Tag: White Sox Brewers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago White Sox (15-42) and Milwaukee Brewers (33-23) open a 3-game set Friday. First pitch from American Family Field is set for 8:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 3-0 last season

The White Sox have lost 8 games in a row after falling 3-1 against the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday while failing to cash as +182 home underdogs. DH Korey Lee scored Chicago’s only run with a solo shot in the 9th, while RHP Chris Flexen allowed 2 ER in 5 innings and picked up the loss.

Milwaukee has won back-to-back games after taking down the Chicago Cubs 6-4 Thursday to cash as a -119 home favorite. C Gary Sanchez led the way on offense with 3 RBIs, including a walk-off 2 run homer, while LHP Bryan Hudson allowed 2 ER in 1 2/3 innings and picked up the win.

White Sox at Brewers projected starters

RHP Erick Fedde vs. RHP Tobias Myers

Fedde (4-1, 2.80 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 64 1/3 IP.

  • White Sox are 5-6 in his starts, including 0-2 in his last 2
  • Has allowed 0 ER in 3 of his last 4 starts
  • Has allowed 20 ER and 8 HR this season while striking out 58 and walking 18

Myers (1-2, 4.43 ERA) makes his 6th start and 7th appearance. The rookie has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 22 1/3 IP.

  • Brewers are 2-4 in his outings
  • Has allowed a total of just 2 ER over his last 3 appearances (9 1/3 IP)
  • Has allowed 11 ER and 6 HR while striking out 23 and walking 9

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White Sox at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): White Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Brewers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-155) | Brewers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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White Sox at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, White Sox 1

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Brewers (-160) to beat the White Sox, who have lost 8 straight games.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BREWERS -1.5 (+125).

Each of Chicago’s last 17 losses have come by 2 or more runs. The team has scored 2 or fewer runs in each of its last 4 games and allowed 4 or more in 7 of its last 8. Each of Milwaukee’s last 8 wins have come by 2 or more runs, and the team has scored 5 or more runs in 6 of its last 9 games.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

While Milwaukee has played well offensively over this recent stretch, scoring 5 or more runs 3 times in its last 4 games, the White Sox have been struggling. Chicago has failed to hit the Over in 4 of its last 5 games due to its inability to score. It has scored 2 runs or fewer in 6 of its last 10 games.

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Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (58-41) host the Chicago White Sox (58-40) Sunday for the finale of their three-game interleague series at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Milwaukee won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 13-2 as the Brew Crew’s bullpen has only allowed 1 run with 7 strikeouts and just 2 walks in 8 innings of work.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-0.

RHP Lance Lynn is Chicago’s projected starter. Lynn is 9-3 with a 1.94 ERA (97 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 over 17 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 4 K in Chicago’s 3-2 loss to the Minnesota Twins Monday.
  • 2021 road splits: 3-1 with a 2.84 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.39 WHIP and 2.2 K/BB in six starts.
  • vs. Brewers on the current roster: 5.31 FIP with a .235 batting average, .326 wOBA, .460 expected slugging percentage, 26.3 K% and 90.3 mph exit velocity in 76 plate appearances.

RHP Brandon Woodruff makes his 20th start for the Brewers. Woodruff is 7-4 with a 2.04 ERA (119 IP, 27 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB and 8 K in Milwaukee’s 7-4 win at the Cincinnati Reds July 17.
  • 2021 home splits: 3-0 with a 2.14 ERA (54 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.97 WHIP and 6.8 K/BB in nine starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

White Sox at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Brewers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox +1.5 (-165) | Brewers -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Brewers 6, White Sox 2

Money line (ML)

BET the BREWERS (-145) for 1 unit because Milwaukee has the most wins this season against righty starters (47-31), the White Sox struggle against good ball clubs (19-24 vs. teams with a winning record) and on the road (23-23 in away games).

Furthermore, this is a legitimate chance for Woodruff to begin challenging New York Mets starting RHP Jacob deGrom in the NL Cy Young Race since deGrom is currently on the IL.

The White Sox-Brewers series finale is a nationally televised game broadcasted on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball pitting two first-place teams against one another. If Woodruff can deal against a productive White Sox lineup on the national stage it would help him earn some much-needed buzz.

Woodruff’s pitching peripherals are stunning and he ranks in the top 10 of NL starting pitchers (minimum of 50 IP) in WAR, WHIP, home runs per nine-innings, K-BB% and hard-contact rate.

