In a catchweight bout on the main card, Cory Sandhagen and Rob Font meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 50 at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tenn. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 50: Sandhagen vs. Font odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 6 p.m. ET and the main card is on ESPN/ESPN+ at 9 p.m. ET.
Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.
Records: Sandhagen (16-4-0) | Font (20-6-0)
Sandhagen was originally expected to face Umar Nurmagomedov, but the latter was forced out with a shoulder ailment. Font stepped in on short notice, and this main event fight will be a 140-pound catchweight bout instead.
Sandhagen lost in a title shot against Petr Yan at UFC 267 in Oct. 2021 and is trying to work his way back into a championship shot. He snuck past Marlon Vera via split decision last time out in March and picked up a TKO – Doctor’s Stoppage victory over Song Yadong in a main event fight in mid-September of last year. This will be his 3rd straight main event fight, and 4th in the past 5 outings.
Font dropped Adrian Yanez in a 1st-round KO/TKO at UFC 287 last time out in April as he bounced back from pair of unanimous-decision losses to Vera and Jose Aldo. He has gone the distance in 3 of the past 4 fights, and 6 of the previous 8 bouts.
Font holds a slight 1.5-inch reach advantage while posting 6.46 significant strikes landed per minute to 5.98 for Sandhagen. He also has a slight takedown average advantage of 1.01-to-0.89, while Sandhagen is slightly better in the significant strikes accuracy percentage department at 48.90% to 48.04%.
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UFC on ESPN 50: Sandhagen vs. Font odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Sandhagen -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Font +275 (bet $100 to win $275)
- Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -150 | Under +115)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +100 | No -135)
UFC on ESPN 50: Sandhagen vs. Font picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Backing Sandhagen (-350) on the 2-way line will cost you 3 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive and not nearly enough value. PASS, and let’s get a little more creative.
Instead, look to SANDHAGEN BY DECISION (+150) for a chance to multiply your initial investment by 1 1/2 times. The favorite has gone the distance in 3 of the past 4 fights, and the Song fight was likely going there too before the doctor’s stoppage.
Font has gone the distance in 3 of the past 4 fights and has needed the judges to declare a winner in 6 of his previous 8 bouts.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 3.5 ROUNDS (-150) is moderately priced, but gives you plenty of wiggle room in the event of a late stoppage in the 4th round or one in the 5th.
However, YES (+100): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is perfectly fine at even money if you’re a little less conservative. Again, Sandhagen and Font have both involved the judges quite frequently lately.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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