Tag: UFC odds lines picks predictions best bets MMA odds

UFC 288: Aljamain Sterling vs. Henry Cejudo odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 288 odds between Aljamain Sterling and Henry Cejudo, with MMA picks and predictions.

In a bantamweight title bout in the main event, Aljamain Sterling and Henry Cejudo meet Saturday at UFC 288 at Prudential Center in Newark, N.J. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 6:30 p.m. ET, with prelims on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET. The main card can be viewed on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Sterling puts his strap on the line for his 3rd consecutive title defense fight. He knocked out TJ Dillashaw at UFC 280 in his most recent fight in late October and has 3 finishes in the past 4 outings — including a 1st-round submission of Cory Sandhagen at UFC 250 in June 2020. Overall, he has won 8 straight fights.

The “Funk Master” has a whopping 7-inch reach advantage and stands 3 inches taller than his counterpart. Sterling also holds a 4.70-to-3.92 significant strikes landed per minute advantage and is much more accurate with his strikes at 60.32%, to just 53.99% for Cejudo.

If Cejudo has a slight advantage, it’s in the ground game, and that’s where he’ll want to get the fight as quickly as possible as he looks to avoid that giant reach advantage for the champ.

Cejudo has recorded 3 consecutive KO/TKO wins over Dillashaw (1st round, January 2019), Marlon Moraes (3rd round, June 2019) and Dominick Cruz (2nd round, May 2020). This is his first fight since the Cruz match, as the former division champ laid the gloves down and retired, vacating the bantamweight title.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Sterling +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Cejudo -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -225 | Under +170)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -150 | No +110)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo picks and predictions

Records: Sterling (22-3-0) | Cejudo (16-2-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

It’s rather surprising to see STERLING (+100) as the slight underdog, but I’ll take him any day of the week.

Cejudo was a great fighter back in the day, but he is now 36 years old and coming off a 3-year hiatus. Who knows how his cardio and stamina will be? Facing a top-tier opponent like Sterling is a bit much for his return bout, and I expect the champ to use his tremendous reach advantage to knock out Cejudo.

Playing STERLING BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+800) for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 8 times is also too hard to pass up.

Over/Under (O/U)

Play NO: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (+110) at plus money.

Again, I’ll roll the dice on Sterling getting the KO/TKO win. I am just not feeling Cejudo after the long layoff, and I expect there to be rust. I am concerned about his stamina, and being able to go a full 5 rounds against a championship-caliber fighter after such a long time out of the octagon. I don’t think this goes the distance, and it’s rather surprising to see ‘No’ at plus money.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC 288: Jessica Andrade vs. Yan Xiaonan odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 288 odds and lines between Jessica Andrade and Yan Xiaonan, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a women’s strawweight bout on the main card, Jessica Andrade and Yan Xiaonan meet Saturday at UFC 288 at Prudential Center in Newark, N.J. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 288: Andrade vs. Yan odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 6:30 p.m. ET, with prelims on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET. The main card can be viewed on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Andrade is likely hungry to get back in to the octagon after a shocking Round 2 submission loss to Erin Blanchfield last time out in the main event in mid-February on a fight night card. “Bate Estaca” is just 4-4 across the past 8 bouts, although she had won 3 in a row prior to the Blanchfield setback.

In addition, Andrade has had just a single fight go the distance in the past 6, and 8 stoppages across the previous 10 bouts.

Yan slapped the brakes on a 2-bout losing skid with a majority-decision win over Mackenzie Dern last time out in the main event of a fight night card in early October. Since arriving at the UFC level, Yan has ended up going the distance in 8 of her 9 fights.

Andrade holds a 6.84-to-5.45 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and she is much more accurate, too, at 57.20% to just 49.54% for Yan. Andrade is also more likely to record a takedown, posting a 2.64-to-0.87 takedown average margin, although Yan is more accurate in the category.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC 288: Andrade vs. Yan odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Andrade -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Yan +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -300 | Under +210)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -135 | No +100)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC 288: Andrade vs. Yan picks and predictions

Records: Andrade (24-10-0) | Yan (16-3-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Look for Andrade (-185) to get well against Yan (+150) in his main card offering, although I’m not willing to risk nearly 2 times my potential return. My personal limit for a standalone wager is -180, and this is just a little too pricey for my liking.