And while Lynn’s first-half numbers were awesome, he, like Chicago, is less effective against good teams. For instance, Lynn is just 1-3 this year vs. teams equal to or above-.500 with a 4.35 ERA compared to a 8-0 record and 0.81 ERA against teams sub-.500.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS even though the Brewers -1.5 (+140) is very enticing. However, Milwaukee’s lineup ranks in the bottom 5 of several advanced hitting metrics at home including wRC+, wOBA and OPS. Also, the Brewers are 19-24 ATS as a home favorite this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 7.5 (-105) for a tiny wager – if at all – because the White Sox are 8-4-2 O/U as a road underdog this season and the Brewers are 19-18-6 O/U as a home favorite.

Given those trends above and the fact that these teams have a combined 11-23 O/U when these starters take the mound this should be a good spot for a “contrarian play” against a market that figures to betting the Under.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (58-39) and Milwaukee Brewers (57-41) play the second game of a three-game interleague set Saturday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Carlos Rodon is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He is 8-3 with a 2.14 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 13.0 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 over 96 2/3 innings across 16 starts.

Rodon was untouchable Sunday allowing just one hit and no walks with 10 strikeouts across seven scoreless innings in a win over the Houston Astros. He has won back-to-back starts for the first time since winning five in a row from April 5-May 7.

RHP Corbin Burnes is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 5-4 with a 2.16 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 13.1 K/9 and 1.5 BB/9 across 96 innings in 16 starts.

Burnes was impressive last time out, too, allowing five hits and a walk with 12 strikeouts across 8 1/3 scoreless innings in a win at Cincinnati. He is 2-0 with a 0.84 ERA across 21 1/3 innings in three July starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

White Sox at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

White Sox 3, Brewers 1

Money line (ML)

The WHITE SOX (+110) are a decent play as short ‘dogs behind the red-hot Rodon, who is finally living up to his potential after several average seasons and a few injury-plagued campaigns. After getting dumped 7-1 in the series opener, the Pale Hose will return the favor in the middle game.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The White Sox +1.5 (-190) are too expensive so look to the money line instead for a much better value.

PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 7 (-105) is a rather low number, but it’s still the play with Rodon and Burnes each rolling right along.

The Under has hit in the past two starts for Rodon and seven of his past 10 outings. And while the Over has hit in five of the past six starts for Burnes, it’s mostly due to the offense. He has done his part for Under bettors allowing one or no runs in all four of his past four appearances.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers betting breakdown: Expert picks and analysis

Want winners? Geoff Clark breaks down Friday’s Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers matchup and offers up his prediction and best bets.

The Chicago White Sox (58-38) meet the host Milwaukee Brewers (56-41) Friday at American Family Field to start a three-game interleague series. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 0-0.

RHP Lucas Giolito is Chicago’s projected starter. He is 8-6 with a 3.90 ERA (113 IP, 49 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 19 starts.

  • Last outing: Complete-game win, 10-1, with 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB and 8 K Saturday against the Houston Astros.
  • vs. Brewers on the current roster (36 PA): 5.79 FIP with a .194 batting average, .301 wOBA, .540 expected slugging percentage, 27.8 K% and 87.0 mph exit velocity.

RHP Freddy Peralta is on the mound for the Brewers. He is 7-3 with a 2.39 ERA (98 IP, 26 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 12.4 K/9 over 17 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 2 BB and 6 K in Milwaukee’s 4-3 loss to the Cincinnati Reds July 10.
  • 2021 home stats: 4-1 with a 2.04 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.72 WHIP and 3.8 K/BB rate over nine starts and one relief outing.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

White Sox at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Brewers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox +1.5 (-200) | Brewers -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Brewers 3, White Sox 2

Money line (ML)

I’ll TAKE the BREWERS (-125) because we are seeing “reverse line movement” in the betting markets, the White Sox are only 23-21 on the road this year and Milwaukee is 46-31 when facing right-handed starters.

According to Pregame.com, more than three-quarters of the early action has been on Chicago’s money line but oddsmakers are moving the line toward Milwaukee.

You have to ask yourself, “Why would the House make the more popular side cheaper?” It feels like a trap, right? It’s a red flag in sports betting when oddsmakers move the line away from the team getting a majority of the bets.

Also, Giolito has been less effective on the road than at home this season. He has a 4.98 ERA and 1.30 WHIP on the road, compared to a 3.14 home ERA and 0.97 home WHIP. He also has a 3.8 K/BB rate on the road against a 4.2 K/BB rate at home.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because Milwaukee is just 17-24 ATS with a minus-1.1 run line margin this season as a home favorite and the Brewers covered the spread in just one of their nine interleague games and have the worst run line margin in the majors in interleague play.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-105) for a half unit because both bullpens have elite talent and rank in the top-tier of relief units in several advanced pitching metrics.

Furthermore, Peralta has been lights at home and the NL’s no-DH rule will help him navigate an explosive White Sox lineup. In fact, Chicago is 2-5 O/U in interleague contests this season.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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