In a women’s flyweight bout on the main card, Katlyn Chookagian and Jennifer Maia meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 32 – also known as UFC Vegas 46 – at UFC Apex in Enterprise, Nev. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 32: Chookagian vs. Maia odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims at 5 p.m. ET and the main card starting at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.
Chookagian arrives in the octagon with tremendous physical size advantages. She stands five inches taller than Maia and with a four-inch reach advantage. In addition, Chookagian has a 4.57-to-3.80 significant strikes landed minute advantage and 0.41-to-0.14 submission average lead.
The American is coming off a pair of unanimous-decision wins over Viviane Araujo and Cynthia Calvillo, with three of her past four fights going the distance since a KO/TKO at UFC 247 in a title bout with Valentina Shevchenko in Feb. 2020. She is looking to keep up her winning ways to get another shot at the strap.
Maia also lost her shot at a title to Valentina Shevchenko at UFC 255 in Nov. 2020. She bounced back with a unanimous-decision victory against Jessica Eye at UFC 264 in July 2021 to snap back on track.
This will be the second time these fighters will have faced each other at the UFC level. Chookagian won via unanimous-decision at UFC 244 in Nov. 2019. Six of Maia’s seven fights at the UFC level, and 10 of her past 11 professional bouts, have ended via decision.
UFC on ESPN 32 Chookagian vs. Maia: Odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:48 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Chookagian -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Maia +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -380 | No +245)
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UFC on ESPN 32 Chookagian vs. Maia: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Chookagian (16-4-0) | Maia (19-7-1)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
CHOOKAGIAN (-190) is a little more expensive than my personal limit of -180 on money line bets, but sometimes you have to make exceptions.
These fights went the distance at UFC 244, and Chookagian is a better fighter now than she was back then. She is a polished fighter who can wow the judges with her technique. She has eight wins across nine decisions since Nov. 12, 2016, and you can expect another one here.
Over/Under (O/U)
Playing Fight to go the distance? Yes (-380) is just too expensive, but instead, roll with a Method of Victory wager instead. Playing CHOOKAGIAN BY POINTS (-133) is a much more sound value.
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