Wizards Heat odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Washington Wizards at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Wizards at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Heat (35-28) welcome the Washington Wizards (10-53) to Kaseya Center Sunday. Tip is set for 6 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Wizards vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Heat lead 2-0

The Heat lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder Friday 107-100, covering as an 8.5-point road underdog. Miami has lost 2 in a row and 3 of its last 5 yet has covered in 10 of its last 13. It is 31-31-1 against the spread (ATS) on the season. Miami is led by G Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 21.7 points per game (PPG).

The Wizards snapped a 16-game losing streak and got their 10th win of the season Friday, beating the Charlotte Hornets 112-100 at home and closing as a 2.5-point favorite. Washington has covered in 3 of its last 7 games and is 29-32-2 ATS on the season. It is led by F Kyle Kuzma, who is averaging 22.3 PPG.

Wizards at Heat odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:22 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Wizards +430 (bet $100 to win $430) | Heat -590 (bet $590 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +11 (-108) | Heat -11 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 229 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Wizards at Heat key injuries

Wizards

G Landry Shamet (calf) questionable

Heat

G Tyler Herro (foot) out
G Caleb Martin (thumb) available

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Wizards at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 120, Wizards 107

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no value in betting the home side to win outright here. Similarly, Washington has been one of the worst teams in the NBA and isn’t worth backing to pull off an upset.

Against the spread

BET HEAT -11 (-112).

The Wizards did beat Charlotte in their last game, but have failed to cover the 3 games prior and are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games as a double-digit underdog.

Meanwhile, the Heat are 3-2 ATS as a favorite of 7 or more points and are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games at home. Miami has more efficient scoring options and has a strong defense as well. Back HEAT -11 (-112).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 229 (-110).

The Heat have scored at least 118 points in 2 of their last 3 games and have allowed at least 110 points in 3 of those 4. They will have the pace pushed against the Wizards.

Washington sits 1st in pace and 30th in defensive rating. That type of style is going to exude points, which should be the case Sunday. The Wizards are 4-1 O/U in their last 5 games. Back OVER 229 (-110).

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Washington Wizards at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Wizards at Miami Heat and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Wizards (17-16) travel to South Beach Tuesday to play the Miami Heat (21-13) at FTX Arena. The tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Wizards vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Miami enters on a three-game winning streak with victories over the Indiana Pacers, Detroit Pistons, and Orlando Magic.

Over the past two weeks, the Heat are 5-2 straight-up (SU), 3-4 ATS and 3-4 O/U with the eighth-best non-garbage time net rating (plus-4.7 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Washington got clobbered 117-96 by the Philadelphia 76ers Sunday as 4-point home underdogs. The Wizards are 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS and 4-2 O/U in the last 14 days with the 26th-ranked adjusted net rating (minus-9.1 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.

This is the regular-season rubber match between these teams with the home team winning and covering the first two meetings, and either side of the total cashing in each contest.

Wizards at Heat odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Money line: Wizards +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Heat -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +6.5 (-115) | Heat -6.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Wizards at Heat key injuries

Wizards

SG Bradley Beal (health and safety protocols) questionable
PF Rui Hachimura (health and safety protocols) out
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (health and safety protocols) out
PG Raul Neto (health and safety protocols) out

Heat

PF P.J. Tucker (knee) questionable
PG Kyle Lowry (health and safety protocols) out
C Dewayne Dedmon (knee) out
C Bam Adebayo (thumb) out

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Wizards at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 107, Wizards 95

Money line

PASS since I like Miami to win outright but not enough to lay it with the Heat (-260). However, Miami wing Jimmy Butler returned from an eight-game absence in the Heat’s last game vs. the Magic.

Before his injury, Butler was playing at an All-NBA-caliber. Butler is third in PER, Win Shares per 48 and box plus/minus. Furthermore, Butler is averaging 30.5 points per game on 57.9% shooting with a plus-29 net rating vs. the Wizards this season.

Against the spread

BET 1 unit on the HEAT -6.5 (-107) because they’ve been hit by sharp money early and this is a better spot for Miami.

For instance, this game opened with the Heat laying 6 points but is increasing due to pro-Miami action. Both teams are missing a bunch of players due to COVID but that’s already accounted for in the line.

With that in mind, the Heat are 5-1 ATS at home vs. teams with a winning record. While the Wizards are 6-13-1 ATS on the road and 1-4-1 ATS when being spotted 5-7 points.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 208.5 (-107) since we are getting reverse line movement despite most of the situation-based trends suggesting Wizards-Heat would be a low-scoring game.

According to both Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app, a vast majority of the money is on the Over, but the total for this game has been lowered from the 210-point lookahead number.

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Washington Wizards at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Wizards at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Wizards (10-4) roll into “South Beach” Thursday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off with the Miami Heat (10-5) at FTX Arena. Below, we look at the Wizards vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Both of these teams are playing in the second of a back-to-back. Washington had its five-game win streak snapped Wednesday in a 97-87 loss at the Charlotte Hornets. while Miami rallied back from a 15-point first-quarter deficit to pound the New Orleans Pelicans 113-98 as a 6.5-point home favorite.

