New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (18-10) and Milwaukee Brewers (17-9) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Yankees blasted the Brewers 15-3 Saturday to level the series as slight favorites (-110). New York halted a 2-game losing streak. The Yanks have allowed 3 or more runs in 5 straight games, and the Over is on a 3-1 run.

The Brewers have allowed 26 runs in the past 3 games, although they only lost Saturday’s blowout against the Yankees. The Over is on a 3-0 run, as Milwaukee is good for 5.7 runs per game (RPG) in the past 3 outings while allowing 8.7 RPG.

Yankees at Brewers projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Tobias Myers

Stroman (2-1, 2.93 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 27 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 4-3 home victory vs. Oakland Athletics Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 1-0, 1.59 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 4 BB, 6 K in 11 1/3 IP across 2 starts

Myers (0-1, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 1 earned run on 4 hits (1 HR) and 1 walk with 4 K’s in his MLB debut, a 2-1 loss at the Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday.

  • 2024 stats with Triple-A Nashville: 1-1, 1.62 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.08 WHIP in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Making his first career home start

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Yankees at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:26 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Brewers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+120) | Brewers +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-140) are worth a look as moderate favorites in the interleague series finale.

New York pounded the Brewers (+115) in Saturday’s outing, and it has won 6 of the past 10 outings. The offense has been sink or swim lately, going for 5 or more runs in 6 of the past 10 outings, but it has 1 or no runs in 3 of those games, too.

Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers +1.5 (-145) aren’t a terrible play if you’d like a little bit of insurance and don’t like Milwaukee straight up. However, the only drawback is Myers. He is a bit of a wild card, as this is his first-ever home start and just his second career outing in the show. Facing the Yankees could be a mess, especially after they rolled up 15 runs Saturday.

AVOID, and just focus on the moneyline.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) is the lean, but only play a half-unit at most.

The Over cashed in the first 2 games of the series, with an average of 15.5 RPG. Even if we have substantially fewer runs, the way things have gone, we shouldn’t have trouble getting to 9 combined runs.

The Over has hit in 3 in a row for Milwaukee, with 12 or more runs in each of the outings.

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New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (17-10) and Milwaukee Brewers (17-8) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at American Family Field Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0

The Yankees, who were -134 favorites, lost 7-6 in the series opener Friday with the Over (9) hitting in Milwaukee. New York has lost 2 straight for the 1st time since a 3-game skid from April 14-16.

Four runs were driven in by 3B Joey Ortiz of the Brewers, who cashed as +124 underdogs. He walked it off with an RBI single in the 11th to give Milwaukee its 3rd straight win.

Yankees at Brewers projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodón vs. RHP Joe Ross

Rodón (1-1, 2.70 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 26 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 2-0 home loss vs. Oakland A’s Monday
  • Career vs. Brewers: 0-1, 3.27 ERA (11 IP, 4 ER), 1.82 WHIP in 3 starts

Ross (1-2, 4.05 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 20 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-2 loss at Pittsburgh Pirates Monday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-0, 3.60 ERA (5 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 5 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 3-2 road loss with Washington Nationals May 9, 2021

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Yankees at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+135) | Brewers +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Brewers 3

Moneyline

While I like the Yankees to bounce back after losing 2 straight games, I’m more confident in Rodón’s ability to limit the Brewers offense in the 1st 5 innings. He hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in a start this season and pitched 7 scoreless innings last time out.

BET YANKEES FIRST 5 INNINGS (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

Taking the Yankees to win by multiple runs after back-to-back losses seems a little aggressive, and Brewers +1.5 is too expensive at -165.

PASS. Bet New York in the 1st 5 innings and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

If Rodón picks up where he left off against the A’s, then it’s unlikely that the Brewers will score more than 3 runs. Add in the fact that the Yankees have scored 4 or fewer in 6 of their last 11 games, and we have a decent shot at seeing fewer than 8.5 runs Saturday.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (17-9) take on the Milwaukee Brewers (16-8) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at American Family Field at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 2-1 last year

The Yanks dropped Thursday’s tilt 3-1 at home against the Oakland Athletics. They split the 4-game series and scored 1 total run in the 2 losses. The Yankees are 5-5 over their last 10 games. OF Aaron Judge has yet to find his stroke, hitting just .186 with 4 HRs and 13 RBIs.

The Brew Crew took the final 2 of a 4-game series in Pittsburgh. They won 7-5 Thursday and sit atop the NL Central. C William Contreras is tearing the cover off the ball, hitting .365 with 5 HRs and 22 RBIs.

Yankees at Brewers projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. RHP Colin Rea

Gil (1-1, 2.75 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 7.8 BB/9 and 13.3 K/9 in 19 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 9 K Sunday against Tampa Bay Rays
  • Has never faced Milwaukee
  • Leads the league with 17 BB

Rea (2-0, 2.08 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 21 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K Sunday against St. Louis Cardinals
  • 2 career starts vs. Yankees: 1-0, 2.53 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 11 K in 10 2/3 IP

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Yankees at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Brewers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+135) | Brewers +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Brewers 3

Moneyline

We have a clash between 2 very different pitchers. Gil, who has walked the ballpark, touches 97 on his fastball. He has a 2.94 FIP, which is fielding independent pitching and measures a pitcher’s ability to prevent homers, free passes and create strikeouts.

