The 5 best prop bets for NFL Week 5

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

For this week’s prop bets, we take a first-ballot Hall of Famer hitting Under, a wide receiver with three TDs in the last two games adding to that total, and a quarterback, running back and wide receiver all going Over their respective projections.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 5

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 5 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 5.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Note: Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 5

OFF = No odds currently listed.


[betwidget_betmgm]


The 5 best NFL prop bets for Week 5

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

This week’s picks cover the gamut of Sunday’s games. We have a speed receiver showing his stuff in London to start the day. During the afternoon we have two of the most dynamic players surpassing their expectations and quarterback who will underperform by design. Sunday ends with fantasy football’s favorite son looking to take down America’s Team. We’re getting 14 hours of football, so we may as well make interesting from start to finish.

Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

The 5 best bets for NFL Week 5

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 5.

This week, we look at nothing but teams with pedigrees doing what they do best. The picks include two of the most heavily decorated teams of all time as underdogs, two defending division champs lighting up the scoreboard, the most heated rivalry in the league, and the defending Super Bowl champs winning. What could go wrong?

Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Picks: Office pool pick’em – Week 5

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

BetMGM Sportsbook $1,500 First Bet Offer!

New BetMGM customers can sign up today and get a First Bet Offer up to $1,500 using bonus code USAT. Just download the BetMGM app, deposit at least $10 and place your first wager on any game. If your first bet loses, you will receive bonus bets in the amount of your bet (up to $1,500). Just make sure you use bonus code USAT when you sign up. Bet Now!

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. CO, DC, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NV, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY. Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA). 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in DC, New York or Ontario.

2023 Week 5 picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2023 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2023 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,649-944-11 1,571-1,022-11 1,614-979-11 1,537-801-10 1129-698-9 699-364-5 178-104-2
accuracy (63.3%) (60.3%) (61.9%) (65.5%) (61.5%) (65.4%) (62.7%)

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,249-1,343-12 1,285-1,309-10 1,308-1,285-11 1,199-1,146-3 956-876-4 562-497-9 127-152-4
accuracy 48.0% 49.3% 50.2% 47.7% 52.1% 52.6% 44.9%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


Betting the NFL Line Week 5

A league-wide view into the smartest wagers to make for NFL Week 5 action.

Many weeks during an NFL season are marked by the time-honored divisional rivalry games that make the league must-see TV. Clearly, Week 5 isn’t viewed as one of those weeks.

Of the 14 games on the schedule, only one – the bitter Baltimore RavensPittsburgh Steelers rivalry – is a divisional matchup. The rest of the games are teams that don’t play one another nearly as often and six of the 13 are non-conference opponents.

Familiarity breeds contempt. Week 5 isn’t that contentious, especially when almost half the games pit teams that likely won’t see each other again for four years.

Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Chicago Bears (+200) at Washington Commanders (-250)

The Bears are 0-4 and their two road losses have been by 10 and 31 points. The Commanders are a solid favorite (5.5 points -110 for both teams). Washington isn’t flashy but gave the Philadelphia Eagles all they could handle last week and are the better team in this matchup. Take the Commanders and lay 5.5 points.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+200) at Buffalo Bills in London (-250)

Following a brutal season-opening loss to the New York Jets, the Bills have hit their stride with three convincing wins. The Over/Under is high (49 points at -110 for both the Over and Under), but it’s because the Bills have scored 37 or more points in each of their last three games. The Jaguars will have to play Buffalo’s style, which is hard to keep up with. Take the Over of 49 points (-110).

Houston Texans (+110) at Atlanta Falcons (-130)

The Falcons are a different team at home. In two home games (both wins), they have outscored their opponents 49-35. In two road games (both losses), they’ve been outscored 43-13. The Falcons are a small favorite (1.5 points at -105 Texans, -115 Falcons). The Texans are riding a two-game winning streak, but their run defense has been pushed around – and that’s what the Falcons do best. Take the Falcons and lay 1.5 points (-115).

Carolina Panthers (+350) at Detroit Lions (-450)

The Lions have won their last two games by 14 points each, which explains why they’re such a big favorite (9.5 points at -110 for both the Lions and Panthers). Carolina has lost both of its road games by double digits, and the Lions may be the best team the Panthers have faced this season. Take the Lions and lay 9.5 points (-110).