The Wizards are 9-5 ATS and 4-10 O/U with the eighth-best net rating (plus-3.8). The Heat are 11-4 ATS and 9-6 O/U with the 3rd-best net rating (plus-7.8).

Miami won two of three regular-season meetings with Washington last season but the Wizards were 2-1 ATS in those games and the Under went 2-1.

Wizards at Heat odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

Money line: Wizards +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Heat -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +6.5 (-110) | Heat -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 206.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Wizards at Heat key injuries

Wizards

PG Spencer Dinwiddie (rest) doubtful
PF Davis Bertans (ankle) out
PF Rui Hachimura (personal) out
C Thomas Bryant (knee) out

Heat

C Bam Adebayo (knee)

Wizards at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 106, Wizards 97

Money line

PASS since Miami is the right side but the Heat (-290) are too pricey to bet outright. Washington is due for regression whereas you could argue Miami is better than its record indicates.

The Wizards have the seventh-best win differential according to net efficiency and the Heat rank 22nd in win differential according to CleaningTheGlass.com, which removes garbage time from its stat tracking.

What is Washington’s most impressive victory? The Wizards beat the current 6-seed Cleveland Cavaliers but that’s the only team with a winning record Washington has defeated. Miami has toppled the Utah Jazz (twice), Dallas Mavericks, Brooklyn Nets and Charlotte Hornets.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the HEAT -6.5 (-110) because Miami does a good job defending what Washington does often and this is a better spot for the Heat.

Whe Wizards attempt the ninth-highest volume of mid-range shots (CleaningTheGlass.com) and the Heat have the fourth-best defensive field goal percentage vs. mid-range attempts.

The absence of Dinwiddie would be meaningful to the line. Miami can focus more of its perimeter defensive bandwidth on defending Washington guard Bradley Beal who’s in the 97th percentile of guards at mid-range shot volume.

Miami has the second-highest cover rate in the second of a back-to-back at 10-3-1 ATS since the beginning of last season. Plus the Wizards are 0-2 ATS when being spotted 5-7 points and Miami is 6-0 ATS vs. teams with a winning record this season.

My reasons for the “LEAN” to the HEAT -6.5 (-110) are they’ll most certainly be the more popular side and I’d rather bet on Miami coming off a loss rather than a win.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 206.5 (-108) for a tiny wager if at all because we are getting to the party late and I prefer Miami’s spread more than the total in this contest. Wizards-Heat opened with a 210.5-point total but was immediately steamed down by early action.

However, both teams rank 23rd or slower in pace and rank seventh or better in defensive efficiency. Also, Washington has gone Under the total in seven straight games and three of the previous four Wizards-Heat meetings have gone Under the total.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Washington Wizards at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Washington Wizards at Miami Heat NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Washington Wizards (5-13) meet the Miami Heat (7-14) for a second straight game at the American Airlines Arena Friday. The tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Wizards-Heat NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

This is the third and final regular-season Wizards-Heat meeting with each team winning a game and Washington beating Miami Wednesday 103-100 as 9-point road dogs.

The Heat’s 128-124 win over the Wizards Jan. 9 came against a Washington team missing the NBA’s leading scorer—Bradley Beal—and 2016-17 MVP Russell Westbrook.

Despite Miami being in the Finals last season, and Washington never really contending for a postseason berth, the Wizards have played the Heat tough over the last two seasons. Washington is only 2-4 in the last six, but they’ve covered the spread in five of those games.

Wizards at Heat: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Wizards +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Heat -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Wizards +6.5 (-110) | Heat -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Wizards at Heat: Key injuries

Wizards

None affecting the betting odds.

Heat

PG Goran Dragic (knee) probable
SG Avery Bradley (calf) out
SF Maurice Harkless (thigh) out

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Wizards at Heat: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Heat 119, Wizards 115

Money line (ML)

PASS with a lean on the Wizards (+220) since Washington plus the points is the only side I’d play in this spot. As someone who made a lot of money off of Miami’s 2020 NBA Finals run, I imagine the Heat are going to go on a winning streak here soon.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Both teams have been abysmal lately for a similar reason, (COVID-related absences) but I think the NBA community is more willing to give Miami the benefit of the doubt since they were in the Finals last season.

And while that’s fair, the Wizards have kept these head-to-head games competitive recently, and they are at least 11th in offensive rating whereas the Heat are below average on both sides of the floor.

I lean WIZARDS +6.5 (-110) for a half-unit because it’s too many points given their head-to-head history and Miami’s current form.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 229.5 (-110) for 1 unit is the best play in the Wizards-Heat matchup. This projected total is at least 3 points higher than the previous two Wizards-Heat games this year, and this is coming off the heels of a meeting that went Under the total by 24.5 points.

Furthermore, the Over has cashed in nine of their last 12 meetings, the Wizards are 25-15-1 O/U with a plus-5.8 total margin on the road and the Heat are 27-17 O/U at home since the beginning of last season.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

NBA All-Star 2021: Rookies absent from initial fan voting results (Rookie Wire)
Hoops Hype rumors: Wizards | Heat

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