Instead, PASS on the 2-way line, and look to the method of victory instead. ANDRADE ON POINTS (+200) for a chance to double up is much more appealing.

Over/Under (O/U)

Take YES: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (-135), as Yan has had 8 of her 9 bouts at the UFC level decided by the judges, with only a KO/TKO against Carla Esparza as the lone stoppage on May 22, 2021.

There is risk here, however, as Andrade has had the judges involved just once in the past 6 outings, so proceed with caution and go lightly.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC Fight Night 223: Song Yadong vs. Ricky Simon odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 223 odds and lines between Song Yadong and Ricky Simon, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a bantamweight bout in the main event, Song Yadong and Ricky Simon meet at UFC Fight Night 223 — also known as UFC Vegas 72 — at UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 223: Yadong vs. Simon odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims are on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 4:30 p.m. ET, while the main card can be viewed on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET.

Song heads into this main event fight looking to bounce back after suffering a TKO – Doctor’s Stoppage last time out against Cory Sandhagen in the main event Sept. 2022. That setback snapped a 3-bout win streak, including a pair of KO/TKO wins over Marlon Moraes and Julio Arce.

Simon takes the walk with a 5-bout win streak in tow. He tapped out Jack Shore last time out in mid-July and has 3 stoppages in his last 4 bouts. The American is is 8-2 since arriving at UFC level with 4 wins by decision, a win by KO/TKO against Raphael Assuncao in Dec. 2021, and 3 submission victories.

Simon holds a 2-inch reach advantage, while Song has a 4.55-to-3.04 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Simon is a little more accurate with his strikes at 51.79%, however, and he is by far the better fighter in terms of takedown average at 6.55 to just 0.63 for Song.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 223: Song vs. Simon odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Song +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Simon -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -125 | Under -105)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +120 | No -165)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC Fight Night 223: Song vs. Simon picks and predictions

Records: Song (19-7-1) | Simon (20-3-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

SIMON (-125) is a solid play on the 2-way line as a slight favorite, as he is by far the best wrestler in this match. He’ll be looking to get Song to the mat early and often.

Simon enters as the hotter fighter, having posted 5 consecutive victories, including a submission of Shore last time out, and a 2nd-round KO/TKO of Assuncao prior to that.

Song is one of the top prospects in the bantamweight division despite a loss last time out. However, Simon is better on the canvas, and more accurate in the punching department.

Over/Under (O/U)

Playing OVER 3.5 ROUNDS (-125) is worth playing in this main event.

Simon has gone the distance in 3 of his past 6 outings, while Song has had stoppages in just 4 of the past 7. His last fight against Sandhagen was likely headed for the judge’s cards before the injury stoppage after 4 rounds, too.

In addition to the Over 3.5 Rounds, going with YES (+120): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is also worth a roll of the dice. And if you go that route, SIMON BY DECISION (+200) for method of victory on the 5-way line is worth playing for a chance to double up.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC Fight Night 222: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Curtis Blaydes odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 222 odds and lines between Sergei Pavlovich and Curtis Blaydes, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a heavyweight bout in the main event, Sergei Pavlovich and Curtis Blaydes meet at UFC Fight Night 222 — also known as UFC Vegas 71 — at UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 222: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims are on ESPN+ at 4:30 p.m. ET, while the main card can be viewed on ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET.

Pavlovich takes the walk to the octagon with 5 consecutive KO/TKO wins under his belt after getting dropped by Alistair Overeem in his UFC debut in Nov. 2018. Not only has the Russian fighter won his past 5 bouts via KO/TKO, but each has been finished in Round 1.

Blaydes made quick work of Tom Aspinall in his most recent showing in July 2022 in the main event, needing just 15 seconds before dispatching the Briton via knockout. That came on the heels of a 2nd-Round KO/TKO against Chris Daukaus in March 2022.

