UFC on ESPN+ 38: Brian Ortega vs. Chan Sung Jung odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 38 fight between Brian Ortega vs. Chan Sung Jung, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

In a featherweight bout in the main event, Brian Ortega and Chan Sung Jung meet at UFC on ESPN+ 38 Saturday at the UFC’s Fight Island facility in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Ortega (14-1) is looking to bounce back after a TKO and Doctor’s Stoppage against Max Holloway last time out in a title fight at UFC 231 on Dec. 8, 2018. Not only did Ortega lose the strap, but he ended up losing nearly two years of his career, suffering a knee injury since that fight. These two were supposed to meet on in December 2019, but that fight was pushed back due to the ailment.

Sung Jung (16-5), better known as “The Korean Zombie,” has been waiting a while to get his hooks into Ortega. During UFC 248, Ortega got into an altercation with Jay Park, the co-manager and interpreter for Sung Jung. That has added some extra anticipation in this budding rivalry, as both fighters look for a win to position themselves for a shot against Alexander Volkanovski for all of the marbles in the featherweight class. The Korean Zombie has seen all eight of his fights at the UFC level end inside the distance, including five straight KO/TKO results (3-2). That includes a pair of first-round knockout wins over Frankie Edgar and Renato Moicano.

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Brian Ortega vs. Chan Sung Jung betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:22 a.m. ET.

SUNG JUNG (-200) is a little more expensive than I normally care to risk, but I feel confident in The Korean Zombie’s ability to not only win this one, but win it early. As such, going with UNDER 3.5 ROUNDS (-189) is looking pretty good. In addition, SUNG JUNG BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+105) at just a little better than even-money is also a very good play.

If you’re not feeling a specific winner, but want a good play, going with KO/TKO/DQ (-112) for the fight finish is also a good bet.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 38: Katlyn Chookagian vs. Jessica Andrade odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 38 fight between Katlyn Chookagian vs. Jessica Andrade, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

In a women’s flyweight bout, Katlyn Chookagian and Jessica Andrade lock horns at UFC on ESPN+ 38 Saturday at the UFC’s Fight Island facility in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Chookagian (14-3) will tower over Andrade (20-8) by eight inches, and she holds a six-inch reach advantage, as well. She’ll be looking to keep the fight upright, which is her best bet. She lost to Valentina Shevchenko in a title fight back on Feb. 8 on the UFC 247 card, getting knocked out in the third round. She got revenge in the best way possible, topping Valentina’s sister, Antonina Shevchenko, with a unanimous decision victory on May 30. Nine of her 10 fights at the UFC level have ended up going the distance.

Andrade is a little ball of power, and she is solid going toe-to-toe but even better on the canvas. She holds a 6.40 to 4.19 significant strikes-landed per minute advantage, and a 49.67 to 35.03 significant strikes-accuracy percentage lead. In addition, she is well ahead 3.02 to 0.31 in takedown average, and 57.14 to 15.79 in takedown-accuracy percentage. She fell to Zhang Weili in a title fight by KO/TKO in 42 seconds on Aug. 31, 2019, and she lost by way of a split-decision against Rose Namajunas on July 11, 2020. A win over Chookagian is no guarantee, either.

Place your legal, online sports bets in CO, IN, NJ and WV at BetMGM, The King of Sportsbooks! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Katlyn Chookagian vs. Jessica Andrade betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:01 a.m. ET.

ANDRADE (-162) is the better overall fighter, and she has way more possible avenues to victory than Chookagian (+135). Andrade has had three of her past four fights end inside the distance, but five of her previous eight have ended up going to the judges’ cards. Chookagian almost always goes the distance, so taking YES (-189): “WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?” is definitely a sound play. And I like ANDRADE BY DECISION (+200) for a potential double-up opportunity, as I just feel she is more well-rounded.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Also see:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 38: Jimmy Crute vs. Modestas Bukauskas odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 38 fight between Jimmy Crute vs. Modestas Bukauskas, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

In a light heavyweight bout, Jimmy Crute and Modestas Bukauskas square off at UFC on ESPN+ 38 Saturday at the UFC’s Fight Island facility in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Crute (11-1) stands one inch shorter than his Lithuanian counterpart, and he has a four-inch reach disadvantage. After his first setback at the UFC level against Misha Cirkunov on Sept. 14, 2019, Crute bounced back against Michal Oleksiejczuk via a Round 1 submission on Feb. 22, 2020. All four of Crute’s fights at the UFC level have finished inside the distance, including three submissions (3-1) and a KO/TKO (1-0). Four of his past five professional fights have ended in Round 1, with eight of his 12 pro fights overall ending in the first round.

Bukauskas (11-2) is a rather moderate underdog despite the fact he won his UFC debut over Andreas Michailidis in a first-round KO/TKO on July 15, 2020. Each of his past five pro fights have ended by way of knockout, and each of his past 12 bouts have finished inside the distance.

