Ohio at Virginia NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament First Round Odds, Picks and Prediction

The No. 4 seed Virginia Cavaliers (18-6) and the No. 13 seed Ohio Bobcats (16-7) will meet in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday

A first-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the 13th-seeded Ohio Bobcats (16-7) hit the court as 7-point underdogs against the No. 4 seed Virginia Cavaliers (18-6) on Saturday at Assembly Hall (Indiana). The contest starts at 7:15 PM ET on TRU. Here’s what you need to know when filling out your brackets for this 4-13 matchup.

The Cavaliers were led by Sam Hauser’s 21 points last time out in a 72-69 victory over Syracuse on Thursday. They failed to cover the spread as 5.5-point favorites, while the teams scored a combined 141 points to go over the 130 over/under.

Jason Preston led the way for the Bobcats with a team-high 22 points last time out as they picked up a 84-69 win over Buffalo and covered the 3-point spread as underdogs. The teams combined to hit the under on the 156 point total set for the matchup.

Ohio at Virginia: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 4:25 AM ET on March 19, 2021.

  • Money line: Ohio +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Virginia -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Ohio +7 (-110) | Virginia -7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 130.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Virginia: Three things to know

  • The Cavaliers scoring leader is Hauser, who averages 16.0 points per game. Hauser is the top three-point shooter for the team, hitting 2.6 per game.
  • The Cavaliers score just 4.7 fewer points per game (68.6) than the Bobcats allow (73.3).
  • Virginia is 6-0 against the spread and 6-1 overall when scoring more than 73.3 points.

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Ohio: Three things to know

  • Preston leads the Bobcats in scoring (16.6 points per game) and assisting (7.2 assists per game). Ben Roderick is the top three-point shooter for the team, connecting on 2.4 per game.
  • The Bobcats’ 80.9 points per game are 20.4 more points than the 60.5 the Cavaliers allow to opponents.
  • Ohio is 16-7 overall and 14-0 against the spread in games where it scores more than 60.5 points.

Ohio at Virginia: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Virginia 74, Ohio 67

Money line

The Virginia Cavaliers are the favorites to win this game according to both the model and BetMGM’s money line.

Against the spread (ATS)

The model line and the MGM line are within 0.4 points of each other.

Over/Under (O/U)

The model projects a total (141.4 points) much higher than the one set by MGM for this matchup (130.5 points). Take the over.

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March Madness: Virginia vs. Ohio odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Virginia Cavaliers vs. Ohio Bobcats odds and lines, with March Madness Round 1 picks and predictions.

The 4-seed Virginia Cavaliers (18-6) face the 13-seed Ohio Bobcats (16-7) at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington, Ind., Saturday for a 7:15 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Virginia-Ohio odds and lines, with March Madness NCAA Tournament picks and predictions.

Virginia didn’t lose a game in the ACC Tournament but also didn’t win the title. That’s because they had to pull out after its win over Syracuse due to a positive COVID test within the program, so their game against Georgia Tech was uncontested. A lot of people forget, but the Cavaliers are actually the defending national champion after cutting down the nets in Minneapolis in 2019, and March Madness was canceled due to the pandemic last season.

Ohio is hoping to avoid the same fate as Ohio State and Cleveland State, two teams bumped from the NCAA Tournament on Day 1. The Bobcats rolled up three wins and covers in the MAC Tournament, including an 84-69 win over Buffalo. In fact, OU scored at least 84 points in each game in the MAC tourney, while winning by an average margin of 14.7 PPG. They’re one of the hottest teams heading into the NCAA Tournament, going 9-1 SU/ATS across the past 10.

Virginia vs. Ohio: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Virginia -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Ohio +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Virginia -7 (-110) | Ohio +7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 129.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Virginia vs. Ohio: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Virginia 71 Ohio 66

Money line (ML)

Virginia (-350) looks to begin what they hope is another long run into the NCAA Tournament. They bounced back and won it all last tournament after being the only No. 1 seed to ever fall to a No. 16 seed in 2018. Their slow-and-deliberate style means they likely won’t pile up a lot of points, and Ohio is a dangerous offensive team. An upset is certainly possible here, so AVOID.

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Against the spread (ATS)

OHIO +7 (-110) has the offensive weapons and up-tempo style to make noise in this NCAA Tournament, but unfortunately they have to face the slow and methodical defending champs. This one might look like an upset special early on, but Virginia -7 (-110) will show its championship mettle down the stretch, grinding out a one-possession win.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 129.5 (-115) and Virginia are two things that usually aren’t in the same sentence. But believe it or not, the Over is actually 5-1 across the past six games, and 4-1 in their past five games as a favorite. The Over is also 8-3 across the past 11 as an underdog for Ohio, too.

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More college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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