Tennessee Titans (-115) and Indianapolis Colts (-105)

The Titans are a slight road favorite (1 point at -110 for both teams), but something will have to give in this one. Tennessee has lost both of its road games this season, and Indianapolis has lost both its home games. This has the look of a close game and, if Derrick Henry can control the time of possession, that should be enough. Take the Titans and lay 1 point (-110).

New York Giants (+440) at Miami Dolphins (-550)

The Dolphins are coming off a beat-down from the Bills, but it hasn’t impacted them being the biggest favorite in this week’s games (10.5 points at -110 for both the Dolphins and Giants). The Giants have been brutal, and when they lose, they lose big. Their three losses have come by 40, 18 and 21 points. Look to add another big number to that list. Take the Dolphins and lay 10.5 points (-110).

New Orleans Saints (-105) at New England Patriots (-115)

The Saints offense has struggled to score points all season (62 points in four games) and the Patriots specialize in shortening games and keeping them close. The Patriots are the smallest of favorites (1 point at -110 for both teams). Neither team is likely to blow out the other, so you lean toward the advantages that come with being at home. Take the Patriots and lay 1 point (-110).

[lawrence-related id=482477]

Baltimore Ravens (-210) at Pittsburgh Steelers (+170)

This rivalry is typically a low-scoring bloodbath. In the last five meetings, the Steelers have won four times, but neither team has scored more than 20 points in any of them. The Ravens are solid road favorites (4 points at -110 for both teams). Kenny Pickett has vowed he will play through a knee injury suffered last week, but Pittsburgh just doesn’t appear to have the offensive firepower to compete with the Ravens right now. Take the Ravens and lay 4 points (-110).

Philadelphia Eagles (-225) at Los Angeles Rams (+180)

The Rams have been one of the surprise stories of 2023, starting 2-2 with three of their first four games on the road. The Eagles are undefeated but have been winning close games and not dominating as many expected. Philadelphia is a solid road favorite (4.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Rams won’t be a pushover, but the Eagles should be able to cover the spread this week. Take the Eagles and lay 4.5 points (-110).

Cincinnati Bengals (-150) at Arizona Cardinals (+125)

The Bengals offense has sputtered all season – scoring just 49 points in four games – but are in desperation mode at 1-3. The Cardinals offense has been hot and cold so the Over/Under isn’t too high (44.5 points at -110 for both). In a game the Bengals need to win with key injuries on offense, this looks like a game that will be see drives that will need to be sustained to avoid a battle of field position. Take the Under of 44.5 points (-110).

New York Jets (+100) at Denver Broncos (-120)

The question posed for this game is which is worse – the Broncos defense or the Jets offense? The Broncos were humbled by the Dolphins scoring 70 points, but their other two losses have been one and two points. The Jets offense is dismal, which may explain the low Over/Under number (43 points at -110 for both Over and Under). This has the feel of a game with a lot of punts and playing it safe. Take the Under of 43 points (-110).

Kansas City Chiefs (-200) at Minnesota Vikings (+165)

The Chiefs haven’t been playing their “A” game, which is reflected by how small a favorite they are (4 points at -110 for both the Chiefs and Vikings). Minnesota’s defense stepped up against the Panthers last week to earn their first win, but that was against rookie Bryce Young, not Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs will thrive against Minnesota’s defense, and the Vikings won’t have an answer. Take the Chiefs and lay 4 points (-110).

Dallas Cowboys (+150) at San Francisco 49ers (-185)

Nobody has slowed down the 49ers. San Francisco has scored 30 or more points in every game, and no opponent has been able to hang with them for 60 minutes. The 49ers are a mild favorite (3.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Cowboys have dominated lesser teams so far this season, but this will be their biggest test – and they may have to play perfect ball not to fail. Take the 49ers and lay 3.5 points (-110).

Green Bay Packers (-130) at Las Vegas Raiders (+110)

The Raiders have been a dumpster fire that has gone from bad to worse as the season has progressed – in the second and third quarters, they have been outscored 61-9. They are a home underdog (2.5 points at -105 Packers, -115 Raiders). While the Packers have issues of their own, they don’t have as many self-inflicted wounds as the Raiders. Take the Packers and lay 3.5 points (-110).