Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Capitals (14-6-1) meet the Tampa Bay Lightning (11-7-2) Wednesday at Amalie Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT/Max). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Capitals vs. Lightning odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Lightning lead 1-0; Tampa Bay won 3-0 as a moderate favorite (-159) as the Under (6.5) cashed Oct. 26, also at Amalie Arena

The Capitals picked up a 4-1 win Monday night in Sunrise against the Florida Panthers, their first victory in 3 tries since Alex Ovechkin went down with a broken fibula. The Caps are still averaging just 2.3 goals per game (GPG) in the 3-game span, while allowing just 2.0 GPG. The Under has cashed in all 3 outings.

The Lightning hammered the Colorado Avalanche 8-2 as a light favorite (-117) while taking care of the Over (6.5) on their own. The Over is 2-0-1 in the past 3 games, with Tampa Bay lighting the lamp 16 times, while allowing 13 goals in the span.

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Capitals at Lightning odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 10:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Capitals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Lightning -144 (bet $144 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Capitals +1.5 (-205) | Lightning -1.5 (+164)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)

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Capitals at Lightning projected goalies

Charlie Lindgren (5-5-0, 2.64 GAA, .901 SV%) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (10-6-1, 2.24 GAA, .915 SV%, 2 SO)

Lindgren is projected to get the start. He allowed 3 goals on 33 shots in a 3-2 setback against the New Jersey Devils last time out Saturday. He has allowed 3 or fewer goals in each of his previous 9 starts. He has a solid 2.65 GAA and .915 SV% in the past 5 starts in November, but just a 2-3-0 record.

Vasilevskiy allowed just 2 goals on 25 shots in the 8-2 win over the Avalanche Monday. He has allowed 2 or fewer goals in 5 of the previous 6 outings, and he is 4-3-1 with an impressive 1.99 GAA and .920 SV% and a shutout in 8 starts in November.

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Capitals at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Capitals 2

Moneyline

The LIGHTNING (-144) are a strong play as moderate favorites at home.

Tampa Bay already shut the Capitals (+120) out once at home this season, and the Lightning are 4-1-1 in the past 6 outings, including 4-1 in Vasilevskiy’s previous 5 outings.

The Caps are having difficulty lightning the lamp lately, and it’s something it will have to figure out after Ovechkin’s injury, as he won’t be back for at least a month or so.

Puck line/Against the spread

If you’re a little bit more adventurous, LIGHTNING -1.5 (+164) is worth a look at plus-money.

In Tampa Bay’s past 5 victories, it has won by 2 or more goals on 4 occasions. So, if you like the Lightning to win, you should like them to get the job done, too. Plus, they won and covered the puck line in the first meeting with the Caps, too.

Over/Under

The UNDER 6.5 (-120) is the lean, but go with a half-play at most.

The Over is 2-0-1 in the past 3 games for Tampa, but the Under is still 5-2-1 in the past 8 outings despite the uptick in offense and lack of defense lately.

The Caps have cashed low in 3 straight, scoring 2.33 GPG, while allowing just 2.0 GPG in the span.

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