The 5 best prop bets for NFL Week 9

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

This week’s picks have a couple wide receivers showing why they were first round fantasy draft picks, a maligned quarterback lighting it up and two of the best at their respective positions going under their projections because of defensive attention.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 9

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 9 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 9.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 9

OFF = No odds currently listed.


The 5 best bets for NFL Week 9

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for the Week 9.

This week’s picks include Ohio standing tall, New York having another bad day, a couple young quarterbacks lighting up the scoreboard, and a division dagger being plunged.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Betting the NFL Line: Week 9

A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 9 action.

It’s only Week 9 in the NFL, but it can be argued the season could be done for teams like the New York Jets, Dallas Cowboys, Cincinnati Bengals, Miami Dolphins and Seattle Seahawks if they lose this week.

From playoff expectations to desperation.

It won’t officially end their seasons, but it will put them in holes likely too deep to dig out from.


Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


Houston Texans (+105) at New York Giants (-125)

Somehow the Jets are favored (1.5 points). New York is overdue for a competent game, and the Texans are down their top two receivers. However, until New York doesn’t look like a dumpster fire, stay away from them. Take the Texans on the moneyline (+105).


Dallas Cowboys (+120) at Atlanta Falcons (-145)

The Cowboys are watching their season slip and are 2.5-point road dogs. If they lose this one, their path to a division title is all but dead, and being a playoff contender becomes more unlikely. If the Dallas defense can rattle Kirk Cousins, there a chance. Take the Cowboys on the moneyline (+120).


Las Vegas Raiders (+260) at Cincinnati Bengals (-350)

The Bengals are big favorites (7 points at -105 Raiders, -115 Bengals). If you look at Cincy’s last seven games, the Bengals beat the teams they’re supposed to and lose to the teams they should. All three of their wins are by seven points or more. Take the Bengals and lay 7 points (-115).


Los Angeles Chargers (-125) at Cleveland Browns (+105)

The Browns have struggled early but played their best game of the season last week and have their third straight home game. This should be a low-scoring game, and Browns defense is strong enough to limit the Chargers. Take the Browns on the moneyline (+105).


New England Patriots (+150) at Tennessee Titans (-185)

This game has a very low Over/Under (38 points at -110 for both Over and Under). Both teams have strong defenses and offenses that struggle. This should be a field-position game that may require a defensive touchdown to top this number. Take Under 38 points (-110).


[lawrence-related id=495377]

Washington Commanders (-190) at New York Giants (+155)

The Commanders are solid road favorites (4 points at -110 for both teams). Three of Washington’s last four wins have come by 11 points or more and, while the last four losses for the Giants have been by 5, 10, 25, and 12 points. Nothing should change. Take the Commanders and lay 4 points (-110).


New Orleans Saints (-350) at Carolina Panthers (+260)

The Saints are big favorites (7.5 points at -110 for both teams). New Orleans has lost six straight games (the last four by a total of 78 points). But, the Saints trucked Carolina 47-10 in Week 1, and the Panthers are a worse team now. Begrudgingly take the Saints and lay 7.5 points (-110).


Denver Broncos (+350) at Baltimore Ravens (-450)

Baltimore is a huge favorite (9 points at -110 for both teams). The Broncos have won five of their last six games but haven’t beat a legitimate contender in any of them. The Ravens are stinging from a loss to Cleveland, but nine points is too many to give away. Take the Broncos plus 9 points (-110).


Miami Dolphins (+225) at Buffalo Bills (-275)

The Bills are pretty big home favorites (6 points at -110 for both teams). Buffalo has been on the road four of their last five games, and the Bills’ last two home games have produced wins by 37 and 24 points. Buffalo knocked out Tua the first time they played and may force him to make business decisions on Sunday. Take the Bills and lay 6 points (-110).


Jacksonville Jaguars (+280) at Philadelphia Eagles (-350)

The Eagles are huge favorites (7.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Jaguars are 0-3 on the road (in the United States), and the Eagles have hit their stride with three straight wins, including W’s by 25 and 20 points on the road the last two weeks. The Jags can’t hang with the surging Eagles. Take the Eagles and lay 7.5 points (-110).


Chicago Bears (-110) at Arizona Cardinals (-110)

The Over/Under on this game is in the middle of the pack (44.5 points at -110 for both). The Bears haven’t won on the road this season, whereas the Cardinals are playing their third straight road game. Look for Arizona to score enough to surpass that number. Take Over 44.5 points (-110).


Detroit Lions (-175) at Green Bay Packers (+145)

Detroit is a road favorite (3.5 points at -105 Lions, -115 Packers). The Lions are 3-0 on the road and have been imposing their will. The Packers have allowed two teams to score 30 points and lost both (Eagles and Vikings). The Lions have scored more than 30 points in each of their last four games. Take the Lions and lay 3.5 points (-105).


