Utah Utes vs. USC Trojans odds predictions pick betting line spread

Lock it in with Alex: Bet this Pac-12 total in Utah-USC showdown

Two top-20 teams meet in a huge Pac-12 college football showdown Saturday in Los Angeles, and Alex White is all over the total.

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The USC Trojans (6-1, 4-0 Pac-12) host the Utah Utes (5-1, 2-1) Saturday in a top-20 matchup. Kickoff from Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum is set for 8 p.m. ET (FOX).

SportsbookWire.com’s Alex White points out the Trojans have “double-revenge” on their minds after losing to the Utes twice last season. USC lost 43-42 as a 3.5-point road underdog during the regular season and 47-24 as a 2.5-point favorite in the Pac-12 title game, played in Las Vegas.

The Utes — No. 14 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports — are known for their defense. They rank 5th in points allowed (12.2 per game) and 9th in yards allowed (277.8) this season.

The 16th-ranked Trojans are known for their offense. They’re 2nd in points (47.3) — only behind Oregon (48.5) — and 9th in total yards (491.7).

Something’s gotta give.

While Alex doesn’t like the point spread — BetMGM Sportsbook has USC favored by 7 (as of Saturday at 2:02 p.m.) — she says, “now is a great time to jump on” the total. The O/U line is 51.5 (O: -115 | U: -105).

Football Saturday and a good day to cash some bets. Favorite for today’s college slate, our @alexwhitee checks in with her top bet. What’s your lock of the day? pic.twitter.com/IBgScQQpze

— SportsBookWire (@SportsBookWire) October 21, 2023

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Utah at USC odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah at USC odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Utes (12-6, 5-2 Pac-12) battle the USC Trojans (12-5, 4-2) Saturday. Tip from the Galen Center is set for 10:30 p.m. ET (PAC12). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Utah vs. USC odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Utah was destroyed by UCLA 68-49 Thursday. It failed to cover as a 13-point road underdog. The Utes are just 10-8 against the spread (ATS) on the season. They are 3-5 ATS over their last 8 and 3-2 straight up on the road. Utah’s strength is defense, ranking 4th in opponents’ field goal percentage (37.1%).

USC, on the other hand, beat Colorado 68-61 at home, covering as a 3.5-point favorite. The Trojans are 9-8 ATS on the season and 5-1 ATS over its last 6. Their strength is also defense, ranking 14th in the nation in opponents’ field goal percentage (38.2%).

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Utah at USC odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Utah +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | USC -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Utah +5.5 (-115) | USC -5.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Utah at USC picks and predictions

Prediction

USC 70, Utah 62

Moneyline

PASS.

USC is 8-1 at home, so it is rightly a (-230) favorite. However, Utah is 3-2 on the road. Both sides are unplayable at these odds.

Against the spread

LEAN USC -5.5 (-105).

The Trojans have, simply put, been better for bettors than the Utes recently. They are 5-1 ATS over their last 6 and 2-0 ATS at home in that span.

Utah has lost 2-straight games by double figures, one at home against an unranked Oregon. Utah is also 2-3 ATS after a loss that doesn’t bode well for its confidence on the road.

Couple the recent trends for both sides and back USC -5.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 134.5 (-105).

If there’s one thing both teams consistently do, it is hit the projected Under.

Utah is 6-12 O/U this season while USC is 8-9 O/U. Utah has gone Under in 2 straight and in 3 of its last 5. USC has also gone Under in 2 straight and in 3 of its last 5.

Utah ranks 255th in field goal attempts with USC at 213th which suggests this should be a slow-tempo game, and two strong defenses, the UNDER 134.5 (-105) is the better play.

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Pac-12 Championship: Utah at USC odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Utah at USC Pac-12 Championship Game odds and lines, with expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 11 Utah Utes (9-3, 7-2 Pac-12) meet the No. 4 USC Trojans (11-1, 8-1) Friday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Utah vs. USC odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY sports

After the Utes lost 20-17 at Oregon on Nov. 19, it appeared Utah’s hopes of a Pac-12 Championship Game appearance were dashed. But Oregon State rallied to beat Oregon last weekend, helping Utah back into the title game.

Utah has won 5 of the last 6 games overall, while going 3-1 ATS in the last 4 games. The Under has cashed in 4 of the last 5 games for the Utes.

USC is on fire, winning 5 straight games and moving into the 4th spot of the College Football Playoff rankings. The Trojans win and they’re in.

USC’s only loss of the season came Oct. 15 in Salt Lake City 43-42 against Utah, as the Utes covered a 3.5-point number and the Over easily connected.

The Over has hit in 6 in a row for USC, and QB Caleb Williams and the offense has been humming. The Trojans have posted 41 or more points in 6 straight games, and in 10 of 12 games this season.

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Utah vs. USC odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:46 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Utah +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | USC -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread: Utah +2.5 (-104) | Utah -2.5 (-116)
Over/Under (O/U): 67 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Utah vs. USC picks and predictions

Prediction

USC 38, Utah 35

Moneyline

USC (-140) is worth playing if you don’t want to mess around with laying the points. This will be a close, high-scoring game similar to the 1st meeting in the regular-season.

