent start
  • Last faced the Yankees on April 24, 2021, allowing 2 ER on 4 H and 3 BB with 9 K across 7 IP in a 2-1 loss

Yankees at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Guardians -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-165) | Guardians -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The YANKEES (+120) are a tremendous value as road underdogs. New York dominated the regular-season series in 2022, taking 5 of 6 meetings from Cleveland. That includes 2 wins in a 3-game set at Progressive Field in the regular season on July 2-3 as the Yankees outscored the Guardians 19-7.

Run line/Against the spread

YANKEES +1.5 (-165) aren’t terribly overpriced if you want a little insurance and can’t bring yourself to play New York straight up.

New York has won 4 of the past 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers and has won 57 of its last 77 tries against AL Central foes, a .740 winning percentage.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-105) is the lean.

The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games on the road for the Yankees and is 6-1 in their past 7 against teams with a winning record. The Under is also 5-2 in the past 7 series openers for New York dating back to last season.

The Under is 13-3 in the past 16 games for the Guardians against AL East foes while cashing at a 9-3 clip in the past 12 against teams with a winning percentage greater than .600.

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ALDS Game 4: New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees and the Cleveland Guardians meet in Game 4 of an AL Division Series at Progressive Field Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Best-of-5 series: Guardians lead 2-1
Regular-season series: Yankees won 5-1

The Guardians pulled off a 6-5 walk-off, home victory in Game 3 Saturday that will likely be remembered by Cleveland fans forever.

The Guardians trailed 5-3 in the bottom of the 9th with 1 out and no one on base. Four consecutive singles later, the deficit was cut to 5-4 and the bases were loaded. After a strikeout for the 2nd out, rookie RF Oscar Gonzalez came through again, hitting a 1-2 pitch to center for a 2-run, walk-off single. It was just 7 days earlier when he homered in the bottom of the 15th for a 1-0 walk-off, AL Wild Card Series-clinching victory vs. the Tampa Bay Rays.

Now, the Guardians are 1 win away from dispatching the Yankees and advancing to the ALCS where the top-seeded Houston Astros await.

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Yankees at Guardians projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Cal Quantrill

Cole (13-8, 3.50 ERA) made 33 regular-season starts. He had a 1.02 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 200 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed just 1 ER, 4 H and 1 BB with 8 K in 6 1/3 IP in a Game 1 win in New York
  • Went 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and a 1.63 opponent batting average and 15 K across 12 2/3 IP in 2 starts vs. Cleveland in the regular season

Quantrill (15-5, 3.38 ERA) had a 1.21 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 186 1/3 IP in 32 regular-season starts.

  • In Game 1 loss in New York: 5 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 4 H, 2 HR, 3 BB
  • Was perfect in 19 home starts during the regular season: 9-0 with a 3.28 ERA with a .234 opponent BA in 112 1/3 IP

Yankees at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Guardians +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+105) | Guardians +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: -101)

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Yankees at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 3, Guardians 1

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-175) pulled the armored car up to Cole’s house and gave him that bag just for games like this. He was dominant in Game 1, and the pressure is ratcheted up even further here.

Unless the Guardians (+140) pull out all the stops and bring Billy Crystal out for a pregame ceremony, Cole should pitch well and remain focused for the win. It’s all on the table for Cleveland to pull the series upset, but Cole will force this series back to New York for a decisive Game 5.

Run line/Against the spread

YANKEES -1.5 (+105) is worth a small-unit play. Cole pitched the Yankees to a 4-1 win in Game 1 in the Bronx, as the Guardians just couldn’t solve the right-hander then. They’ll have difficulty at home, too, as Cole grabs the big win.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-101) is a strong play, and the best offering on the board, especially at almost even money.

We had a total of just 5 runs in Game 1 with Cole on the mound and with pressure at an all-time high, it is likely we have another pitcher’s duel.

We had a total of just 6 runs in an extra-innings Game 2. And in Game 3, we had 11 total runs. Look for pitching and defense to reign supreme with the Bronx Bombers with their backs to the wall.

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ALDS Game 3: New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians Game 3 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees and the Cleveland Guardians meet in Game 3 of an AL Division Series at Progressive Field Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:37 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Best-of-5 series: Tied 1-1
Regular-season series: Yankees won 5-1

The Yankees took an early lead on a Giancarlo Stanton 2-run HR in the bottom of the first inning of Game 2, but that’s all they could muster. RHP Jameson Taillon allowed 2 runs in the top of the 10th inning as the Guardians used 2 bloop singles and a double to the gap to generate 2 big runs.

The Guardians did what they have been doing all season. They have strong pitching, good work from the bullpen and timely hitting to steal one in the Bronx. It also helped the Cleveland pitching struck out home run king Aaron Judge 4 times in Game 2.

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Yankees at Guardians projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Severino (7-3, 3.18 ERA) had a 1.00 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 102 IP in 19 regular-season starts.

  • Was 3-2 with a 3.22 ERA and .171 opponent batting average with 49 K across 50 1/3 IP in 9 road outings
  • Hasn’t pitched since Oct. 3 when he allowed just 1 BB with 7 K in 7 hitless IP in a win at Texas

McKenzie (11-11, 2.96 ERA) made 30 regular-season starts and 1 relief appearance. He had a 0.95 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 191 1/3 IP.

  • Went 5-3 with a 2.77 ERA and .196 opponent BA with 96 K and just 7 HR allowed across 81 1/3 IP in 13 home starts
  • The Brooklyn native allowed just 1 H, 1 BB and 7 K across 7 scoreless IP in a 2-0 win over the Yankees July 3

Yankees at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Guardians +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Guardians +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 2, Yankees 1

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (+100) are worth playing as short ‘dogs at home in Game 3.

Severino hasn’t pitched in nearly 2 weeks, and there might be a little bit of a rust factor. Still, the Cleveland offense isn’t really built for power, so he should be able to go deep into the game.

Cleveland hasn’t supported McKenzie with a lot of runs, but he has been solid at home regardless, and he did blank the Yankees over 7 IP in his only appearance against them this season.

Run line/Against the spread

Guardians +1.5 (-190) is just too expensive for my liking. If you feel good about Cleveland’s prospects of pushing New York to the brink of elimination here, take it straight up instead.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-105) is the best play on the board. We should see plenty of donuts in this one, even with Severino not having pitched in game action in nearly 2 weeks. He should do well against the light-hitting Guardians, and McKenzie throws smoke. He should hold the New York offense down again.

The Under has cashed in the first 2 games of the series in the Bronx, so why change things up now?

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