Commissioner’s Cup Final: Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Lynx (13-3) and New York Liberty (15-3) meet Tuesday in the Commissioner’s Cup Final. Tip-off from UBS Arena in Elmont, N.Y., is slated for 8 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Lynx vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Lynx lead 1-0

The Lynx head to Long Island on a roll, winning 6 consecutive games, while covering 4 of those outings. Minnesota has an impressive 12-4 against the spread (ATS) mark on the season. That includes an 84-67 home win May 25 vs. New York as a 7-point home underdog with the Under (167.5) cashing.

Minnesota shot 47.8% (32-of-67) from the field in the 1st meeting vs. New York, while going a blistering 50.0% (14-of-28) from behind the 3-point line. The Lynx have a plus-5 rebounding margin, and 8 more assists than the Liberty. F Napheesa Collier scored 15 points with 12 rebounds for the double-double, while adding 4 assists, 2 blocked shots and 2 steals.

New York has racked up 3 straight wins, while winning 11 of the past 12 outings. The Liberty have scored 90 or more points in each of the past 6 games, and the Over is 6-1 in the previous 7 contests.

This game won’t count in the regular-season standings with it being the Commissioner’s Cup Final.

Lynx at Liberty odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Lynx +186 (bet $100 to win $186) | Liberty -235 (bet $235 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Lynx +5 (-112) | Liberty -5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 162.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Lynx at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 89, Lynx 86

Moneyline

New York (-235) will cost 2.35 times your potential return. That’s too much risk for not enough reward, at least as a standalone wager. As part of a Same-Game Parlay (SGP), playing the moneyline coupled with the total isn’t a bad play.

PASS as far as a straight-up bet is concerned.

Against the spread

Taking MINNESOTA +5 (-112) with the points is the way to go. These 2 teams are rolling with New York on a 3-game win streak and 11 of its last 12, while Minnesota enters on a 6-game win streak.

It’s hard to forget what happened exactly 1 calendar month ago when the Lynx embarrassed the Liberty 84-67 in the Twin Cities as 7-point underdogs.

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Over/Under

OVER 162.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.

While the Lynx defense has been amazing lately, allowing just 57.5 PPG in the past 2 games against the Phoenix Mercury and Atlanta Dream, the offense has been on fire. Minnesota has piled up 80 or more points in 8 of its past 10 outings.

For the Liberty, they’ve scored 90 or more points in 6 consecutive contests, while allowing at least 80 points in 5 of the past 6 outings. The total has gone high in 4 in a row, and 6 of the past 7 contests.

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Connecticut Sun at Seattle Storm odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Connecticut Sun at Seattle Storm odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Connecticut Sun (13-2) visit the Seattle Storm (9-6) on Sunday with tip-off from Climate Pledge Arena scheduled for 3 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun vs. Storm odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Sun won all 3 meetings in 2023

Connecticut had a 4-game winning streak snapped on Friday with an 85-74 loss against the Las Vegas Aces as a 5-point road underdog. G Dijonai Carrington scored a team-high 19 points while F Brionna Jones (18) was the only other Sun player to score in double figures. The Sun shot 42.6% from the field in the loss.

Seattle has lost back-to-back games after falling 94-83 against Las Vegas on Wednesday as a 6.5-point road underdog. F Nneka Ogwumike scored a team-high 21 points while C Ezi Magbegor had a double-double  (19 points, 13 rebounds). The Storm shot 44.3% from the field in the loss.

Sun at Storm odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:39 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Sun +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Storm -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Sun +1.5 (-105) | Storm -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 156.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Sun at Storm picks and predictions

Prediction

Sun 80, Storm 74

Moneyline

BET SUN (+105).

The Sun are 13-2 this season and have only lost 1 game on the road. They are 3-0 in their last 3 games as a single-digit favorite and face a Storm squad that has lost back-to-back games and 3 of its last 5. While the Storm will present a challenge, the Sun have 5 players averaging in double-digits which will prove to be the necessary advantage to win on Sunday.

Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the Connecticut moneyline.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 156.5 (-115).

The Sun have hit the Under in 3 straight games and in 7 of their last 10. They have scored 79 or fewer points in back-to-back games and in 7 of their last 10 while allowing 75 or fewer in 8 of their last 10.

