Tag: White Sox Blue Jays odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago White Sox (15-34) and Toronto Blue Jays (21-26) wrap up a 3-game set at Rogers Centre Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The White Sox beat the Blue Jays 5-0 as +171 road underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday as the Under (7) hit. LHP Garrett Crochet won his 4th consecutive start for the White Sox, who snapped a 4-game skid.

The Blue Jays finished with just 2 hits and were shut out for the 3rd time this season. LHP Yusei Kikuchi lost his 3rd consecutive decision for Toronto, which failed to cash as a -187 favorite.

White Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Nick Nastrini vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Nastrini (0-2, 7.88 ERA) makes his 3rd start. The rookie has a 2.00 WHIP, 7.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 8 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 5 ER (6 R), 6 H, 5 BB, 3 K in 8-2 defeat at Philadelphia Phillies April 21
  • 2024 stats with Triple-A Charlotte: 0-4, 6.75 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.50 WHIP in 6 starts
  • Has never faced Blue Jays before

Bassitt (3-6, 5.03 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 48 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 4-3 home setback vs. Tampa Bay Rays Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 2-3, 4.94 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.46 WHIP in 5 starts
  • Career vs. White Sox (regular season): 3-2, 3.89 ERA (37 IP, 16 ER), 1.22 WHIP in 7 starts, including 1-0 with a 3.65 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 5 ER) last season

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White Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): White Sox +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Blue Jays -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (+100) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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White Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, White Sox 3

Moneyline

It’s unlikely that the Blue Jays (-250) will drop 2 of 3 against the White Sox, who have the worst record in the AL. However, risking $250 to win $100 on a team that has lost 4 of 5 seems a little expensive.

PASS. Bet the RL and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

While Nastrini struggled last time out, he allowed just 2 ER in his MLB debut April 15 against the Kansas City Royals (8th-best offense in MLB with 4.78 runs per game). The Blue Jays are 29th in MLB with 3.68 runs per game, so there is a chance that Nastrini could bounce back against a bottom-tier offense.

While Toronto likely wins at home with a more experienced starting pitcher, the Blue Jays have scored just 4 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 games — winning by 2 or more is a tough ask. We know how bad the Blue Jays offense is, but we’re not sure yet if Nastrini is actually a bad pitcher.

BET WHITE SOX +1.5 (+100).

Over/Under

The Under has hit in 10 of Chicago’s last 13 games and 8 of Toronto’s last 10. These are the 2 worst offenses in MLB this season. Nastrini’s ERA is also inflated because he’s only faced the Phillies and Royals, who have the 2nd- and 8th-highest batting averages in MLB, respectively.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-120).

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Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago White Sox (7-15) open a 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays (13-9) Monday. First pitch at Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting. The Blue Jays won the regular-season series 4-2 in 2022.

The White Sox played the Tampa Bay Rays tough over the weekend, including a pair of 1-run losses, but Chicago ended up getting swept in the 3-game set that was punctuated by a 4-1 loss Sunday. The Pale Hose have dropped 4 consecutive outings overall and 9 of the past 11 games.

The Blue Jays took 2 of 3 games from the New York Yankees on the road over the weekend, including a 5-1 victory in Sunday’s finale. Toronto won 2 of 3 against the Rays in its most recent series in Toronto and is 4-2 at home this season.

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White Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Lance Lynn vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Lynn (0-2, 7.59 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.83 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 through 21 1/3 IP.

  • Has posted just 1 quality start in his 4 outings, a no-decision on April 11 at the Minnesota Twins
  • Allowed 3 or more BB in 3 of his 4 starts this season
  • Has served up 6 HR in 21 1/3 IP with 10 BB and 29 H allowed
  • White Sox are 0-4 in Lynn’s starts this season

Bassitt (2-2, 5.40 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 21 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 2 ER on 4 H and 3 BB with 7 K across 6 IP in a loss in his only home start on April 13 against the Detroit Tigers
  • Has yielded just 1 HR across 18 1/3 IP over 3 outings since serving up 4 long balls in his season debut at the St. Louis Cardinals on April 2
  • Has posted 3 consecutive quality starts, including 6 1/3 scoreless IP in a win at the Houston Astros last time out on Tuesday

White Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): White Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Blue Jays -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-145) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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White Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 7, White Sox 3

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-160) are surprisingly affordable in their return home. Toronto has played just 6 of its 22 games at the Rogers Centre.

