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The No. 22 USC Trojans (6-2, 4-1 Pac-12) and Cal Golden Bears (3-4, 1-3) meet Saturday at California Memorial Stadium. Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET (Pac-12 Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the USC vs. Cal odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
USC failed to cover the spread as a 7.5-point home favorite in a 34-32 loss vs. Utah as the Over (51.5) cashed last Saturday — its 2nd straight loss after starting 6-0.
The Golden Bears have lost 2 in a row and 3 out of 4 in conference play. They failed to cover as 9-point underdogs with a 34-14 loss at Utah as the Over (42.5) hit Oct. 14 before their bye last week.
USC is No. 22 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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USC at Cal odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): USC -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Cal +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
- Against the spread (ATS): USC -10.5 (-105) | Cal +10.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 67.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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USC at Cal picks and predictions
Prediction
USC 45, Cal 30
Moneyline
Cal’s only conference win this season has been against a 1-win Arizona State team, and it was only a 3-point win.
USC has suffered 2 consecutive losses but against quality opponents.
So betting Cal to win in an upset seems way too unlikely, and betting the Trojans on the moneyline just doesn’t make sense in terms of value.
PASS.
Against the spread
The Trojans have struggled with the spread, going 2-6 ATS this season. They have failed to cover the spread in 5 straight games. They only have 1 double-digit conference win.
Cal, though, in its 3 Pac-12 losses, has been defeated by no fewer than 20 points.
BET USC -10.5 (-105).
Over/Under
The Over has hit in 7 of USC’s games and in 5 straight.
The Trojans have scored no fewer than 42 points in any of their wins.
Cal has twice allowed more than 50 points this season.
BET OVER 67.5 (-110).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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