Wizards Bucks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Washington Wizards at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Wizards at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Wizards (17-21) take on the Milwaukee Bucks (23-13) Tuesday at Fiserv Forum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Wizards vs. Bucks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Wizards defeated the Bucks 118-95 Sunday, winning outright as 2-point underdogs on the road. Washington is currently on a 5-game win streak. Milwaukee F Giannis Antetokounmpo wasn’t active in Sunday’s game but there’s optimism that he returns Tuesday.

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Wizards at Bucks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:37 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Wizards +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Bucks -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +7.5 (-105) | Bucks -7.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Wizards at Bucks key injuries

Wizards

G Bradley Beal (hamstring) questionable

Bucks

F Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) probable
G Jrue Holiday (illness) probable
F Khris Middleton (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Wizards at Bucks picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 119, Wizards 114

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Bucks (-320) are such heavy favorites that taking them straight up isn’t worth the risk for the minimal profit if they secure the victory.

Against the spread

Even though Holiday and Antetokounmpo are expected back for the Bucks, WIZARDS +7.5 (-105) is where I’m leaning in this matchup. Washington is on a 5-game win streak and should be able to keep it within 7 points, especially if Beal is active.

The Wizards are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games, and the Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.

Over/Under

OVER 228.5 (-112) is an enticing bet despite the trends leaning toward the Under in this game. If Holiday and Antetokounmpo are officially active, then the Bucks should put up a decent number of points while the Wizards have averaged 116.8 points per game in their last 10 games.

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Washington Wizards at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Wizards at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Wizards (23-26) travel to Fiserv Forum Tuesday to take on the Milwaukee Bucks (31-21). Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Wizards vs. Bucks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Wizards have been an interesting team this season. They’ve hovered around a .500 record with a negative net rating for most of the season, and that’s starting to show in the betting world.

Washington is just 1-9 against the spread (ATS) over its last 10 games. It failed to cover as a favorite in six of those games. Washington is 19-29-1 ATS on the season. The Wizards rank 21st in points per game and 19th in opponents’ points per game.

Superstar G Bradley Beal will be sidelined for this game.

Milwaukee is also just 3-7 ATS over its last 10 games. The Bucks are a slightly better 22-20 ATS on the season. They’re 18-9 straight up (SU) at home but are just 8-15 ATS as home favorites despite their SU success there.

Wizards at Bucks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:23 a.m. ET.

Money line: Wizards +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Bucks -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +11.5 (-115) | Bucks -11.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Wizards at Bucks key injuries

Wizards

G Bradley Beal (wrist) out

Bucks

G George Hill (neck) out

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Wizards at Bucks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 115, Wizards 104

Money line

PASS.

Milwaukee is far too expensive to consider in this position. Similarly, it’s unlikely Washington gets close to pulling off the upset.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the WIZARDS +11.5 (-115).

This is a tough game to gauge. While the Wizards aren’t among the better defensive teams in the NBA, they do allow the fewest three-point attempts per game and the second-fewest three-pointers made.

The Wizards also have the size in F Deni Avdija and F Rui Hachimura to combat two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Considering the Bucks also rank 15th in opponents’ points per game, they may struggle to heavily limit the Wizards.

If Washington limits the Bucks three-point shooting (Milwaukee shoots the fourth-most three-point attempts per game), it should be able to cover. The Wizards have proven they can do that, so I’ll side with them here.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 227.5 (-115).

The Wizards are without their top scorer, and behind Beal, there are a plethora of inconsistent scorers like F Kyle Kuzma and G Spencer Dinwiddie. They also, as noted, limit 3-point attempts for their opponents.

The Under is the better play when you combine the two factors. Also, Milwaukee is 23-29 O/U this season and 12-15 O/U at home.

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Washington Wizards at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Washington Wizards at Milwaukee Bucks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Washington Wizards (30-35) visit Cream City for an 8 p.m. ET game with the Milwaukee Bucks (41-24) at Fiserv Forum Wednesday. Below, we analyze the Wizards-Bucks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Washington has won three of its last four games and 11 of the past 13 while going 11-2 against the spread. The Wizards are the 10-seed in the Eastern Conference and have propelled into postseason play-in territory with their recent hot streak.

Milwaukee has won three straight games and four of its past five including back-to-back wins over the first-place Brooklyn Nets Sunday and Tuesday. The Bucks are third in the East and 3 games back of the Nets.

The Bucks won each of the first two meetings with the Wizards this season but each team has covered the spread once.

Wizards at Bucks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.

Money line: Wizards +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Bucks -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Wizards +3.5 (-110) | Bucks -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 243.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Wizards at Bucks: Key injuries

Wizards

None.

Bucks

Nothing affecting the betting odds.

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Wizards at Bucks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Wizards 122, Bucks 117

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Wizards (+135) because I “like” Washington plus the points but the Bucks are starting to play their best ball of the season down the stretch, hence two straight wins over the Nets.

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Against the spread (ATS)

BET the WIZARDS +3.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Both the Bucks and the Wizards have a sub-.500 record against teams in the top 10 of net efficiency. Milwaukee has slightly better net efficiency, but Washington has performed better against expectations.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Wizards have the fifth-best spread differential against teams in the top-10 of net efficiency and the Bucks have the third-worst spread differential.

Also, the “reverse line movement” of this game is insane. According to Pregame.com, this game opened with Milwaukee laying 7 points and more money has been wagered on the Bucks to cover yet the line has been steamed down to Wizards +3.5 (-110).

How does that even make sense? Not to go all conspiracy theory but the only explanation for this line movement is bookmakers want more pro-Bucks money. Typically, sports bettors don’t want to play into the House’s hands.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a “lean” to the Under 243.5 (-105) based on the simple logic this total is too high and the market is barreling into the Over.

What keeps my money in the wallet is the past seven Wizards-Bucks games have gone Over the total and both teams play at a top-3 pace.

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