In the CONCACAF Nations League semifinal, USMNT battles Mexico. Kickoff from Allegiant Stadium is set for 10 p.m. ET (Paramount+/CBS Sports Network). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the USMNT vs. Mexico odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
In a rivalry that spans decades, the winner of the USMNT and Mexico will take on the winner of the semifinal match between Panama and Canada.
The USMNT will have a stacked lineup with the expected debut of F Folarin Balogun. The USMNT hasn’t lost to Mexico in 5 games and is coming off an impressive World Cup run, losing to the Netherlands in the knockout stage. Chelsea F Christian Pulisic will be available. The USMNT drew Mexico 1-1 in a friendly on April 23. It went 3-0-1 (1 draw) in the CONCACAF Nations League group stage.
Mexico drew Jamaica twice and took down Suriname 3-0 and 2-0 in its group stage battles. It also made the World Cup, but didn’t make it out of the group stage, drawing Poland and losing to Argentina. It is 2-0-3 in its 5 games throughout 2023. Mexico is also bringing some experience with M Edson Alvarez and F Uriel Antuna, both of which have 40-plus caps.
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USMNT vs. Mexico odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: USMNT +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mexico +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Draw +200
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)
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USMNT vs. Mexico picks and predictions
Prediction
USMNT 1, Mexico 0
Moneyline (ML)
BET USMNT (+110).
The USMNT might not have a permanent coach yet, but this is a group that was challenged as a unit at the World Cup and performed well.
It will also add rising talent like Balogun. The United States has won 3 of the last 5 matches between these 2 sides, and it has won 3 of the last 4 on its own turf. Mexico didn’t quite perform as well during the CONCACAF Nations League group stage nor during the World Cup.
Those struggles while being on the road lead to the away team not being a great play. Take USMNT (+110).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN UNDER 2.5 (-165).
The last 4 straight matches between these teams went Under this total, and Mexico will still have experienced GK Guillermo Ochoa between the posts.
The USMNT might have attacking talent, but it has gone Under in 3 of 5 matches in 2023 so far. It went Under in 3 of 4 World Cup games as well.
At high-level competitions, goals are more challenging to come by. Mexico went Under this in 2 of 3 World Cup games and 3 of 5 games in 2023. Considering it all, back the UNDER 2.5 (-165).
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
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