The Trojans have it all on the line here, as the Heisman is at stake for Williams, a spot in the CFP is up for grabs, and all USC needs to do is win. It just so happens it comes against the only team it lost against, so this game will have plenty of drama.

Against the spread

USC -2.5 (-116) is the lean here, ever so slightly.

The Utes are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 games against teams with a winning overall record, and their last win against a winning team was against USC.

The Trojans are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games overall, and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 against teams with a winning overall record. That’s all well and good, but USC is 1-10 ATS in the last 11 neutral-site games, so take it slow.

Over/Under

OVER 67 (-110) is the play here.

The Over easily cashed in the 1st meeting. And while the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 games overall for the Utes and 4-1 in the last 5 Pac-12 conference tilts, the Over is where it’s at here.

The USC offense has been rolling along, and the Over has hit in 6 in a row, while going 4-1 in the last 5 neutral-site battles.

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First look Pac-12 Championship: Utah vs. USC odds and lines

Looking at Friday’s Utah vs. USC Pac-12 Championship college foootball odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The No. 12 Utah Utes (9-3, 7-2 Pac-12) and No. 4 USC Trojans (11-1, 8-1) meet Friday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas for the Pac-12 Championship Game. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we look at Utah vs. USC odds from Tipico Sportsbook; check back for all our college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

The Utes rolled a 1-win Colorado team in the final 63-21, making it into the conference title game despite losing at Oregon last week. That’s because the Ducks collapsed against rival Oregon State Saturday, handing the title game spot back to the Utes.

Utah is 5-1 straight up in the last 6 games, including a 43-42 win over USC on Oct. 15 in Salt Lake City, and it is 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last 4 games, with the Under going 4-1 in the last 5 outings.

USC topped Notre Dame 38-27 as 4-point favorites in the Coliseum, winning their 5th straight game while covering their 3rd in a row. The Over is on a 6-0 run for the Trojans.

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Utah vs. USC odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 3:17 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Off the board
Against the spread (ATS): Utah +1.5 (-108) | USC -1.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 66 (O: -112 | U: -108)

2022 betting stats

ML: Utah 9-3 | USC 11-1
ATS: Utah 7-5 | USC 8-4
O/U: Utah 6-6 | USC 9-3

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Utah vs. USC head-to-head

USC leads the all-time series 13-8, although Utah has won the last 2. That includes USC’s only loss this season, a 43-42 setback at Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City in a wild game on Oct. 15.

The underdog has cashed in each of the last 4 meetings in this series.

Utah has scored 23 or more points in 8 of the last 9 meetings with USC, while the Trojans have scored 21 or more points in each of the previous 9 matchups. As you would expect, the Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

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Utah at USC odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah at USC odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The USC Trojans (3-2, 2-2 in Pac-12) host the Utah Utes (2-2, 1-0) Saturday in the United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum for a Pac-12 conference game. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Utah vs. USC odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Utah beat the Washington State Cougars 24-13 Sept. 25, but failed to cover as 15-point home favorites.

Before that, the Utes lost back-to-back road games as favorites to non-Power 5 schools in the San Diego State Aztecs and the BYU Cougars. Utah hasn’t covered the spread in any game thus far and is 2-2 Over/Under (O/U).

USC bounced back from an embarrassing 45-27 Week 4 loss to the Oregon State Beavers as 10-point home favorites to thump the Colorado Buffaloes 37-14 as 9.5-point road favorites. The Trojans are 3-2 against the spread (ATS) and O/U this season.

USC has beaten Utah in two straight meetings, three of the last four (2-2 ATS) and the Utes have covered just once in their last five visits to Southern California.

Utah at USC odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Utah +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | USC -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Utah +2.5 (+100) | USC -2.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Utah at USC odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

USC 30, Utah 24

Money line

PASS with a slight “lean” to USC (-150) because I “lean” to the Trojans winning by a field goal or more, and they are probably the right side here. However, this money line is a little out of my price range, and there isn’t much difference between these teams.

Against the spread

So my BET on USC -2.5 (-120) is going against the presumed “sharp” side of the market. For instance, according to Pregame.com, 57% of the cash is on Utah, but 70% of the action is on USC.

And typically it’s wiser to follow the money when it’s going in the opposite direction as the public. Especially in a conference game featuring a sneaky consistent program like Utah and a popular program like USC.

But, this game getting bet below the key number of 3 is huge because, again, there’s not a lot separating these teams.

USC has played a slightly tougher schedule and is better in high-leverage situations (third-down and red zone conversion rates).

While Utah has a higher non-garbage time predicted points added (PPA), yards per play and non-garbage time Havoc rate differentials.

For me, the differentiator is Utah’s 1-4 ATS record at USC over the past five meetings, and the Trojans only needing to win by a field goal. BET 1 unit on USC -2.5 (-120).

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 52.5 (-112) for a small wager because this is both a “sharp” and “public” play. Utah-USC opened with a 48.5-point total, but one-way action has steamed it up to the current number.

Also, with the Over being more expensive it appears as though the market isn’t done betting the Over. But, that’s why it’s only a “lean” for me. It’s rarely profitable in sports betting to bet alongside the public, and we are getting to the party a little late on the Over.

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