Seattle has scored 78 or fewer points in 3 of its last 6 games while allowing 79 or fewer points in 5 of its last 10 games.

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Indiana Fever at Chicago Sky odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Indiana Fever at Chicago Sky odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Indiana Fever (7-10) and Chicago Sky (5-9) meet Sunday at Wintrust Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Fever vs. Sky odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Fever lead 2-0

The Fever have started to piece things together after a 1-8 straight up (SU) start. Indiana has won and covered 4 straight, with the offense going for 88 or more points in each of those contests. The Over is on a 4-0 run as a result.

That win streak includes a 91-83 win over the Sky on June 16 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, as the Fever covered a 2.5-point spread while the Over (168.5) connected.

Indiana shot a blistering 56.5% (35-of-62) in that most recent win over Chicago, while hitting 44.4% (8-of-18) from downtown. The free-throw shooting still needs work, as the Fever was just 68.4% (13-of-19) from the charity stripe.

Indiana had 11 blocked shots, though, including 5 from Aliyah Boston. Meanwhile, Caitlin Clark had 23 points on 7-of-11 shooting, while posting 9 assists, 8 rebounds and 2 blocked shots with 3 triples.

Chicago’s Angel Reese had 11 points and 13 rebounds in a losing effort, while fellow rookie Kamilla Cardoso also had a double-double (10 points,  10 rebounds). Reese ripped down a career-high 18 rebounds in Thursday’s win over the Dallas Wings to set a WNBA rookie record.

Fever at Sky odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:44 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Fever -118 (bet $118 to win $100) | Sky -104 (bet $104 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Fever -1 (-112) | Sky +1 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 169.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Fever at Sky picks and predictions

Prediction

Fever 87, Sky 84

Moneyline

Indiana (-118) hits the road as a favorite for this battle against Chicago (-104) after having won the 1st 2 installments of this budding rivalry. To be fair, both meetings were in Indianapolis.

The Fever put it on the Sky in the most recent meeting last Sunday afternoon, dropping 91 on Chicago, the most points an opponent has scored against the Sky this season.

Look for Clark and her Fever teammates to remain perfect on the season against the Sky. But PASS and bet the moneyline which offers a better price on the Fever.

Against the spread

Bet INDIANA -1 (-112) for all the above reasons at a slightly cheaper price than the moneyline.

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Over/Under

OVER 169.5 (-110) is a decent play in this matinee game in Chitown, but be careful, as we could get a sluggish start before the offense picks up.

The 1st meeting saw a combined 141 points, and that defense came in a game Cardoso was still making her way back from a shoulder injury. The Over-Under is 1-1 in the 2 meetings, both in Indy, so far this season.

The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games for the Sky, while hitting in 4 straight for the Fever.

This is the highest total for Chicago this season. In 2 previous games with a total of 168.5, including the most recent game against Indiana, the Over hit both times.

As far as Indiana is concerned, in games with a total of 167 or higher, the Over is 7-1 in the past 8 tries.

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Phoenix Mercury at Minnesota Lynx odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Phoenix Mercury at Minnesota Lynx odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Phoenix Mercury (8-7) visit the Minnesota Lynx (12-3) Saturday. Tip from Target Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mercury vs. Lynx odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

Phoenix has won back-to-back games after taking down New York and covering as a 5-point home underdog on Tuesday. C Brittney Griner and G Diana Taurasi each scored a team-high 19 points while 6 Mercury players scored in double figures. The Mercury shot 55.1% from the field and 50% from 3 in the win.

Minnesota has won 5 games in a row after taking down Atlanta 68-55 on Wednesday and covering as a 9.5-point home favorite. F Napheesa Collier scored a game-high 16 points while F Dorka Juhasz (10, 11 rebounds) had a double-double. The Lynx shot 35.5% from the field in the win.

Mercury at Lynx odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mercury +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Lynx -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mercury +5.5 (-110) | Lynx -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 165.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mercury at Lynx picks and predictions

Prediction

Lynx 84, Mercury 76

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Lynx (-225) to win its 6th straight game.

Against the spread

BET LYNX -5.5 (-110).

The Lynx have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games as single-digit favorites. They have won 8 of their last 9 games with 7 of the 8 wins coming by double digits including their last game against the Mercury in which they won by 24 points.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 165.5 (-110).

