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The Chicago White Sox (40-56) and the New York Mets (44-50) play the 2nd contest of a 3-game series Wednesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 1-0 after winning the series opener 11-10
The White Sox fell behind 11-4 after 6 innings Tuesday but scored 6 unanswered runs to make things interesting. However, it came up short despite outhitting New York by a 12-to-10 margin. Chicago slipped to 10-15 in interleague play with the loss.
The Mets have won 2 outings in a row, both in 1-run games. The high-scoring game Tuesday was their first Over result of the 2nd half as the Under is 6-2-1 across their last 9 games. New York improved to 11-10 against the AL in 2023 with the win.
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White Sox at Mets projected starters
RHP Touki Toussaint vs. RHP Justin Verlander
Toussaint (0-2, 3.38 ERA) makes his 4th start and 7th appearance. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 6.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 24 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 3-0 home loss vs. the St. Louis Cardinals on July 8
- 2023 road splits: 0-1, 4.20 ERA (15 IP, 7 ER – 1 HR), .204 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances
Verlander (3-5, 3.72 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 75 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 6 BB, 6 K in a 6-0 home loss vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Friday
- 2023 home splits: 2-3, 2.57 ERA (42 IP, 12 ER – 4 HR), .203 OBA in 7 starts
White Sox at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): White Sox +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Mets -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-105) | Mets -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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White Sox at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, White Sox 3
Moneyline
The Mets (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, which is a little expensive based on Verlander’s overall stats. He has struggled mightily in his first campaign in New York and was booed by the home fans last time out.
AVOID, and look to the run line instead.
Run line/Against the spread
Playing the Mets -1.5 (-115) is a little too risky. New York has won each of the past 2 games by a single run. The Mets are 0-4 on the run line as favorites in their last 4 tries.
The WHITE SOX +1.5 (-105) have managed to cover each of the past 3 on the run line as underdogs and are 8-3 on the run line in the past 11 outings as ‘dogs.
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Over/Under
UNDER 8.5 (-105) is worth a look in this middle game.
The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 6 games overall for the White Sox, while also cashing in Toussaint’s most recent outing. The Under is also 4-1-1 in Verlander’s previous 6 starts, and New York has provided him with a total of just 18 runs of offensive support during that stretch.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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