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The No. 20 Tennessee Volunteers (2-1) welcome the UTSA Roadrunners (1-2) to Neyland Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UTSA vs. Tenneessee odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Tennessee lost 29-16 at Florida last Saturday, losing outright as a 4.5-point favorite. The Vols are led by QB Joe Milton III, who has 716 passing yards with 6 touchdowns and 1 interception through 3 games. Tennessee is No. 20 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports and is 1-2 against the spread (ATS) and 1-2 Over/Under this season. The Volunteers’ lone cover was a 49-13 blowout over Virginia as 27.5-point favorites on Sept. 2.
UTSA is 0-3 ATS on the season and 1-2 O/U, losing 37-29 to Army last Friday as a 7-point home favorite. The Roadrunners are just 1-2 overall despite being favorites in all 3 games this season. Starting QB Frank Harris is a game-time decision against Tennessee after missing last week with a toe injury. He leads the team with 423 passing yards with 2 touchdowns against 3 interceptions through 2 games.
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UTSA at Tennessee odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): UTSA +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | Tennessee -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): UTSA +21.5 (-110) | Tennessee -21.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 59.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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UTSA at Tennessee picks and predictions
Prediction
Tennessee 41, UTSA 17
Moneyline
PASS.
Keep it rollin’. There’s no value on the moneyline either way.
Against the spread
LEAN TENNESSEE -21.5 (-110).
UTSA sits 102nd of 133 FBS programs in the nation in opponents passing yards per completion according to TeamRankings.com. It hasn’t performed well in the aerial defense game, and Milton III should be able to eat them alive. He is averaging over 225 yards per game.
Couple that with the Vols’ defense, which has allowed fewer than 15 points in 2 of 3 games, and Tennessee should be able to drive the ball well and halt the UTSA offense — particularly if Harris isn’t able to play or isn’t at 100%.
UTSA hasn’t hit its preseason expectations, and it may continue to struggle against an SEC powerhouse on the road. Take TENNESSEE -21.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 59.5 (-110).
Both teams are 1-2 O/U this season, and Tennessee’s lone Over was when it blasted Virginia for 49 points. It has scored 30 or fewer in both of its other games.
UTSA has yet to score 30 points in any game and has allowed fewer than 20 in 2 of 3 games as well. It may be able to get a few stops and keep Tennessee under 40. The Roadrunners have allowed just 22.3 points per game.
They may get blown out, but as their season-long numbers will suggest, it may be their offense that struggles the most. Take UNDER 59.5 (-110).
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