Both the Mercury and Lynx have hit the Under in 6 of their last 10 games with the each team scoring 87 or fewer points in 7 of their last 10. Minnesota has held opponents to 78 or fewer in each of its last 3 and 7 of its last 9.

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Indiana Fever at Atlanta Dream odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Indiana Fever at Atlanta Dream odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Indiana Fever (6-10) and Atlanta Dream (6-7) meet Friday at State Farm Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ION). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Fever vs. Dream odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Fever lead 1-0 with 91-84 victory June 13

The Fever are giving opponents the chills, winners of 4 of 5 after an 88-81 W over the Washington Mystics Wednesday. G Caitlin Clark continues to live up to her “awakened monster” mantra. She had 18 points, 12 boards, 6 assists and 4 steals. She went 2-for-6 from 3-point land and has only cashed her typical Over 2.5 three-pointers prop twice in 7 games. C Aliyah Boston has been a beast inside, averaging 20.5 PPG and 11.8 RPG the last 4 games.

The Dream are just 2-5 this month after a 68-55 loss to the Minnesota Lynx Wednesday. Atlanta was just 19-for-66 (28%) from the field and 4-for-23 (17%) from distance. C Tina Charles has recorded double-doubles in 2 straight games with 14 points and 10 boards Wednesday and 20 points and 11 boards Sunday. She’ll be looking to atone for a snoozefest of a performance against the Fever with 2 points and 6 boards June 13.

Fever at Dream odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:28 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Fever -145 (bet $145 to win $170) | Dream +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread: Fever -2.5 (-115) | Dream +2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 163.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Fever at Dream picks and predictions

Prediction

Fever 81, Dream 74

Moneyline

I like the Fever here, but I prefer the spread.

In the first matchup, Boston matched a career-high with 27 points. Clearly, Indy exploited the matchup underneath. She has hit 27, 19 and 22 in her last 3 games. If you SGP ALIYAH BOSTON 18 POINTS AND 8 REBOUNDS (+210), you have a chance to more than double up.

Against the spread

The Fever have won 3 straight by 8, 8 and 7 points. Those 3 were at home, but they found something in the first meeting that gives me confidence here. Clark only shot 3-for-11 with 7 points, and they still cruised.

Take the FEVER -2.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

The Fever have hit 80+ points in 4 of 5 and eclipsed 88 in 3 straight. The Dream are not nearly as consistent with outputs of 55, 87, 94 and 68 in the last 4. I don’t trust them here to cash an Over.

Take the UNDER 163.5 (-115).

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Connecticut Sun at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Connecticut Sun at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Connecticut Sun (13-1) and Las Vegas Aces (7-6) meet Friday at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ION). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Aces won 2-1 in 2023

The Sun have posted 4 consecutive victories since falling 82-75 at home to the New York Liberty, the team’s only setback of the season. Connecticut won the last time out,  79-70 on Tuesday, although the Los Angeles Sparks posted the cover as a double-digit underdog (+13.5) with the Under connecting (153.5).

The Aces are coming off a 94-83 win over the Seattle Storm on Wednesday night, as Jackie Young rolled up 32 points. She has been on a scoring binge lately, going for 32 or more points in 2 of the past 3 outings, while averaging 25.3 points, 4.7 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 1.0 steals per game in the past 3 contests.

Sun at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Sun +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Aces -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Sun +5.5 (+100) | Aces -5.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 163.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Sun at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Sun 88, Aces 83

Moneyline

CONNECTICUT (+170) has the best record in the WNBA, yet it is a rather substantial underdog in Las Vegas (-210). Take advantage.

The Sun has won all 5 games on the road this season, and defense is a major reason for the team’s overall success. Connecticut leads the league with just 70.7 points per game (PPG) allowed, exactly 4 points less than the next nearest team, the Minnesota Lynx.

The Aces are the top offensive team in the league with 87.4 PPG, so it won’t be easy for the Sun. But Connecticut is playing much better basketball, and it’s a great value at this price point.

Against the spread

CONNECTICUT +5.5 (+100) is worth playing at even-money if you can’t bring yourself to bet it straight up.

Las Vegas -5.5 (-130) is a little on the pricey side laying the points, and it has failed to cover the past 5 outings. The Aces are also 1-4 ATS in the past 5 games at home.

For the Sun, they’ve covered 3 of the past 4 contests, while going 5-0 ATS in 5 road outings.

