The New York Yankees (31-22, 2nd in AL East) begin an important four-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays (27-26, 3rd in AL East) Monday at Sahlen Field in Buffalo (Toronto’s home park for the 2020 season). First pitch is set for 6:37 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Yankees-Blue Jays betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Yankees at Blue Jays: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Mike King vs. RHP Matt Shoemaker
King: 1-1, 8 games (3 starts), 6.75 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 7.5 K/9, 3.8 BB/9, 24 IP
- Hasn’t gone deeper than 4 innings in any of his 3 starts this season. Threw 74 pitches in a Sept. 4 start against the Baltimore Orioles with 4 hits, 3 earned runs, 2 walks and 3 strikeouts.
- Has a 6.35 ERA in 11 1/3 innings as a starter compared to a 7.11 mark over 12 2/3 innings through 5 relief appearances.
Shoemaker: 0-1, 5 starts, 4.91 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 8.8 K/9, 2.5 BB/9, 25 2/3 IP
- Making his first appearance since Aug. 21 after spending a stint on the injured list due to a back injury.
- Went at least 4 innings in each of his 5 outings this season but has given up a total of 8 home runs and 15 runs (14 earned).
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Yankees at Blue Jays: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Blue Jays
- RP Rafael Dolis (knee) questionable
- OF Derek Fisher (knee) out
- RP Ken Giles (elbow) out
- RP Jordan Romero (finger) out
- 1B Rowdy Tellez (knee) out
Yankees at Blue Jays: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:37 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Yankees 9, Blue Jays 8
Money line (ML)
The YANKEES (-139) outscored the Blue Jays (+125) 43-15 in a three-game sweep last week at Yankee Stadium. Toronto took two of three in the previous series in Buffalo, but that was against a depleted Yankees lineup and the Bronx Bombers fully redeemed themselves at full strength in the second meeting.
New York holds a four-game lead on second place in the AL East. It won 10 straight games prior to a 10-2 loss to the Boston Red Sox Sunday. Toronto snapped a six-game losing skid with a 6-3 win over the Philadelphia Phillies Sunday.
Take the YANKEES (-139).
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Yankees to win returns a profit of $7.19.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Get some insurance in what should be a high-scoring game with the BLUE JAYS +1.5 (-121) on the run line. Neither starter should go much more than 4 or 5 innings Monday. The two bullpens are both middle-third units in MLB with ERAs above 4.30.
Over/Under (O/U)
What seems to be the safest play in this contest is the OVER 11 (-110) on the highest projected total of Monday’s baseball slate.
The head-to-head season series is 4-2 against the Over/Under.
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