“Razor” has won 7 of his past 8 bouts, with stoppages in 7 of the previous 10 fights dating back to Feb. 2018. The 32-year-old gives up 4 inches in reach to Pavlovich. Blaydes has posted a 61.55% significant strike accuracy percentage, and he has a spectacular 6.05 takedown average. He’ll likely be trying to get this fight to the mat quickly.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 222: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:37 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Pavlovich +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Blaydes -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +110 | Under -145)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +550 | No -1100)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC Fight Night 222: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes picks and predictions

Records: Pavlovich (17-1-0) | Blaydes (17-3-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

BLAYDES (-165) is a strong play on the 2-way line, as Pavlovich faces a serious step up in competition.

Blaydes is the more polished fighter and can win it in a number of ways. He is not just known for his punching power, but also for his wrestling ability. If he gets Pavlovich down, and begins the ground and pound, it isn’t going to end well for the Russian underdog.

Blaydes is fighting for a title shot, and he just might get one with a resounding victory here.

Over/Under (O/U)

Playing OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (+110) is worth a look. Yes, Pavlovich hasn’t been extended past the 1st Round in any of his 6 fights at the UFC level, but Blaydes represents his biggest challenge yet.

I think this one takes a little longer than the middle of the 2nd Round. These 2 fighters will use the 1st Round to feel each other out. They’re not going to wear themselves out by emptying the tank with a ton of punches. We might see Blaydes go to the mat in Round 1, trying to gain top position and wow the judges with his wrestling ability. However, I think we see Round 2 — and perhaps even Round 3 — before Blaydes comes away with a win either by submission or via KO/TKO.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC on ESPN 44: Tanner Boser vs. Ion Cutelaba odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 44 odds and lines between Tanner Boser vs. Ion Cutelaba, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a heavyweight bout on the main card, Tanner Boser and Ion Cutelaba meet at UFC on ESPN 44 at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 44: Boser vs. Cutelaba odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims are on ESPN+ at 5:30 p.m. ET, while the main card can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Boser has been ice-cold, winning just once in the past 4 outings. That KO/TKO win over Ovince Saint Preux in June 2021 was the only stoppage, with 2 losses coming via split decision, and the other setback via unanimous decision against Andrei Arlovski.

Cutelaba enters on a 3-fight losing streak. Not only has the Moldovan lost 3 in a row, he was knocked out in the 2nd round by Kennedy Nzechukwu, and he was submitted by Johnny Walker and Ryan Spann in the 2 previous outings. Cutelaba also enters on a 1-5-1 skid in the past 7 bouts.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC on ESPN 44: Boser vs. Cutelaba odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Boser +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Cutelaba -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -140 | Under +110)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +200 | No -275)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC on ESPN 44: Boser vs. Cutelaba picks and predictions

Records: Boser (20-9-1) | Cutelaba (16-9-1)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

These are 2 fighters not only in need of a win, but they might be fighting simply to stay in the promotion.

Cutelaba holds a slight 4.43-to-4.21 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, although BOSER (+110) is much more accurate at 58.93% to just 46.36% for Cutelaba.

Boser is worth a look a plus-money as the slight underdog, as he has had more impressive victories in the past couple of years.

Looking to METHOD OF VICTORY: BOSER BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+225) is worth a look. His past 3 wins have been via knockout, while Cutelaba has lost via stoppage in each of his previous 3 bouts.

Over/Under (O/U)

Playing OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-140) is a solid play, even though I’m expecting this fight to end with a Boser knockout. Cutelaba will make him work at least into Round 2 for the victory.

Playing No: Will the fight go the distance (-275) is too expensive, however.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC on ESPN 44: Edson Barboza vs. Billy Quarantillo odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 44 odds and lines between Edson Barboza and Billy Quarantillo, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a featherweight bout on the main card, Edson Barboza and Billy Quarantillo meet at UFC on ESPN 44 at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 44: Barboza vs. Quarantillo odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims are on ESPN+ at 5:30 p.m. ET, while the main card can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Barboza is looking to halt a 2-bout losing streak, as he was edged by Bryce Mitchell at UFC 272 by unanimous decision last time out on March 5, 2022. He was knocked out by Giga Chikadze in the main event on in Aug. 2021 in the fight prior.

Barboza has won just 3 times in the past 10 fights, losing twice via KO/TKO, once by way of TKO – Doctor’s Stoppage, twice via split-decision and twice by way of unanimous decision.

