Missouri at Kentucky odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Missouri at Kentucky odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

In an SEC clash, the Missouri Tigers (1-0) will travel to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (1-0) Saturday at Kroger Field in Lexington, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Missouri vs. Kentucky odds and lines; check back for our college football picks and predictions.

With the Wildcats kicking off the QB Will Levis-era, they absolutely crushed the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 45-10. Levis threw for 367 yards and four touchdowns. RB Chris Rodriguez had a 19-125-1 line on the ground.

Everything was clicking for the home side. The same of which can’t be said for Missouri, who won 34-24 over Central Michigan.

This game was closer than many expected. The Tigers will need a better performance to stand a chance against Kentucky. RB Tyler Badie did go for over 200 yards on the ground.

Both defenses will have their hands full trying to tame a couple of dynamic rushing offenses.

Missouri at Kentucky odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Missouri +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Kentucky -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Missouri +5.5 (-112) | Kentucky -5.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Missouri at Kentucky odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 31, Missouri 20

Money line

“LEAN” to KENTUCKY -220 as a decent value on the money line. It’s a tad too rich for my liking, but given that Kentucky is at home and had a much stronger opening weekend, it’s certainly justified.

Levis looked terrific as the Wildcats leader, and the Tigers pulled off just a 10-point win. At -220, I’d still shy away from it and drop at most half a unit on the money line.

Against the spread

BET on KENTUCKY 5.5 (-108) as the best team-specific value. Kentucky has won three straight bowl games and quickly has acclimated their transfer quarterback.

The program is starting to build some quality players behind head coach Mark Stoops. Tigers’ QB Connor Bazelak didn’t throw a pick and did have two touchdowns, so he had a solid opener.

However, his performance and the Tigers winning by just 10 don’t combine to give confidence for betters. That said, the Wildcats are surging and should be able to take down the Tigers easily behind their home crowd.

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Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 55.5 (-108) as both sides put up over 150 yards on the ground. This game should go by quickly as the run game may be preferred.

While both teams hit at least 30 in Week 1, they also gave up under 25 points. This will be the best competition each has taken on. Both played much weaker sides to kick off the 2021 season.

Expect some struggle as they battle against better run defenses. The total on this one is a tough bet, but the Under is the better of the two as run game and defenses should dominate.

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Kentucky at Missouri odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Kentucky Wildcats at Missouri Tigers sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Kentucky Wildcats (2-2, 2-2 SEC) and Missouri Tigers (1-2, 1-2) will scratch and claw in an SEC catfight Saturday. Kick time in the contest at Memorial Stadium in Columbia, Mo., is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Kentucky-Missouri college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Kentucky at Missouri: Betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kentucky -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Missouri +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Kentucky -4.5 (-110) | Missouri +4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 46.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

Kentucky at Missouri: Three things to know

  1. Falling COVID-19 dominos put this game on the schedule for Saturday. Kentucky was to have played Georgia; Mizzou was scheduled to play Florida. The Wildcats come into the contest off an impressive 34-7 win over Tennessee. Missouri was off last weekend; the Tigers’ last game was a 45-41 win over LSU on Oct. 10.
  2. Kentucky lost its first two games (Auburn, Ole Miss) but has rallied with wins over Mississippi State and Tennessee. The Wildcats returned a pair of interceptions for touchdowns in their first road win over the Volunteers since 1984. A havoc-heavy UK defense has registered nine picks over the last two games.
  3. The Wildcats took last year’s meeting in Lexington, Ky., by a score of 29-7. UK has defeated Mizzou in five straight games dating to 2015. Three of Kentucky’s wins were by a one-score margin.

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Kentucky at Missouri: Odds, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Kentucky 28, Missouri 24

Money line (ML)

A rested MISSOURI IS THE LEAN here but only at a price over +180.

Against the spread (ATS)

In hindsight, Mizzou’s holding Alabama to 38 points looks like an ’85 Chicago Bears performance by the Tigers defense. Fading a Kentucky squad perhaps a click too far in the positive is also on track, and playing back-to-back SEC road games is not a recipe for ATS wins.

So the PLAY IS MISSOURI +4.5 (-110). Peg the lean as a moderate one at best. The small sample of results creates plenty of gray area on its own. Add in the common-opponent Tennessee Volunteers (a 35-20 Mizzou loss and a 34-7 Kentucky win), and this becomes a game to slot somewhere down toward the bottom of your Saturday menu.

Over/Under (O/U)

New Tigers head coach Eli Drinkwitz has Mizzou throwing the ball around at a 70% clip and with solid yardage gains (406 yards vs. LSU two weeks back). This one projects with some back-and-forth game flow. BACK THE OVER 46.5 (-115).

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