Los Angeles Rams (-130) at Seattle Seahawks (+110)

The Rams are road favorites (1.5 points at -110 for both teams). LA has won its last two games and has its starting wide receivers back. Seattle has lost four of its last five, including its last three games at home. The 12th Man isn’t a threat this season. Take the Rams and lay 1.5 points (-110).


Indianapolis Colts (+200) at Minnesota Vikings (250)

The Vikings are solid home favorites (5.5 points at -115 Colts, -105 Vikings). Three of Indy’s four losses have come by three points and, while the Vikings should win, the game may be closer than having to lay that many points. Take the Colts plus 5.5 points (-115).


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+350) at Kansas City Chiefs (-450)

The Over/Under is middle of the road (45.5 points at -110 for both). The Bucs offense can still move the ball, and the Chiefs are due to have a big game offensively after struggling. If Kansas City gets an early lead, the Chiefs won’t let up. Take Over 45.5 points (-110).


2024 NFL office pool pick’em: Week 9

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

2024 Week 9 picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2024 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2024 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 163-106 162-107 173-96 169-100 162-107 171-98 169-100
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,812-1,050-11 1,733-1,129-11 1,787-1,075-11 1,706-901-10 1,291-802-9 870-462-5 347-204-2
Accuracy 63.3% 60.5% 62.4% 65.4% 61.3% 65.3% 62.9%

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 135-129-5 128-129-11 133-129-7 132-130-7 136-125-8 142-120-7 136-125-7
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,384-1,472-17 1,413-1,438-21 1,441-1,414-18 1,331-1,276-10 1,092-1,001-12 704-617-16 263-277-11
Accuracy 48.8% 49.6% 50.8% 51.1% 52.2% 53.3% 48.7%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


The 5 best prop bets for Week 9

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

For this week’s picks we’re going with a pair of tight ends to surpass their numbers, a pair of running backs not hitting their projected numbers, and the revenge play of the year from the league’s most dynamic wide receiver.

Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 9

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 9 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 9.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Note: Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 9

OFF = No odds currently listed.


[betwidget_betmgm]


The 5 best bets for Week 9

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 9.

As we the turn the page into November, teams are losing more key players to injury, and some are already looking ahead to 2024. This week, we have two disappointing teams not scoring many points, two of the best quarterbacks driving their high Over/Under number past the total, two division leaders pushing their number Over, the worst team in the league starting a new losing streak, and a revenge play in Germany.

Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Betting the NFL line: Week 9

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 9.

It would appear we’ve reached an annual rite of passage that isn’t discussed in the NFL – tanking season.

At the moment, those obviously on board are the Washington Commanders and the Las Vegas Raiders. Washington traded away its two best pass rushers at the trade deadline, and the Raiders fired head coach Josh McDaniels and general manager Dave Ziegler. Almost immediately after, they announced the benching of starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo.

ThIs is what is quietly referred to as tanking in a league that claims teams don’t tank. Both teams have seen the handwriting on the wall for 2023 and are looking to improve their draft prospects for 2024. Teams will follow in the coming weeks, but for now we have two in full-on tank mode, and their betting lines will start reflecting such.

[lawrence-related id=483731]

Tennessee Titans (+120) at Pittsburgh Steelers (-145)

The Steelers are small favorites (2.5 points at -105 Titans, -115 Steelers). Will Levis had a big first career start last week, but going into Pittsburgh on a short week is going to be a problem. Mike Tomlin will have defenses dialed up Levis hasn’t seen on tape, which is why it typically takes times for young QBs to excel consistently. Take the Steelers and lay 2.5 points (-115).

Miami Dolphins (+105) at Kansas City (-125)

The Chiefs are coming off their worst game of the season and are very small favorites in Germany (1.5 points). If this “home game” for the Chiefs was at Arrowhead, I’d go with the Chiefs. On a neutral field, you have to like Miami’s chances, because the Chiefs don’t have the elite weapons to get into a shootout. Take the Dolphins on the moneyline (+105).

Minnesota Vikings (+180) at Atlanta Falcons (-225)

The Vikings have won three straight, but the loss of Kirk Cousins has Minnesota as big underdogs (4.5 points at -105 Vikings, -115 Falcons). The Vikings will be starting rookie QB Jaren Hall, but the Falcons have QB issues of their own to deal with and don’t have the credibility to be a favorite of that size. Take the Vikings plus 4.5 points (-105).

Arizona Cardinals (+280) at Cleveland Browns (-375)

There aren’t many points expected in this one (37.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Cardinals have struggled to score points, and they traded their starter on Tuesday. Reports say Kyler Murray will not be starting, which will make scoring points extremely difficult for the Cardinals against a strong Browns defense. Take Under 37.5 points (-110).

