Wisconsin at Northwestern odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Wisconsin Badgers at Northwestern Wildcats odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Wisconsin Badgers (15-8 overall, 9-7 Big Ten) visit the Northwestern Wildcats (6-13, 3-12) for a Sunday evening (7 p.m. ET) contest at Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, Ill. Below, we analyze the Wisconsin-Northwestern college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Wisconsin is No. 21 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Wisconsin at Northwestern: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Wisconsin -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Northwestern +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Wisconsin -5.5 (-115) | Northwestern +5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 130.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Wisconsin at Northwestern: Three things to know

  1. The Badgers beat the Wildcats 68-52 Jan. 20 but have gone just 3-5 in eight games since. Wisconsin has beaten Northwestern five straight times, winning by an average margin of 12 points. Northwestern’s last win in the series came on Feb. 1, 2018, a 60-52 win.
  2. Northwestern is coming off a 73-66 road loss to Illinois on Tuesday. The Wildcats mounted a comeback after falling behind by 18 points early. They eventually got within two points of the No. 5 Illini with 1:54 to play. Illinois took control after that, sending NU to its 12th straight loss.
  3. The Wisconsin offense has recorded a turnover on just 13.7 percent of its possessions, which is the third-best rate in the nation. The Northwestern defense has forced opposing teams to turn the ball over on just 18 percent of all possessions (258th NCAA-I).

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Wisconsin at Northwestern: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Wisconsin 67, Northwestern 62

Money line (ML)

The Badgers have a solid defense, and their offense can be efficient and productive against lesser defensive teams. Peg Northwestern’s defense as being better than the surface assumption implied by the Wildcats yielding a scoring average of 72.1 PPG.

This tag deserves a PASS but also your attention. Something north of Northwestern +230 makes NU a decent play.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four games of this series. And that’s the lean here. Northwestern is solid inside, and the Wildcats tend to perform better against slower-paced teams. UW’s tempo figures rank among the slowest in the game.

TAKE THE WILDCATS +5.5 (-105).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Badgers are coming off an ATS loss. The last seven times that occurred, the Under has hit the next time out.

The Under is the lean here, but consider holding out for a total of 131.5.

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Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

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Wisconsin at Northwestern odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Wisconsin Badgers at Northwestern Wildcats sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Wisconsin Badgers (2-0) visit the Northwestern Wildcats (4-0) in Evanston, Ill. for a 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff, Saturday. Below, we analyze the Wisconsin-Northwestern college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Badgers are No. 12 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports and the Wildcats are No. 20.

Wisconsin at Northwestern: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Wisconsin -295 (bet $295 to win $100) | Northwestern +235 (bet $100 to win $235)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Wisconsin -7.5 (-110) | Northwestern +7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 43.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

Wisconsin at Northwestern: Three things to know

  • Wisconsin went into the Big House last week and pasted Michigan 49-11. The Badgers outgained the Wolverines in total yards, 468-219, had 16 more first downs (26-10) and were plus-4 in turnovers.
  • Northwestern handled its business against Purdue, winning 27-20 and covering as a four-point favorite last week. It was a prototypical Wildcats win with the Boilermakers being held to just two rushing yards as a team and only 24:58 of possession time.
  • Wisconsin-Northwestern games are usually defensive slugfests where the total has gone Under in six of the past seven meetings by an average of 8.6 points per game.

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Wisconsin at Northwestern: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Northwestern 19, Wisconsin 17

Money line (ML)

Both sides have similar team profiles but Northwestern has a senior under center in QB Peyton Ramsey and Wisconsin has a redshirt freshman running its offense in QB Graham Mertz.

Wisconsin is averaging 47 points per game to start the season; however, it has thus far played inferior defenses compared to Northwestern’s opponents. Wisconsin doesn’t have the talent at running back it is accustomed to, names like Melvin Gordon, Jonathan Taylor and James White.

Northwestern has won three of its last six games against Wisconsin and is 3-1 in its last four home games in the series. This is the best Wildcats team since Pat Fitzgerald took over as head coach in 2006.

I “LEAN” NORTHWESTERN (+235) for a quarter-unit.

Against the spread (ATS)

If we lean toward a Wildcats upset, then we “LIKE” NORTHWESTERN +7.5 (-110) getting a touchdown and a hook. Wisconsin is 1-5 ATS in its last six meetings in Northwestern.

The Badgers have beaten the crap out of the two bad teams/great matchups they’ve faced but the Wildcats are the best Big Ten team not named Ohio State or Wisconsin. Mertz looked great in Wisconsin’s first game but didn’t need to do much in the second game. I’ll take my chances with Ramsey.

HIT NORTHWESTERN +7.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

These teams have similar DNAs which line up nicely for an UNDER 43.5 (-106) wager.

Wisconsin’s defense has allowed only one touchdown in its two games this season and ranks top-5 across several different college football rating lists. The Badgers have returned the 17th-most production on defense, according to ESPN. Their defense is legitimate and Northwestern’s offense doesn’t pose much of a threat in this matchup.

The Wildcats’ strength is their defense and they’ll try to grind the game down with the run game. Northwestern has the 13th-highest run play percentage and 17th-highest net time of possession in the country; however, Wisconsin has the fifth-highest percentage of run plays called and the highest net time of possession in the nation.

GIMME UNDER 43.5 (-106) for 1.5 units.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.


Additional college football coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama football / Auburn football / Florida football / Georgia football / LSU football / Michigan football / Michigan State football / Notre Dame football / Ohio State football / Oklahoma football / Tennessee football / Texas football / USC football / Wisconsin football

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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