Tag: Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers odds predictions pick betting line spread

Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (7-9) visit the Los Angeles Dodgers (11-8) on Tuesday night. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nationals lead 1-0

The Nationals got back in the win column with a 6-4 victory over the Dodgers to cover as +360 road underdogs. SS CJ Abrams had a a HR and scored 2 runs while 2B Luis Garcia Jr. had a 3-run HR. LHP Mitchell Parker pitched 5 innings and gave up 2 ER to pick up the win.

The Dodgers have lost back-to-back games, both as home favorites. DH Shohei Ohtani had 2 runs and C Will Smith had 2 RBIs in Monday’s loss. RHP Tyler Glasnow allowed 6 ER in 5 innings.

Nationals at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Bobby Miller (unconfirmed)

Corbin (0-2, 8.44 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.94 WHIP, 2.25 BB/9 and 5.63 K/9 through 16 IP.

  • Nationals are 1-2 in his 3 starts this season with the lefty allowing 11 ER in his last 2 outings
  • Has 10 Ks and 1 BB in 16 IP
  • Current 8.44 ERA is the highest of his career

Miller (1-1, 5.40 ERA) is likely to make his 4th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 4.60 BB/9 and 13.9 K/9 through 11 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 3 BB, 4 K in 3-2 loss at Minnesota Twins on April 10
  • Has 6-3, 4.12 ERA in 11 career starts at Dodger Stadium

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Nationals at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Dodgers -255 (bet $255 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+110) | Dodgers -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Nationals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Nationals 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Dodgers (-255) to beat the Nationals (+210).

Run line/Against the spread

BET DODGERS -1.5 (-135).

Three of the Nationals’ last 5 losses have come by 2 or more runs while the team has scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of its last 10 games. With Corbin taking the mound for Washington, the Dodgers have the perfect opportunity to get back on track and get their offense going. Each of LA’s last 4 wins has come by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (+100).

Corbin has been rocked in his last 2 outings for Washington giving up 11 total runs. The Dodgers have scored 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games and have hit the Over in 3 of their last 4. Washington has had hot bats recently scoring 6 runs in each of their last 2 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 7.

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Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington National at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (23-32) and Los Angeles Dodgers (34-22) close out their 3-game series in the City of Angels on Wednesday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 2-0

The Nationals lost 9-3 Tuesday, suffering a 3rd straight defeat after opening a 6-game road trip with 2 wins. Washington has allowed 18 runs over the course of their current losing skid while plating just 6 of its own.

The Dodgers look to complete their first series sweep of the season on Wednesday afternoon. DH J.D. Martinez (3 RBIs) and OF Jason Heyward (2 RBIs) produced 5 of Los Angeles’ 9 runs Tuesday.

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Nationals at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard

Corbin (4-5, 4.88 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 62 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 6 K in a 12-10 road win vs. the Kansas City Royal Friday
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 5-12, 4.37 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 108 K in 119 1/3 IP across 22 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Recorded 3 consecutive victories

Syndergaard (1-4, 6.27 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 47 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 9-3 road loss at the Tampa Bay Rays Friday
  • Career vs. Nationals: 8-6, 3.25 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 107 K in 113 2/3 IP across 20 starts
  • Has not recorded a win since April 30th

Nationals at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Nationals 5

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-250) are the better team and should win this game on talent alone, but all bets are off with Syndergaard on the bump. He hasn’t won a game in over a month, and because L.A. is such a heavy favorite there is no value in this bet.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

There is no value to these bets either. Normally the favorite gets plus odds to give the underdog a run and a half but betting the Dodgers -1.5 (-105) has you still giving juice to the book.

I am slightly interested in the Nationals +1.5 (+105) but I would have liked to be getting at least +125.

PASS on the run line, but you can make a partial-unit play on the Nats if that price improves to +125.

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Over/Under

Both of these pitchers are no strangers to giving up runs. Corbin and Syndergaard have allowed 21 runs over their last 3 starts combined.