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Over/Under

OVER 163.5 (-110) is a strong play in Friday’s late-window game.

The total has gone high in 3 of the past 5 games for Connecticut, while also going 3-2 in 5 outings on the road this season.

As far as Las Vegas is concerned, the Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 outings, while going 4-2 in the past 6 outings at home.

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Los Angeles Sparks at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Sparks at New York Liberty odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Sparks (4-11) and New York Liberty (12-3) meet Thursday at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sparks vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Liberty swept series last season 3-0

The Sparks have gotten off to a poor start, and Los Angeles has dropped the past 4 games, while splitting 2-2 against the spread (ATS). The news got worse for LA, too, as rookie F Cameron Brink was lost for the season after suffering a torn anterior cruciate ligament in her left knee Tuesday during a loss to the Connecticut Sun.

The Liberty suffered a 99-93 loss in Phoenix Tuesday, losing outright as 5-point favorites with the Over (171.5) cashing. The setback halted an 8-game win streak and came on the heels of a 5-1 ATS run. The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for New York.

Sparks at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Sparks +900 (bet $100 to win $900) | Liberty -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Sparks +14.5 (-110) | Liberty -14.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 163.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Sparks at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 92, Sparks 73

Moneyline

New York (-1600) will set you back 16 times your potential return, and there is never a reason to back such a huge favorite either on a standalone bet or as part of a multi-leg parlay. Including the Liberty in a parlay would suck all of the value out of the ticket.

While Los Angeles (+900) is tempting at this high price, it’s certain to be a little sluggish with its 1st-round pick and blocked shots leader Brink done for the season.

PASS and concentrate on the spread instead.

Against the spread

NEW YORK -14.5 (-110) is a big number, so be careful. However, the Liberty have a tremendous lineup from top to bottom, and there is a giant crater in the middle of the Los Angeles frontcourt with Brink no longer there swatting shots.

The Sparks are 4-1 ATS this season as double-digit underdogs, but this is their 1st game without their top rookie.

The Liberty will be happy to be back home, although there is risk. New York is just 1-6 ATS at Barclays Center this season.

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Over/Under

OVER 163.5 (-115) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The total has gone Over in 3 of the past 4 games for the Liberty, while hitting in each of the past 3 home outings.

For the Sparks, again, without Brink clogging up the lane, the Liberty should be able to operate in the paint with impunity.

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Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Storm (9-5) and Las Vegas Aces (6-6) meet Wednesday at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Storm vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Storm lead 1-0

The Storm have already hit it big in Vegas, winning 78-65 on June 7 in the 1st head-to-head meeting of the season as huge +285 moneyline underdogs. Seattle was a 7.5-point underdog, and the Under (167.5) easily connected.

Seattle lost last time out in Phoenix 87-78 and it is just 2-2 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the past 4 outings. The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 6 contests, too.

The Aces have dropped 4 of the past 5 outings, while going 0-5 ATS in somewhat of a nosedive. The Under cashed (174) cashed last time out on Saturday, but the Over is still 3-1 in the past 4 outings.

Storm at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:35 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Storm +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Aces -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Storm +7.5 (-120) | Aces -7.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 172.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Storm at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 83, Storm 79

Moneyline

Las Vegas (-300) will cost 3 times your potential return, and that’s way too risky for a multitude of reasons.

First off, the Aces have dropped 4 of the past 5 games, and it has 6 losses overall. The Aces didn’t suffer their 6th loss last season until their 40th game, which left them 34-6 heading into Aug. 29.

Still, Seattle (+240) already won 2 weeks ago on the Strip but it has had trouble of its own lately, dropping 2 of the past 4 outings.

PASS and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

SEATTLE +7.5 (-120) is worth a look.

Las Vegas cannot be trusted as it has failed to cover in its past 5 outings. That non-cover streak started with the June 7 home loss to Seattle.

The Aces have won 7 of the past 8 meetings in the head-to-head series, but the Storm are 2-1 ATS in the past 3 dating back to last season.

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Over/Under

UNDER 172.5 (-110) is strong play in this Western Conference tilt.

The Under is 3-1 in the previous 4 meetings in this series, including June 7.

The total has gone Under in 4 of the past 6 games for Seattle, too, including 6-2 in the past 8 road contests.

For Las Vegas, the Under hit last time out against the Liberty, but the Over is still 3-1 in the past 4 games, so tread lightly.

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Washington Mystics at Indiana Fever odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Mystics at Indiana Fever odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Mystics (2-12) visit the Indiana Fever (5-10) Wednesday. Tip from Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mystics vs. Fever odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Fever lead 1-0

After starting the season 0-12, the Mystics have won back-to-back games after taking down the Chicago Sky 83-81 Friday and covering as 2.5-point home underdogs. G Ariel Atkins led all scorers with 29 points. The team shot 43.8% from the field in the win.

The Fever have won back-to-back games after taking down the Sky 91-83 Sunday and covering as 2.5-point home favorites. G Caitlin Clark scored a game-high 23 points with 8 rebounds and 9 assists while F Aliyah Boston added 19 points and 14 rebounds for a double-double. Indiana shot 56.5% from the field and 44.4% from 3 in the win.

Mystics at Fever odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mystics +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Fever -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mystics +4.5 (-105) | Fever -4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 167.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mystics at Fever picks and predictions

Prediction

Fever 89, Mystics 82

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Fever (-225) moneyline in this matchup.

Against the spread

BET FEVER -4.5 (-115).

Indiana has won by 5 or more points in 3 of its 5 wins and scored 85 or more in 3 of its last 4 overall. It faces a Washington squad that has lost by 5 or more in 6 of its last 7 losses and is just 1-7 on the road this season. With 4 Indiana players averaging double digits, including Clark who is averaging a team-high 16.1 points per game, the Mystics will face a difficult challenge Wednesday.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 167.5 (-110).

Washington has hit the Over in 3 of its last 4 games overall and 3 of its last 5 on the road. It has scored 83 or more in each of its last 4 games and allowed 81 or more in 3 of its last 4.

Indiana has hit the Over in 8 of its last 10 games, including each of its last 5 overall and 4 of its last 5 at home. It has scored 91 in back in back-to-back games, put up 82 or more in 5 of its last 8, and allowed 83 or more in 8 of its last 9.

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New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty (12-2) and Phoenix Mercury (7-7) meet Tuesday at the Footprint Center in Phoenix. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Mercury odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Liberty lead 1-0

The Liberty opened a current 2-game West Coast swing with a 90-82 win at the Las Vegas Aces Saturday in a WNBA Finals rematch. New York won outright as a 2.5-point underdog, improving to 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 games, while the Over has a slight 4-3 edge in the previous 7 outings despite the Under (174) hanging on in Vegas.

The Mercury played the Liberty tough in the 1st head-to-head meeting this season, played May 29 at Barclays Center. New York held on for an 81-78 win as a 14-point underdog and the Under (173) cashed.

Phoenix has won 3 of the past 4 games, while covering 4 in a row. The Over has a slight 2-1 edge in the Mercury’s past 3 games, but the Under is 6-3 across the previous 9 outings.

Liberty at Mercury odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:34 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Liberty -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Mercury +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread: Liberty -4.5 (-115) | Mercury +4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 170.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Liberty at Mercury picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 83, Mercury 80

Moneyline

New York (-225) will cost 2.25 times the potential return. That’s a bit risky given how close the 1st meeting was on its home floor against Phoenix in late May.

Of course, you can’t trust the Mercury (+180) straight up, either, as the Liberty have won 12 of 14 games. New York always finds a way to win, even when it might not be at its best.

PASS and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

PHOENIX +4.5 (-105) is a solid play on its home floor.

New York is 5-1 ATS in the past 6 games, so this is a slightly risky play. However, Phoenix covered in the May 29 game, and it is on a 4-0 ATS run, while cashing in 3 in a row on its home floor.

The Mercury hold a slight 3-2 ATS edge in the past 5 meetings in this series, too, even with the Liberty winning 4 in a row outright.

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Over/Under

UNDER 170.5 (-110) is a solid play in this West vs. East battle.

In this series, we’ve seen the Under go 5-1 in the past 6 meetings, including the May battle in Brooklyn, while total has gone Under at a 7-2 clip in the past 9 in the series.

The Under has a slight 3-2 edge for the Liberty in the past 5 games, while going 5-1 in the past 6 on the road.

For the Mercury, the Under has cashed in 4 of the past 6 outings, while going 3-1 in the previous 4 contests at home.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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