The White Sox are on a 4-game skid and Lynn has been serving up batting practice all season while Bassitt comes in with 3 consecutive quality starts.

Toronto is a strong play, and I’d go at it rather aggressively considering Lynn’s struggles.

Run line/Against the spread

The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+120) are worth a look on the run line against the struggling veteran Lynn, too.

Toronto’s 5 victories since April 14 were all by 2 or more runs, so if you like the Jays to win, you should also like them to cash on the run line.

While the White Sox played the Rays surprisingly tough over the weekend, Chicago has dropped 9 of the past 11 games overall and has lost by 2 or more runs in 6 of the previous 8 losses.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (-115) is the lean in this series opener.

The Over is 7-0 in the previous 7 meetings in this series, while cashing in 4 straight meetings at Rogers Centre.

The Over is 4-1-2 in the past 7 series openers for Chicago, too, while going 12-5-2 in the past 19 against a right-handed starting pitcher.

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Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (27-20) host the Chicago White Sox (23-23) Tuesday for the start of a 3-game series at Rogers Centre. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago is 5-5 straight up (SU) in the last 10 games. The White Sox split their 2-game interleague series with the Chicago Cubs this past weekend after dropping 2 of 3 at home vs. the Boston Red Sox.

Toronto is on a 5-game win streak, which includes a 4-game road sweep of the Los Angeles Angels. The Blue Jays are 7-3 SU in their last 10 contests.

The White Sox won last year’s season series with the Blue Jays 4-3 and Chicago had a plus-7 run differential in those meetings.

White Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Lucas Giolito vs. RHP Kevin Gausman 

Giolito is 3-1 with a 2.63 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 in 37 2/3 IP across 7 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 3-1, Wednesday at home vs. the Boston Red Sox with 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB and 7 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Blue Jays: One start — a no-decision in Chicago’s 3-1 loss in Toronto Aug. 25 — with 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 6 K.

Gausman is 4-3 with a 2.25 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 56 IP over 9 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 8-1, last Tuesday at the St. Louis Cardinals with 6-scoreless IP, 4 H, 2 BB and 8 K.

White Sox at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:24 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): White Sox +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Blue Jays -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-145) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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White Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, White Sox 1

Money line

RISK 1 unit on the BLUE JAYS (-180) instead of betting 1 unit because we are a little late to the party on Toronto’s ML but it has a 3-phase edge over the White Sox in starting and relief pitching and hitting.

The Blue Jays are 23-15 SU vs. right-handed starters while the White Sox are 17-19 SU against righty starters. Chicago’s lineup is 28th in both wRC+ and wOBA, 25th in BB/K rate and dead-last in hard-hit rate, per FanGraphs.

Gausman has pitched at a Cy Young-caliber in his first year as a Blue Jay and has outstanding pitching peripherals, including the best chase rate in baseball, according to Statcast. Toronto’s bullpen has a better ERA, WHIP, FIP and K/BB rate than Chicago’s, per FanGraphs.

If your standard wager is $100 then risk that on the BLUE JAYS (-180) to earn a $55 profit since Toronto’s ML is pricey.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Blue Jays -1.5 (+120) isn’t a big enough payout considering Toronto is just 6-14 RL as a home favorite while Chicago is 6-3 RL as a road underdog. The Under is also showing some value so save some betting bandwidth for the total.

Over/Under

BET a half-unit on the UNDER 7.5 (-107).

These teams have a combined 5-9 O/U with these starters on the mound, Rogers Centre is more pitcher-friendly this season (ranked 20th in park factor), Toronto is 7-13 O/U as a home favorite, Chicago is 3-6 O/U as a road underdog and White Sox and Blue Jays are 1-4 O/U in the last 5 games in Toronto.