The Dodgers have gone Over this total in 3 of their last 4 games. Washington’s pitching has been crushed to the tune of 15 runs over the first 2 games of this series.

BET OVER 9.5 (-115).

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Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (23-30) will begin a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (32-22) on Monday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; went 3-3 in 2022

The Nationals lost 3-2 to the Kansas City Royals on Sunday despite LHP Mackenzie Gore striking out 11 batters. Washington is 5-5 in its last 10 games and is in last place in the NL East.

On Sunday, the Dodgers lost 11-10 to the Tampa Bay Rays. Los Angeles is 4-6 in its last 10 contests and is only 1.5 games ahead of the Arizona Diamondbacks for the NL West lead.

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Nationals at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Trevor Williams vs. RHP Bobby Miller

Williams (2-2, 4.32 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 50 innings.

  • Has given up 3-plus ER in 3 of his last 4 starts
  • Owns an 0-1 record with a 5.67 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, and 7.3 K/9 in 6 career appearances (5 starts) against the Dodgers

Miller (1-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd career start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 5 innings.

  • Allowed 1 ER on 4 H with 1 BB and 5 K in 5 IP in his debut on May 23 against the Atlanta Braves
  • Was 10-10 with 3.79 ERA in 3 minor league seasons

Nationals at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Nationals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Nationals 3

Moneyline

Even though the Dodgers should cruise to a win on Monday night, PASS on taking the -250 moneyline in this game.

Run line/Against the spread

DODGERS -1.5 (-125) has solid value despite Los Angeles winning only 4 of its last 10 games. The Dodgers get to return home after a 10-game road trip and get to face a pitcher in Williams who has struggled in recent starts.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (-105) is the pick in this NL matchup with Williams sputtering in recent starts and Miller making just his 2nd career start. The Dodgers have produced 5-plus runs in 8 of their last 10 games, so we’ll likely just need a couple of runs from the Nationals to hit the Over.

Los Angeles is 4-0 to the Over in its last 4 games following a loss and 7-1 to the Over in its last 8 games overall.

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Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodger odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (34-65) attempt to complete a 3-game road sweep over the Los Angeles Dodgers (64-32) Wednesday afternoon. First pitch for the series finale is 3:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Nationals lead the season series 3-2.

After taking the first 2 games of the series 4-1 and 8-3, the Nationals have now won 3 games in a row. After losing 9 games in a row, they have won 4 of their last 6.

The Dodgers, after winning 8 in a row and going 19-2 in 21 games, have now lost 2 games in a row for the 1st time since June 27-28 against the Colorado Rockies.

 Nationals at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. LHP Andrew Heaney

Corbin (4-13, 6.02 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.70 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 104 2/3 IP.

  • The Nationals have lost his last 4 starts and 6 of his last 7.
  • He has an 8.44 ERA in his last 3 starts, spanning 16 innings.

Heaney (1-0, 0.59 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.85 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 13.5 K/9 in 15 1/3 IP.

  • In his first start since April, he allowed 2 R (1 ER) on 5 H and a 1 BB in 5 IP in a 5-3 loss to the Cleveland Guardians June 19.
  • Has 5.14 ERA in 2 career appearances vs. Nationals.

Nationals at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:32 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +230 (bet $100 to win $130) | Dodgers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +2.5 (-130) | Dodgers -2.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Nationals 3

Money line

The Nationals have not won more than 3 games in a row all season. They have not swept a series all season.

Corbin is not pitching well this season or as of late and Heaney has been very effective in his 3 starts this season.

The Dodgers have not been swept since June 10-12. Their 34 home wins are the 2nd-most in all of baseball.

But the money line is not worth any action at -300 for the Dodgers. PASS. 

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Run line/Against the spread

Tuesday’s run line makes for an interesting decision because it’s 2.5 runs instead of the standard 1.5.

The Dodgers are the 2nd-best team in the majors against the spread at 57-39 ATS, while the Nationals are the 2nd-worst at 42-57 ATS.

