Tag: UFC Vegas 93 betting odds lines picks and predictions best bets

UFC on ESPN 58: Timmy Cuamba vs. Lucas Almeida odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 58 odds between Timmy Cuamba vs. Lucas Almeida, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Timmy Cuamba and Lucas Almeida meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 58 — also known as UFC Vegas 93 — at the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 58: Cuamba vs. Almeida odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET and can be viewed on ESPN2/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+.

Records: Cuamba (8-2-0) | Almeida (14-3-0)

The 25-year-old prospect Cuamba made his UFC debut with a split-decision loss Feb. 10 against Bolaji Oki, so he is still looking for his first company win.

Team Kioshi fighter Almeida has dropped the past 2 fights, with Andre Fili getting knocked out in Round 1 at UFC 296 last time out and a Round 2 submission setback to Pat Sabatini prior to that. Almeida’s most recent win came via KO/TKO against Michael Trizano in June 2022, so it’s been a minute.

Almeida has managed a 5.05 significant strikes landed per minute mark while landing 52.33% of those strikes.

Cuamba ended up with just 2.53 significant strikes landed per minute in his fight against Oki while posting a dismal 35.43% accuracy on those strikes, so he has plenty of work to do.

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UFC on ESPN 58: Cuamba vs. Almeida odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Cuamba -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Almeida +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +110 | Under -145)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +150 | No -210)

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UFC on ESPN 58: Cuamba vs. Almeida picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Cuamba (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not enough reward. While Almeida (+165) has dropped 2 fights in a row, and he has just 1 win at the UFC level, Cuamba is still too risky of a play straight up.

Instead, let’s consider CUAMBA BY POINTS (+200) for the chance to double up. We have 2 young fighters in desperate need of a victory. Cuamba cannot afford going 0-2 in his first 2 UFC fights, while Almeida is staring at a 3-bout losing skid and short stay with the company. Both fighters will be desperate, yet they’ll also be playing it rather close to the vest, too.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (+150): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a strong play at plus-money.

OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (+110) is also a value play if you’d like a little wiggle room in the event of a late Round 3 finish.

Cuamba went the distance in his only UFC fight to date, and he has ended up going the distance 5 times in his past 9 pro bouts across all formats.

Almeida hasn’t gone the distance in 3 fights at the UFC level; he did need 3 rounds against Trizano.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 58: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Miles Johns odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 58 odds between Alex Perez and Tatsuro Taira, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round bantamweight bout on the main card, Douglas Silva de Andrade and Miles Johns meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 58 — also known as UFC Vegas 93 — at the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 58: Silva de Andrade vs. Johns odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET and can be viewed on ESPN2/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+.

Records: Silva de Andrade (29-5-0) | Johns (14-2-0)

Silva de Andrade picked up a unanimous-decision win over Cody Stamann last time out May 13, 2023. He has ended up going the distance in 4 of his past 6 bouts, with the exception being a submission win over Sergey Morozov at UFC 271 in Feb. 2022, and a 1st-round KO/TKO against Gaetano Pirrello in Oct. 2021.

The 30-year-old Johns, fighting for Team Marathon MMA, has 2 unanimous-decisions wins sandwiching a no contest against Dan Argueta in the past 3 bouts. He had a UD win against Cody Gibson in his most recent showing in late March.

The 38-year-old Brazilian fighter, Silva de Andrade holds a 2.5-inch reach advantage over Johns. He also has a slight 3.66-to-3.28 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Johns is much more accurate on those strikes, however, posting a 52.92% mark, while Silva de Andrade lands at just 42.63%.

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UFC on ESPN 58: Silva de Andrade vs. Johns odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:11 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Silva de Andrade +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Johns -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -150 | No +110)

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UFC on ESPN 58: Silva de Andrade vs. Johns picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

There is concern backing SILVA DE ANDRADE (+120) as the slight underdog. There could be some rust, as he makes his return after a 13-month layoff, and there are concerns about his cardio. But the good news is that this is just a 3-round bout, and not one of the 5-round variety.

Johns (-145) has won via unanimous decision in his past 2 victories, and he hasn’t lost since Feb. 5, 2022. However, Silva de Andrade is a big step up in competition, and Johns could find himself overwhelmed against the wily veteran.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (-150): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is the recommended play.

Johns has gone the distance in each of his past 3 fights, with 2 unanimous-decision wins and the no contest against Argueta.

For Silva de Andrade, he has gone the distance in 2 in a row and 4 of the past 6 fights.

Since we’re picking the Brazilian veteran, it’s a good idea to also go with SILVA DE ANDRADE BY DECISION (+325) for a chance to more than triple up.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 58: Alex Perez vs. Tatsuro Taira odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 58 odds between Alex Perez and Tatsuro Taira, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 5-round flyweight bout in the main event, Alex Perez and Tatsuro Taira meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 58 — also known as UFC Vegas 93 — at the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 58: Perez vs. Tatsuro odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET and can be viewed on ESPN2/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+.

Records: Perez (25-8-0) | Tatsuro (15-0-0)

The 32-year-old Perez fights in his 2nd consecutive main event since battling for the flyweight title against Deiveson Figueiredo at UFC 255. Perez lost that fight in Round 1 via submission, and he has dropped 3 of the past 4 fights total. He did snap a 3-bout skid with a 2nd-round KO/TKO last time out in a main event against Matheus Nicolau in late April.

Taira has won all 5 of his fights since arriving at the UFC level in May 2022. That includes a 2nd-round KO/TKO win over Carlos Hernandez last time out. He has had finishes in 3 of his past 4 fights, with the KO/TKO and 2 submission victories, while posting a unanimous-decision win over Edgar Chairez at UFC 290.

Taira holds a 4.5-inch reach advantage, while Perez has a slight 4.10-to-3.51 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Taira is far more accurate at 74.17% with those strikes, while Perez checks in at just 54.41%. Both are decent on the takedown, posting similar numbers, but Taira has a 2.42 submission average, so it might behoove Perez to avoid going to the mat.

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UFC on ESPN 58: Perez vs. Taira odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Perez +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Taira -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -145 | Under +110)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +180 | No -250)

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UFC on ESPN 58: Perez vs. Taira picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Taira (-200) heads into this one having already cracked the top 15 among flyweights, and he has designs of much bigger things. The prospect is on the fast track, and a win over a previous contender like Perez would be a nice resume builder. However, risking 2 times your potential return is not a recommended wager.

Perez (+165) is a tempting play, as he is ranked No. 5 among the flyweights and still a very dangerous fighter. The key for Perez will be to avoid going to the canvas, where Taira is a beast in the submission game. Perez has an 82% takedown defense, so he’ll do his best to remain upright. He also has a 59% striking defense, and he has the experience to deal Taira his 1st loss at the UFC level.

However, Perez has lost via submission twice in the past 4 fights, while the favorite has 2 wins via submission in the past 4 outings. It might not be quick, but TAIRA BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+100) on the 5-way line at even-money is a strong play.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-145) is a strong play. The wily veteran Perez won’t let Taira catch him with a knockout blow, and the only way this fight ends earlier than the middle of Round 3 is if Perez ends up going to the canvas, falling into the dangerous web of Taira, who is tremendous in the rear-naked choke and triangle choke.

Taira has ended up going the distance twice in 5 fights since arriving at the UFC level, while Perez went the distance in early March in a unanimous-decision loss to Muhammad Mokaev.

However, while I think this fight can go past the midway point of Round 3, it isn’t likely to go the distance.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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