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Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (73-55) and Toronto Blue Jays (66-59) tangle Thursday in the finale of a four-game series at Rogers Centre. First pitch is set for 3:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the White Sox vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Carlos Rodon is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He is 9-5 with a 2.38 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 13.1 K/9, and 2.5 BB/9 over 109 2/3 IP across 19 starts.

  • Is coming off the 10-day IL (shoulder) and hasn’t pitched since Aug. 7.
  • Has held current Toronto bats to a .586 aggregate OPS.

LHP Hyun Jin Ryu is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 12-6 with a 3.54 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 7.1 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 with 140 IP over 24 starts.

  • Threw 7 scoreless frames Aug. 20 against the Detroit Tigers in his last start. He had allowed 11 ER over 10 IP in his previous two outings.
  • Has held current Chicago bats to an aggregate .598 OPS in a small sample.

White Sox at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:56 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+145) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 5, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

This series has Toronto up two games to one with all three games surprisingly playing to the Under.

There is some systemic fade-the-White Sox lean in this series, pegging Chicago as an offense that has faced a lot of weak pitching in the AL Central and by a slightly fortunate overall tumble of pitching schedules.

The flipside has the Blue Jays being undersold by their win percentage. They’ve been undone by a 9-14 mark in 1-run games.

The Jays are 3-1 in their last four series finales at home; the Sox are 2-3 in their last five series finales on the road.

Both clubs are solid against lefty pitching and both make liberal use of righty bats. That plays as less of a deficit for Ryu, and with Rodon returning from an arm issue you can TAKE TORONTO (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the aggressive, juice-stained run-line odds.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under has hit the last three nights and is 5-0-1 in the six Chicago-Toronto meetings this season.

With some fade lean into the pitching and both offenses being of top-10 quality, BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-108).

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Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (73-54) and Toronto Blue Jays (65-59) meet Wednesday for the third contest of a four-game series at Rogers Centre. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the White Sox vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Lucas Giolito is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He is 9-9 with a 3.77 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 10.3 K/9, and 2.6 BB/9 over 148 IP through 25 starts.

  • Owns a 2.37 ERA and 0.74 WHIP over his last three starts.
  • Has held current Toronto bats to a .658 aggregate OPS.

LHP Robbie Ray is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 9-5 with a 2.79 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 11.0 K/9, and 2.2 BB/9 across 145 1/3 IP over 24 starts.

  • Fanned 11 in his last start and owns a 1.64 ERA over his last five turns.
  • Faced the White Sox June 8 in Chicago allowing 1 run on 5 hits while logging a season-high 13K over 6 1/3 IP.

White Sox at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox +1.5 (-210) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 4, White Sox 3

Money line (ML)

Chicago and Toronto have split the first two games of this series.

The White Sox are oversold by an offense that has faced a lot of weak pitching in the AL Central and by a slightly fortunate overall tumble of pitching schedules.

The Blue Jays are undersold by their .524 win percentage. They’ve been hampered by a 9-14 mark in 1-run games. A total of 23 1-run games is notably low – but the price on the run line doesn’t offer as much relative value as the TORONTO (-125) play here.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the extra juice drowning the price on the Jays winning by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under has hit the last two nights and is 4-0-1 in the five meetings this season.

Toronto has scored 3 or fewer runs in eight of its last 11 games. Figure both offenses as being a click or two too far out over their skis with their surface numbers. BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-112).

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Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (72-54) and Toronto Blue Jays (65-58) meet Tuesday for the second tilt of a four-game series at Rogers Centre. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the White Sox vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Dylan Cease is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He is 9-6 with a 4.06 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 11.7 K/9, and 3.7 BB/9 over130 2/3 IP across 25 starts.

  • Owns a 5.86 ERA and 1.46 WHIP through 58 1/3 IP across 12 starts on the road.
  • Has a 5.06 ERA over his last three starts.

RHP Jose Berrios is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 8-6 with a 3.52 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 9.1 K/9, and 2.5 BB/9 in 143 IP over 24 starts.