Six of the Dodgers’ last 7 wins have been by 3 or more runs.

Of the Nationals’ 16 losses when Corbin starts, 11 have been by 3 or more runs.

Take the DODGERS -2.5 (+105).

Over/Under

Seven of the Nationals’ last 9 games have had 9 or more runs. Corbin’s last 2 starts have had 9 or more total runs.

Seven of the Dodgers’ last 12 have had at least 9 runs.

Take OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (33-65) and Los Angeles Dodgers (64-31) meet Tuesday at 10:10 p.m. ET for the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 2-2.

The Nationals won Monday’s opener 4-1 and have now won back-to-back games for the first time since June 27-28. A Washington pitching staff that clocked a 5.90 ERA from July 5-23 has yielded just 4 runs over its last 2 games.

The Dodgers went into Monday toting an 8-game win streak. Los Angeles has not lost consecutive home games since June 4-5. Since then, the Dodgers are 17-4 at Chavez Ravine.

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Nationals at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Mitch White

Gray (7-6, 4.40 ERA) owns a 1.27 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 92 IP across 17 starts.

  • Has filed a 12.6 K/9 over his last 4 starts, but he’s allowed 13 ER in his last 16 2/3 IP.
  • Was shellacked by the Dodgers in a home start May 24 when he allowed 7 runs on 5 hits (3 home runs) and 3 walks across just 3 innings pitched.

White (1-2, 3.78 ERA) owns a 1.22 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 50 IP in 14 games (9 starts).

  • Has authored an 0.59 ERA over his last 3 starts in Chavez Ravine and owns a 2.88 home ERA for the season.
  • Has been helped along by a .255 batting average on balls in play.

Nationals at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-103) | Dodgers -1.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Nationals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Nationals 3

Money line

Underlying pitching numbers point to some value on the visitors’ side here. However, the all-around pricing of this match-up leaves much to be desired. PASS, and perhaps keep an eye on the line. The Nats would have a sliver of value at +210.

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Run line/Against the spread

NATIONALS +1.5 (-103) does not have a ton of value, but it may well be the closest approximation of leverage at the current prices. Consider a partial-unit play unless the price tilts into plus-money territory.

Over/Under

With White’s numbers being a bit overcooked and Washington’s batting numbers being undercooked (a July BABIP of .247 heading into this week hasn’t helped) — and with a batter’s wind in the forecast and two fly-ballers on the mound — the Over is the lean in principle.

However, the pricing here nixes any value. AVOID unless the tag on 8-1/2 runs drops to -120 or better.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (51-31) meet the Washington Nationals (40-40) Saturday in the third game of their four-game series at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Dodgers rallied against the Nationals for the second consecutive game with a nine-run top of the 7th to key their 10-5 victory Friday. L.A. has won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 16-7.

Season series: Dodgers lead 5-0.

LHP Clayton Kershaw makes his 18th start for the Dodgers. Kershaw is 9-7 with a 3.25 ERA (102 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-1, with 8 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 13 K Sunday against the Chicago Cubs.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster (including playoffs): 220 at-bats with a .241/.277/.341 slash line, 60/9 K/BB, 4 HR and 11 RBIs.

RHP Paolo Espino is on the mound for the Nationals. Espino is 2-2 with a 2.02 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.87 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 over three starts and 15 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: Win, 8-4, with 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 3 K Monday against the New York Mets.
  • No career appearances vs. current Dodgers hitters.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Dodgers at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -2.5 (+100) | Nationals +2.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Dodgers 8, Nationals 3

Money line (ML)

The only play here is to BET the DODGERS (-250) for 1 unit (not to win 1 unit) because July has been Kershaw’s best month of the year throughout his career and we’ve seen “sharp” line movement toward the Dodgers.

For instance, Kershaw has his best winning percentage, ERA, WHIP and K/BB rate in July compared to any other month in the MLB regular season.

Also, the market has already steamed L.A. up from a -165 opening line favorite to the current price point of DODGERS (-250).