Rea will consistently be around 92, and despite having a 2.08 ERA, his FIP is 4.02. I look for the Yankees to jump on Rea. His 2.53 ERA against the Yanks looks great, but one start was in 2016.

Take the YANKEES -125.

Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers scored 7 runs Thursday, but they scored just 8 runs in the previous 4 games. While the Yankees are inconsistent offensively, they have plated 4+ runs in 6 of 10 games.

Take the YANKEES -1.5 (+135).

Over/Under

Rain is expected, which means the roof should be closed. Each team is 4-6 O/U over the last 10 games. In 3 games in this park in late 2022, we had totals of 20, 5 and 13.

I’ll take the OVER 8.5 (-115).

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New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (87-57) and Milwaukee Brewers (77-67) meet Saturday night to continue a 3-game interleague series. The battle at American Family Field is scheduled for an 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Milwaukee leads 1-0. The Brewers took Friday’s game by a score of 7-6.

New York had a 4-game win streak snapped Friday. But a Yankees offense that has often struggled in the season’s 2nd half continued to log productive at-bats. The ballclub owns an .847 OPS over its last 5 games and a .795 mark over its last 10.

The Brewers are 6-2 over their last 8 games. Milwaukee owns a robust 13-5 record over its last 18 games at home.

New York is 7-9 in interleague play this season while Milwaukee is 14-4.

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Yankees at Brewers projected starters

RHP Jameson Taillon vs. RHP Brandon Woodruff

Taillon (13-4, 3.94 ERA) is tabbed for his 29th start. He has logged a 1.13 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 153 IP.

  • Current Milwaukee batters own a small-sample, aggregate .633 OPS against him
  • Facing a Brewers’ lineup that has been much more dangerous against right-handers (.751 OPS) than against lefties (.665 OPS)
  • Has a history of September surges: over his career has allowed a .660 OPS in September/October regular-season games

Woodruff (10-4, 3.39 ERA) has authored a 1.12 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 127 1/3 IP across 23 starts.

  • Draws a right-leaning Yankee batting order. Woodruff has been tougher against lefty bats the last 3 years.
  • Has clocked a 2.40 ERA, 0.90 WHIP across his last 30 IP at home

Yankees at Brewers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -125 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-200) | Brewers -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Yankees at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Yankees 3

Money line

Woodruff has been a click better than Taillon this season. Of late, that margin has been perhaps 2 clicks.

Add in a tad more bullpen fatigue on the Yankee side of the aisle, and mix in the Brewers’ proficiency against right-handers.

There is value in MILWAUKEE (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Likable Under. Both clubs play a lot of 1-run games.

Over/Under

Both pitchers excel in keeping their respective clubs in games without suffering a lot of clunkers. Both bullpens have a platoon advantage: New York relievers excel against lefty bats; Milwaukee relievers excel against righties.

Tab the UNDER 7.5 (-122) as being worth a partial-unit play (full-unit action at -120 or better).

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New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (87-56) visit the Milwaukee Brewers (76-67) for a 3-game interleague series beginning Friday. The opening contest at American Family Field is scheduled for an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting since 2017; series tied 6-6 since 2005

New York has won 4 consecutive games. A Yankees offense that has often struggled in the season’s 2nd half has slashed a high-contact .282/.348/.493 (.841 OPS) in the 4 victories.

The Brewers are 5-2 inross their last 7 games with a 3.63 ERA over that stretch. For the season, Brewer pitching ranks 15th in MLB with a 3.91 ERA.

New York is 7-8 in interleague play this season while Milwaukee is 13-4.

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Yankees at Brewers projected starters

RHP Frankie Montas vs. RHP Adrian Houser

Montas (5-12, 3.89 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 141 IP.

  • Has a 5.94 ERA since being acquired from the Athletics at the trade deadline (had a 3.18 ERA with Oakland)
  • Has not pitched since last Friday and owns a 4.67 ERA in his career when pitching on 6-plus days’ rest

Houser (6-9, 4.61 ERA) has appeared in 19 games, making 18 starts. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 91 2/3 IP.

  • Owns a 6.12 ERA in his last 7 starts
  • Has a 3.21 ERA at home

Yankees at Brewers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:49 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Brewers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+133) | Brewers +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Yankees at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Brewers 3

Money line

In a move toward Montas and fading Houser … and a move toward a Yankees offense that owns a .793 OPS in its last 9 games, TAKE NEW YORK (-130). Consider backing off from a full-unit play unless the price dips to -125 or better.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Both clubs play a lot of 1-run games.

Over/Under

TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (-130).

Both clubs come in after a much-needed-by-the-bullpens off day. Peg Montas as being ready to move forward with a few return-to-form efforts down the stretch.

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