Place your legal, online sports bets in CO, IN, NJ and WV at BetMGM, The King of Sportsbooks! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Jimmy Crute vs. Modestas Bukauskas betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:42 a.m. ET.

Crute (-313) is a brute (yeah, I said it!), and he will push his Lithuania counterpart around. While Bukauskas (+250) has an impressive record putting his opponents away early, he hasn’t faced an immovable force like the Aussie Crute. However, you cannot bet Crute on the 2-way line, as risking three times your potential return is just not good gambling.

Instead, look for the favorite CRUTE IN ROUND 2 (+375) and CRUTE IN ROUND 3 (+750). You’ll lose one end, but if he wins by any means in either of those two rounds, you’re guaranteed of a sizeable win. While betting No (-358): “Will the fight go the distance?” is likely a slam-dunk play, it’s too much of a risk if the fight ends up going to the judges’ cards.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Also see:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 38: Claudio Silva vs. James Krause odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 38 fight between Claudio Silva vs. James Krause, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

In a welterweight bout, Claudio Silva and James Krause meet at UFC on ESPN+ 38 Saturday at the UFC’s Fight Island facility in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

The southpaw Silva (14-1) hits the octagon standing three inches shorter than his counterpart, and he has a 2.5-inch reach disadvantage, too. In addition, Krause (27-9) has a 4.65 to 2.80 significant strikes-landed per minute advantage, although Silva is well ahead with a 51.87 to 48.66 significant strikes-accuracy percentage lead.

Silva will be trying to get Krause to the canvas early and often. He has a 3.32 to 1.05 takedown average, while he is well ahead with a 33.33 to 18.64 takedown-accuracy percentage advantage. Silva also sports a solid 2.11 to 0.96 submission average. Silva is 5-0 since landing at the UFC level, and he has won each of his past three via submission, including two victories in the first round.

Krause is looking to rebound after a split-decision loss to Trevin Giles at UFC 247. Two of his past three have finished inside the distance, with both wins by KO/TKO. He is 14-3 in his career via submission.

Place your legal, online sports bets in CO, IN, NJ and WV at BetMGM, The King of Sportsbooks! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Claudio Silva vs. James Krause betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:27 a.m. ET.

KRAUSE (-152) is the more impressive physical specimen, and he’ll be the winner as long as he can keep this fight upright. In fact, KRAUSE BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+262) is an outstanding value.

I am just not feeling Silva (+125) in this fight, and I don’t like his chances of getting Krause to the ground. That’s his only avenue to a win in my eyes. It’s also a good play to with NO (-110): “WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?” Take UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+107) for a solid value, too.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Also see:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 38: Jonathan Martinez vs. Thomas Almeida odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 38 fight between Thomas Almeida and Jonathan Martinez, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

In a featherweight bout, Thomas Almeida and Jonathan Martinez meet at UFC on ESPN+ 38 Saturday at the UFC’s Fight Island facility in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Almeida (22-3) steps into the octagon looking for a turnaround. He hasn’t fought since Jan. 20, 2018, due to a left eye injury and subsequent surgery, but he is finally cleared. Before his injury he was struggling big time, falling in three of his past four outings, including a second-round KO/TKO to Rob Font last time out. The losses came against Font, Jimmie Rivera and Cody Garbrandt, which isn’t something to be ashamed of, as they’re the who’s who of the division. The more concerning thing about Almeida is his vision and any potential rust.

Martinez (12-3) looks to build upon the momentum of his third-round KO/TKO last time out against Frankie Saenz on Aug. 1, 2020. Each of his past two victories have been knockouts, with only a split-decision loss to Andre Ewell at UFC 247 as the only blemish since Oct. 27, 2018. “Dragon” enters this one with 4.22 significant strikes landed per minute and a 50.34 significant strikes-accuracy percentage. He also has managed a 0.64 takedown average and 37.50 takedown-accuracy percentage since landing at the UFC level.

Place your legal, online sports bets in CO, IN, NJ and WV at BetMGM, The King of Sportsbooks! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Thomas Almeida vs. Jonathan Martinez betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:57 a.m. ET.

MARTINEZ (+110) is the play here. I just don’t trust a fighter (Almeida) who hasn’t stepped into the octagon in over two and a half years, and is coming off a major injury. Almeida (-134) is a risky play, and it will be interesting to see where his cardio is at this point, too.

As such, this will likely be a quick fight, regardless of winner. Taking NO (-162): “WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?” is a strong play. For an added bonus, without getting into a specific winner, take the fight to end in ROUND 2 (+390) and ROUND 3 (+650). As I’ve suggested such wagers in the past, yes, you will lose one end. But if you hit one of those round-winners, especially if the fight ends in Round 3, you’ll be well ahead.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Also see:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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