If oddsmakers were comfortable with their original price they wouldn’t have moved the number 85 cents on the dollar. Plus MLB regular-season games don’t get as much action as the NBA or NFL so this live movement is jarring.

To explain the “not to win 1 unit” above: if your standard unit in sports betting is $100 then just risk that on L.A.’s money line to earn a $40 profit instead of going out of your comfort zone and betting $250 to win $100.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since we are paying a hefty price for L.A.’s money line and even if the Dodgers -2.5 (+100) get out to a five or six-run lead then we’d still have to be concerned the Nationals could “sneak in the backdoor” if L.A. uses its less effective relievers in a blowout.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit because L.A. is 10-6 O/U when Kershaw starts and if he doesn’t give the Dodgers seven or more innings then maybe the scenario described in the run line section is what cashes the Over.

Furthermore, Espino is more or less an “opener” for the Nationals leading to a “bullpen day” and, while his home splits are very impressive, Espino hasn’t started against a lineup nearly as dangerous as the Dodgers.

We’ve seen L.A.’s lineup rake Washington’s bullpen in the first two games of this series and if Espino isn’t sharp early, the Dodgers might drill the Nationals.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (40-39) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (50-31) Friday in the second game of their four-game series at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. rallied down 2-1 in the top of the 5th to score five runs and steal the first game of the series, 6-2, after the game was called following the 5th inning due to rain.

Season series: Dodgers lead 4-0.

LHP Julio Urias is making his 17th start for the Dodgers. Urias is 9-3 with a 3.95 ERA (93 1/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 12 K Saturday in L.A.’s 3-2 victory over the Chicago Cubs.
  • Urias picked up a win April 10 vs. the Nationals, 9-5, in 5 2/3 IP with 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB and 3 K.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster (including the playoffs): 60 at-bats with a .350/.361/.433 slash line, 8/0 K/BB, 1 HR and 5 RBIs.

RHP Max Scherzer is on the hill for the Nationals. Scherzer is 7-4 with a 2.14 ERA (88 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 across 15 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-1, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 7 K Sunday at the Miami Marlins.
  • Scherzer lost April 11 vs. the Dodgers with a stat line of 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 5 K in L.A.’s 3-0 win.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster (including the playoffs): 111 at-bats with a .162/.260/.351 slash line, 40/13 K/BB, 5 HR and 10 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Dodgers at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Nationals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Nationals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

BET the NATIONALS (+100) for 1 unit because Washington’s lineup is one of the best vs. left-handed pitching and Scherzer is an ace who still has electric stuff whereas Urias is more of a “middle of the rotation” starter.

For instance, the Nationals hitters are top-10 in both wRC+ and wOBA against LHP. Also, Scherzer has nine quality starts and has given up two or fewer earned runs in 13 of his 15 starts while Urias has seven quality starts and has given up three or more runs in seven of his 16 outings.

Furthermore, I’d prefer to “fade the market” rather than follow it with L.A. being steamed up 30 cents on the dollar from +110 opening line underdog to the current price, according to Pregame.com.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the NATIONALS -1.5 (+200) ALTERNATE RUN LINE for a quarter unit – if at all – because Urias didn’t have his best stuff last month and I think this Washington lineup can get to him early.

In June, Urias gave up more than two home runs per nine innings, had a lower K-BB% than his 2021 average and 4.74 FIP (3.49 FIP for the season).

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-105) for a one-third unit because the presumed “sharp” money is barreling into the Over while a majority of the “public” action is on the Under with most of the situational trends suggesting a lower-scoring affair.

According to Pregame.com, nearly 80% of the money wagered on the Dodgers-Nationals total is on the Over whereas more than 70% of the bets placed are on the Under. Typically, it’s more profitable in sports betting to follow the money when it’s flowing in the opposite direction of the public.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (1-4) close out their three-game set with the defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers (7-2) Sunday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. is going for the series sweep Sunday after winning 9-5 Saturday and 1-0 Friday.

