NFL Prop Bet Payday: 1 vs. 6 Division Playoff Edition

Previewing Saturday’s NFL divisional-round playoff games between the Vikings at 49ers and Titans at Ravens matchup, with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets

The two No. 1 seeds — San Francisco in the NFC and Baltimore in the AFC — arrive to the postseason dance looking to tango the first Sunday in February. They’ll take their first steps in their hopeful collision course against a pair of No. 6 seeds in Minnesota and Tennessee, respectively.

With No. 6 seeds having lost 11 of the last 12 meetings against No. 1 seeds, the chances of the 49ers and Ravens moving on look good.

But we’re not looking at final scores here. We’re looking at individual yardage prop bets that we think have a good chance of hitting.


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These are our Fab Four for the Saturday games.

NFL odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Saturday at 12:30 a.m. ET.

Hands off Jimmy! Don’t Touch Jimmy!

Will 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo throw enough to hit the number on his yardage prop?(Photo credit: Kirby Lee – USA TODAY Sports)

Niners QB Jimmy Garoppolo has a pretty solid over/under for passing yards at 254.5 (-112 for both the over and the under). Despite Minnesota’s secondary being thinned by injury, this one seems about 20-30 yards too high (which is a lot). Minnesota won’t blow out the Niners, but San Francisco could blow out the Vikings. If so, expect the 49ers to run the ball more. If it is a defense-dominated game, both offenses will do what they do best — run the ball. Jimmy G is making his first playoff start and he’s likely going to come out cautious by design. He has hit over this number in just three of his last 11 games. TAKE UNDER 254.5 for too many reasons.

Dalvin and the Chest Bumps

The Vikings’ Dalvin Cook could hit his number in a couple of carries. But will the 49ers give him the room to do it? (Photo credit: Brace Hemmelgarn – USA TODAY Sports)

Dalvin Cook has an interesting line for rushing yards at 69.5. Most yardage props come in with the same bet for the over and the under. Cook’s rushing line is -125 for the over and -106 for the under. Why? Vegas wants you to bet the under. Anyone who has seen Cook play this season, he isn’t breaking off a lot of 40- or 50-yard runs, but he has a lot in the 10-20 range. At this number, Cook likely needs just two or three of those splash play runs to hit the over. Unless the Vikings fall behind by 14 or more early on, Cook will get 15-20 rushes. He can hit 70 with ease if that happens. TAKE THE OVER.

Henry Err-Run

The Titans’ Derrick Henry may be up against his biggest test of the season. (Photo credit: Jim Brown – USA TODAY Sports)

Titans running back Derrick Henry has a pretty stiff number for the over/under for rushing yards at 93.5 (-112 for both the over and under). But there is a number even more imposing — 128-31. That is the combined scores of the first quarter in the Ravens’ 16 regular-season games. Baltimore has routinely built early leads and expanded on them — the Ravens scored 294 first-half points. Tennessee has scored 146 first-half points. If those numbers come even close to replicating Saturday night, Tennessee will have to abandon the run at some point. Seeing as Henry isn’t viewed as the best receiving back on the team, Tennessee will have to keep the game close for three quarters to hit that number. TAKE THE UNDER.

Heady Lamar

How much will the availability of running back Mark Ingram impact Lamar Jackson’s passing yards on Saturday? (Photo Credit: Tommy Gilligan – USA TODAY Sports)

The Ravens’ run game will be fine whether or not Mark Ingram plays. It’s what they do. But, the Titans are likely to leave themselves open to a big play over the top and few QBs can flick 50-yard passes with the ease that Lamar Jackson can. His over/under for passing yards is 213.5 yards (-112 for both over and under). The Ravens are going to look to take advantage of the perception that all they do is run. In the last nine games, Jackson has thrown 25 or fewer passes in eight of them. If he’s going to get over that number, he will need to have a lot of yards per completion. But, at 213.5 against a defense willing to force him to pass, it LOOKS GOOD FOR THE OVER.

Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship, and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Divisional Round: Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s NFC Divisional Round showdown between the Minnesota Vikings and San Francisco 49ers, with betting odds, picks and bets.

The Minnesota Vikings (11-6) are coming off an overtime playoff road win to face a well-rested, top-seeded San Francisco 49ers (13-3) at Levi’s Stadium at 4:35 p.m. ET Saturday. We analyze the Vikings-49ers odds and sports betting lines, while providing betting tips and advice on this Week 17 NFL matchup.

Vikings at 49ers: Divisional Round preview, betting trends and notes


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  • The total has hit the Over in five of Minnesota’s last six road games.
  • The total has hit the Over in seven of San Francisco’s last 10 games.
  • Minnesota is 7-3 against the spread in its last 10 games against NFC opponents.
  • Both teams have had their fair share of success. The Vikings have the seventh ranked scoring offense (25.5 points per game) and the sixth ranked scoring defense (19 PPG). Not to be outdone, the 49ers are second in scoring offense (29.9 PPG) and the eighth in scoring defense (19.4 PPG).
  • The 49ers are just 9-6-1 against the spread, including 3-4-1 at home.
  • The Vikings are 10-7 ATS, including 5-4 on the road.
  • The all-time record between the Vikings and 49ers is 23-23-1, but Minnesota has won six of the last eight.

Vikings at 49ers: Key injuries

Vikings: CB Mackensie Alexander (knee) is out and CB Mike Hughes was placed on IR last week. WR Stefon Diggs hasn’t practiced due to an illness, but is expected to play. S Jayron Kearse (toe/knee) and WR Adam Thielen (ankle) are questionable.

49ers: Everyone practiced Wednesday, but DEs Dee Ford (quadriceps/hamstring) and Kentavius Street (knee) and G Mike Person (neck) were limited.

Vikings at 49ers: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2:45 a.m. ET.

Prediction

49ers 24, Vikings 20

Moneyline (?)

Minnesota (+260) has a prohibitive moneyline number and could have a legitimate shot at winning the game outright. San Francisco (-334) is giving up too much for a return. If you’re betting the moneyline, a small bet on the Vikings would be the play, but, if you’re betting the 49ers, a stronger bet would be to give up 3.5 points at -189.

Against the Spread (?)

The Vikings likely aren’t capable of blowing out the 49ers. A rested San Francisco team going up against a Minnesota squad that had a short week of practice after playing an overtime game on the road Sunday and flying back to Minnesota is a scenario fraught with the potential for a Niners blowout. But, Minnesota could be down by 14 late and score a meaningless touchdown to hit the number. Realistically, the Niners need to win by two scores. Take the VIKINGS +7 (-110).

Over/Under (?)

The O/U is of 45.5 (Over +105, Under -129). This is a tough one because these are two of the best rush offenses and two of the better defenses. This game could – and likely will – include its share of punts with it being a field-position battle. Minnesota has allowed 23 or fewer points 13 times this season and San Francisco has a knack for protecting leads by shortening the game. Take the UNDER 45.5 (-129).

Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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