  • Coming off back-to-back clunkers allowing 8 ER over his last 9 1/3 IP.
  • Owns a 0.75 ERA in two starts at Rogers Centre since being acquired from the Minnesota Twins in a deadline deal. In four career turns in Toronto’s home park, Berrios has held foes to a .498 OPS.
  • Current White Sox batters own a  high-volume .688 OPS and .145 isolated power against the veteran right-hander. Berrios pitched in the same division as Chicago for six seasons.

White Sox at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:18 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Blue Jays -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox +1.5 (-200) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 4, White Sox 3

Money line (ML)

The Blue Jays are undersold by their .528 win percentage. Despite winning Monday’s series opener 2-1 they’ve been dinged by a 9-14 mark in 1-run games. A total of 23 1-run games is notably low – but the price on the run line doesn’t offer as much relative value.

The White Sox are oversold by an offense that has faced a lot of weak pitching in the AL Central and the overall tumble of pitching schedules.

BACK THE BLUE JAYS (-130).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS unless a price around +160 avails itself on the Toronto side.

Over/Under (O/U)

Toronto has scored 3 or fewer runs in seven of its last 10 games. However, peg both offenses as being a click or two too far out over their skis. With a quality starter matchup and a well-rested top-5 Chicago bullpen, the UNDER 8.5 (-102) HAS VALUE.

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Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (64-58) host the Chicago White Sox (72-53) Monday for the start of a four-game set at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the White Sox vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: White Sox lead 2-1.

RHP Lance Lynn is on the mound for the White Sox. Lynn is 10-3 with a 2.26 ERA (123 2/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 22 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 4 K in Chicago’s 3-2 win over the Oakland Athletics Wednesday.
  • Lynn took a no-decision against Toronto with 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 9 K in Chicago’s 6-2 loss June 9.
    • vs. Blue Jays on the current roster: 3.77 FIP with a .267 batting average (BA), .327 wOBA, .439 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 25.8 K% and 88.0 mph exit velocity (EV) in 93 plate appearances (PA).

RHP Alek Manoah makes his 13th start for the Blue Jays. Manoah is 5-2 with a 3.34 ERA (62 IP, 23 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 12-6, with 3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 2 K Tuesday at the Washington Nationals.
  • Manoah also got a no-decision in Toronto’s 6-2 victory over Chicago June 9 with 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 4 K.
    • vs. White Sox on the current roster: 1.91 FIP with a .231 BA, .231 wOBA, .419 xSLG, 15.4 K% and 92.9 mph EV in 13 PA.

White Sox at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+140) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 5, White Sox 3

Money line (ML)

This is a good price for the BLUE JAYS (-105) who’ve been consistent in Toronto aside from dropping two of three this past weekend against the Detroit Tigers. Also, the White Sox are just 30-29 on the road, and there’s value in backing Manoah in this spot.

First of all, Manoah got drilled in his last start, but that was on the road, and he’s a lot more effective at home. For instance, Manoah is 3-0 with a 1.91 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 6 ER) and 0.95 WHIP in five home starts.

Moreover, the Blue Jays are 3-0 coming off a loss with Manoah on the bump, including their 6-2 win over the White Sox June 9 when they gave Lynn the start. Not only that, but Manoah has a big-game pitcher moxie, and the Blue Jays are fighting for an AL Wild Card berth.

This outing against the White Sox qualifies as a “big game” given Toronto’s place in the standings. Manoah is 3-1 against teams with a winning record with a 1.65 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 3.3 K/BB and hasn’t allowed a home run.

BET 1 unit on the BLUE JAYS (-105).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

As awesome as it would be to have Toronto’s run line for insurance on our money line bet, the Blue Jays +1.5 (-180) is just a little out of my price range.

PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER (-107) for a tiny wager, if at all, because I prefer Toronto’s money line more than the total in this contest.

However, we have two “top of the rotation” guys on the mound Monday, and Lynn has the lowest ERA for any starter in the AL. In addition, both teams have played more to the Under in their location-based situational trends.

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