Season series: Dodgers 2-0.

RHP Max Scherzer (0-0) makes his second start of the season for the Nationals. He took a no-decision Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves.

Scherzer pitched 6 innings, giving up 4 earned runs on 5 hits with 4 home runs allowed. He struck out 9 with no walks in Washington’s 6-5 win. Three of the four homers were hit by All-Stars RF Ronald Acuña Jr. and 1B Freddie Freeman.

LHP Clayton Kershaw takes the hill for the Dodgers in the series finale.

Kershaw got a win in his last outing at the Oakland Athletics. He went 7 innings while striking out 8 with no walks while allowing only 1 earned run on 4 hits in L.A.’s 5-1 victory.

  • 2021: 1-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.18 WHIP (12 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 14 H, 10 K, 1 BB) in 2 starts.
  • Career vs. Nationals: 12-3 with a 2.23 ERA (109 IP, 27 ER, 77 H, 126 K, 23 BB) in 17 appearances and 16 starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Nationals at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 4, Dodgers 2

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the NATIONALS (+145) for a quarter-unit because Scherzer is still an ace and has always pitched well against the Dodgers.

Since arriving in Washington, Scherzer is 3-1 with a 1.64 ERA (33 IP, 6 ER, 24 H, 51 K, 11 BB) in 5 starts. All three of those Scherzer victories were at Dodger Stadium.

Furthermore, the last time these teams met—the 2019 National League Division Series—Kershaw lost Game 2 and blew a save in L.A.’s Game 5 loss by giving up two home runs in the top of the eighth inning.

So, while the Dodgers are the king of the mountain, the starting pitching matchup favors the Nationals.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

According to Pregame.com, nearly 80% of the money wagered overnight has been on the Dodgers, but the Nationals have gotten cheaper on the run line, which could only mean bookmakers want more L.A. money.

Also, the Nationals have hit lefties really well since the beginning of last season; Washington is 11-6 vs. left-handed starters while ranked third in wRC+, OPS and wOBA vs. lefties.

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-140) for a half-unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115) for a half-unit based on the obvious reasons. The past two World Series champions have two aces on the mound who aren’t too far removed from their primes.

Lastly, more money is on the Under while more bets have been placed on the Over.

The money column is considered the “sharp” side of the market whereas the “average joe” makes up the bets placed column. Typically, it’s more profitable in sports betting to follow the money and not the crowd of people.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (1-3) and Los Angeles Dodgers (6-2) continue their weekend set Saturday evening with a 9:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. Corbin started the season on the COVID-19 injured list but was cleared for action for this turn against the Dodgers. A year ago, Corbin went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 65 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

The Washington southpaw logged a 6.59 ERA over five road turns in 2020; his career road ERA of 4.41 is more than a run higher than his 3.32 home mark.

LHP Julio Urias is the projected starter for the Dodgers. He appeared in 11 games last season, going 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 2.9 BB/9 over 55 IP. The 24-year-old lefty got his 2021 season off to a good start with a fine seven-inning outing at the Colorado Rockies April 4 (7 IP, 1 ER on 3 H).

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Nationals got off to a late start to the season due to COVID-19 protocols. Now, the team may be back but the offense is not. The Nats were blanked 1-0 in Friday’s series opener, and the game marked their second in a row without a run.

With players — including Corbin — starting to filter back into the lineup, Washington’s overall fitness and readiness level is an evolving situation. It’d be best to avoid full-unit plays on the Nats until things solidify a bit.

The slightest lean is on WASHINGTON (+150) in Saturday’s contest.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line. Taking an outright swing is the best play for a side here.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 7.5 (-110) is the strongest play in this contest. The Dodgers offense is cranked up, averaging 5.62 runs per game on the strength of an .865 OPS. The Nats offense is going to get better; the question is when?

A road contest against a lefty starter puts Washington in line with its best splits from last season.

A light hitter’s breeze in the forecast doesn’t hurt.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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