Los Angeles Rams (+140) at Green Bay Packers (-165)

The Rams are 3-5 but have played the Seahawks, 49ers, Bengals, Eagles, Steelers and Cowboys. The Packers have lost four straight and have losses to the Falcons, Raiders, Broncos and Vikings. Yet, Green Bay is favored (3 points at +100 Rams, -120 Packers). The Rams have the ability to win outright, and the Packers have shown nothing in a month, but you must keep tabs on Matthew Stafford‘s availability after he suffered a sprained throwing-hand thumb last week. Take the Rams plus 3 points (+100).

Washington Commanders (+145) at New England Patriots (-175)

The Commanders traded away their top two pass rushers and their offense is struggling. The Patriots offense has been quiet all season. The Over/Under is low (40.5 points at -110 for both), but not low enough for these two offenses. Take Under 40.5 points (-110).

Chicago Bears (+300) at New Orleans Saints (-375)

The Saints have been one of the most inconsistent teams in the league this season but remain huge favorites (8.5 points at -110 for both teams). That big number is more an indictment of how bad the Bears play, which should play to the Saints’ favor. Take the Saints and lay 8.5 points (-110).

Seattle Seahawks (+200) at Baltimore Ravens (-250)

Seattle has won five of its last six games, and the Ravens have won four of the last five. Both offenses are capable of putting up big points when they’re clicking. The Over/Under is reasonable (43 points at -110 for both). Both teams have enough big-play potential that shortens the field, and they should combine for enough points to hit this number. Take the Over (-110).

[lawrence-related id=483812]

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+125) at Houston Texans (-150)

The Texans are improving, especially on defense, which is why they are a 2.5-point favorite. The Buccaneers have lost three straight but have more talent on both sides of the ball than the Texans and will stop their losing skid Sunday. Take the Buccaneers on the moneyline (+125).

Indianapolis Colts (-140) at Carolina Panthers (+115)

The Colts’ rushing offense is back, but they remain a minimal road favorite (2.5 points at +100 Colts, -120 Panthers). Jonathan Taylor and Zack Moss are a dynamic one-two punch, and the Panthers are allowing 4.7 yards a carry. If the Colts hit that mark Sunday, they are capable of rushing 40 times. Take the Colts and lay 2.5 points (-100).

New York Giants (+100) at Las Vegas Raiders (-120)

The Raiders are small favorites (1.5 points at -110 for both teams) despite firing their head coach and general manager Tuesday night. The Giants have scored just 52 points in their last five games. Often when a coach is a fired inseason and assistant takes over, it motivates a down-and-out team. Announcing the benching of Garoppolo changed my pick on this one. Take the Giants on the moneyline (+100).

Dallas Cowboys (+130) at Philadelphia Eagles (-155)

This game will be a litmus test for both teams. The expectation is that the offenses are going to dominate given the O/U number (46 points at -110 for Over and Under). All it’s going to take is one team getting a lead to bring this game uptempo and they’re capable of zooming past this number. Take Over 46 points (-110).

Buffalo Bills (+110) at Cincinnati Bengals (-130)

The Bengals have dug themselves out of their early-season hole, and the Bills have been hit-and-miss. One thing both teams can do is score a lot of points. The Over/Under is high (49.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under), but all it takes is one of these potent offenses to hit on all cylinders to keep the points coming. Take Over 49.5 points (-110).

Los Angeles Chargers (-175) at New York Jets (+145)

The Jets have won three straight games, but the Chargers are favored (3 points at -120 Chargers, +100 Jets). The Chargers could be much better than 3-4, but they make critical mistakes that cost them games. This could be a playoff elimination game when the season is over and playoff spots are determined. The Chargers are better than their record shows and will be in the national spotlight to prove it. Take the Chargers and lay 3 points (-110).

NFL Picks: Office pool pick’em – Week 9

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

BetMGM Sportsbook $1,500 First Bet Offer!

New BetMGM customers can sign up today and get a First Bet Offer up to $1,500 using bonus code USAT. Just download the BetMGM app, deposit at least $10 and place your first wager on any game. If your first bet loses, you will receive bonus bets in the amount of your bet (up to $1,500). Just make sure you use bonus code USAT when you sign up. Bet Now!

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. CO, DC, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NV, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY. Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA). 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in DC, New York or Ontario.

2023 Week 9 picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2023 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2023 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,649-944-11 1,571-1,022-11 1,614-979-11 1,537-801-10 1129-698-9 699-364-5 178-104-2
accuracy (63.3%) (60.3%) (61.9%) (65.5%) (61.5%) (65.4%) (62.7%)

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,249-1,343-12 1,285-1,309-10 1,308-1,285-11 1,199-1,146-3 956-876-4 562-497-9 127-152-4
accuracy 48.0% 49.3% 50.2% 47.7% 52.1% 52.6% 44.9%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey