Washington Wizards at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Wizards at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New Orleans Pelicans (5-29) welcome the Washington Wizards (6-25) to the Smoothie King Center Friday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Wizards vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting, Pelicans won 2-0 last season

The Wizards beat the Chicago Bulls 125-107 Wednesday, closing as a 6-point home underdog. Washington was led by G Jordan Poole‘s as it snapped a 2-game losing streak. It is 4-7 in its last 11 games, but 7-4 against the spread (ATS) in those. The Wizards are 12-18-1 ATS on the season.

The Pelicans, who have dropped 11 in a row, lost 119-108 at the Miami Heat Wednesday, closing as a 9-point underdog. F Trey Murphy III led New Orleans with 34 points. The Pelicans are 4-7 ATS in this 11-game losing streak and are 12-22 ATS on the season.

Wizards at Pelicans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 6:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Wizards +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Pelicans -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +7.5 (-115) | Pelicans -7.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Wizards at Pelicans key injuries

Wizards

  • F Marvin Bagley III (knee) out
  • F Saddiq Bey (knee) out
  • F Bilal Coulibaly (illness) out

Pelicans

  • G Jose Alvarado (hamstring) probable
  • F Brandon Ingram (ankle) out
  • F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Wizards at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 122, Wizards 112

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Pelicans haven’t played well enough to suggest they should be a favorite of this size; meanwhile, Washington is just 1-12 on the road. Avoid a moneyline play.

Against the spread

BET PELICANS -7.5 (-105).

While the Wizards have covered well as of late, on the road this season that has been a different story. They are the second-worst ATS away team with a 4-7-2 record. Washington has failed to cover its last 2 road games.

The Pelicans, who have a few stars that should take the court, have scored at least 108 points in 5 straight games, suggesting it might have the consistency to pull away by this margin if it can keep that pace. New Orleans is 2-2 ATS in its last 4 home games and 9-9 ATS at home this season.

Play PELICANS -7.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET OVER 232.5 (-110).

If there’s one thing neither team knows how to do, it is defend. The Pelicans have allowed at least 116 points in 5 straight games, and they are 5-0 O/U in those. New Orleans is 18-15-1 O/U on the season.

The Wizards are 4-3 O/U in their last 7 and 2-1 O/U in their last 3, allowing at least 126 points in 2 of their last 3 games. Washington’s offense has come alive as well, tallying at least 125 points in 2 of its last 3.

Take OVER 232.5 (-110).

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Washington Wizards at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Washington Wizards at New Orleans Pelicans NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Washington Wizards (3-10) visit the New Orleans Pelicans (5-10) Wednesday at the Smoothie King Center for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Wizards-Pelicans NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Washington has lost two in a row after nearly a two-week layoff due to COVID-19 issues. The Wizards played without several key contributors in those two games and their offense tanked scoring only 94.5 points per game. Prior to the layoff, Washington covered five of its previous six games.

The Pelicans were terrible on their six-game road trip, winning only one and covering the spread twice. New Orleans has lost three in a row, all by double-digits, including Saturday’s 120-110 loss as an 8.5-point favorite to the Minnesota Timberwolves, who are the only team in the West with fewer wins than the Pelicans.

Wizards at Pelicans: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Wizards +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Pelicans -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Wizards +8.5 (-110) | Pelicans -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Wizards at Pelicans: Key injuries

Wizards

  • PF Deni Avdija (health and safety protocols) out
  • PF Davis Bertans (health and safety protocols) out
  • PF Rui Hachimura (COVID-19 protocols) out
  • PG Raul Neto (groin) questionable
  • PG Ish Smith (health and safety protocols) out
  • Moritz Wagner (health and safety protocols) out
  • PG Russell Westbrook (rest) out

Pelicans

  • None

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Wizards at Pelicans: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Pelicans 119, Wizards 107

Money line (ML)

PASS because even though I’m fairly certain New Orleans wins this game easily, the Pelicans’ money line (-375) is far too expensive.

Against the spread (ATS)

While New Orleans is and has been terrible defensively this season, the Pelicans are actually really good at defending what the Wizards do frequently.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Washington takes the second-most mid-range shots in the league and New Orleans is second in opponent’s mid-range shooting percentage. This makes sense because the three top active scorers for Washington—SG Bradley Beal, Westbrook and Hachimura—aren’t 3-point shooters.

Also, one of the few teams that play worse defense than New Orleans is Washington. The Wizards ranked 29th in defensive rating and opponent’s effective field-goal percentage and dead last in opponent’s free-throw attempt to field-goal attempt rate.

Similar to how Beal and the Wizards like to hoist mid-range shots, Pelicans SF Brandon Ingram, the team’s second leading scorer at 23.3 points per game, takes one of the highest rates of mid-range shots in the Association.

However, Ingram won last season’s Most Improved Player and is trending towards his second straight All-Star appearance and Washington is terrible defending mid-range shots. In fact, CleaningTheGlass.com has the Wizards ranked last in mid-range shooting percentage defense.

BET PELICANS -8.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Let’s fade the market and the obvious play by TAKING UNDER 227.5 (-110) for a half-unit. It’s more of a lean than a like because I could see Ingram and Beal going off against these poor defenses but, both teams aren’t buttoned-up enough offensively to capitalize on this. Also, it’ll take a couple of games for the returning Wizards to knock the rust off.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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