Quarantillo has been stuck in neutral a little bit, alternating wins and losses across the past 5 outings. He dropped Alexander Hernandez via KO/TKO in the 2nd Round at UFC 282 in December, and each of his past 3 wins has been via knockout.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC on ESPN 44: Barboza vs. Quarantillo odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Barboza +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Quarantillo -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -250 | Under +180)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +100 | No -135)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC on ESPN 44: Barboza vs. Quarantillo picks and predictions

Records: Barboza (22-11-0) | Quarantillo (17-4-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

QUARANTILLO (-175) is a little pricey, but he is worth the play.

The younger fighter has a slight reach advantage, although Barboza is the more prolific puncher by far. The Brazilian has a 7.24-to-3.40 significant strikes landed per minute advantage.

However, Quarantillo is much better on the mat and has been fighting better than Barboza in recent years. Quarantillo holds a 1.35-to-0.29 takedown average, and he’ll be looking to get this fight to the mat as quickly as possible.

METHOD OF VICTORY – 7-WAY: QUARANTILLO BY SUBMISSION (+650) is worth a look for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 6 1/2 times.

In addition, if you go want to get specific with the submission and exact outcome, roll with FIGHT – EXACT OUTCOME: QUARANTILLO BY REAR NAKED CHOKE (+800).

Over/Under (O/U)

WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? NO (-135) is the way to go because I believe Quarantillo will get the stoppage.

It’s rather specific, but playing ROUND BETTING: QUARANTILLO IN ROUND 2 (+550) is also worth a look, too. In 2 of his past 4 stoppages, he has won in Round 2, including his most recent submission victory.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC on ESPN 44: Max Holloway vs. Arnold Allen odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 44 odds and lines between Max Holloway and Arnold Allen, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a featherweight bout in the main event, Max Holloway and Arnold Allen meet at UFC on ESPN 44 at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 44: Holloway vs. Allen odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims are on ESPN+ at 5:30 p.m. ET, while the main card can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Holloway, the former champ, lost last time out in a chance for the strap at UFC 276. He was stopped by Alexander Volkanovski via unanimous decision. Holloway has gone the distance in each of his past 7 fights, going 3-4 with 3 losses to Volkanovski.

Allen streaks into this fight with 10 straight victories since arriving at the UFC level, including a 2nd-round KO/TKO against Calvin Kattar last time out in October. He had a 1st-round KO/TKO against Dan Hooker on March 19, 2022, in the fight prior, but his 4 previous bouts went the distance.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC on ESPN 44: Holloway vs. Allen odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Holloway -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Allen +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -115 | Under -115)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -135 | No +100)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC on ESPN 44: Holloway vs. Allen picks and predictions

Records: Holloway (23-7-0) | Allen (19-1-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Holloway (-185) is just a little too expensive for a standalone wager, although he isn’t a terrible play as part of a multi-fighter parlay.

Holloway has gone the distance in 7 straight fights, and he’ll tap into his experience to hang a loss on Allen, so ROUND AND METHOD OF VICTORY: HOLLOWAY BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+150) is a much better value for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 1 1/2 times.

Over/Under (O/U)

If you don’t want to declare a winner, then WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? YES (-135) isn’t priced out of line. Allen has gone the distance in 4 of his past 6 fights, while Holloway has needed the help of the judges to determine a winner in 7 in a row.

If you’d like a little wiggle room, betting OVER 4.5 ROUNDS (-115) is also a recommended play.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC 287: Rob Font vs. Adrian Yanez odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 287 odds and lines between Rob Font and Adrian Yanez, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a bantamweight bout on the main card, Rob Font and Adrian Yanez meet at UFC 287 at Kaseya Center in Miami. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 287: Font vs. Yanez odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 6 p.m. ET, while the prelims can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET. The main card begins at 10 p.m. on Pay-Per-View.

Yanez streaks into this fight with 5 straight victories since making his UFC debut on Oct. 31, 2020. With the exception of a split-decision win over Davey Grant in Nov. 2021, he has recorded 4 KO/TKO victories, including a 1st-Round win over Tony Kelley last time out in June 2022.

Font holds a 1.5-inch reach advantage over his counterpart. Both fighters are close in terms of significant strikes landed per minute, with Font delivering 6.38 and Yanez averaging 6.62. Font is much more accurate at 48.16% (Yanez 40.61%), and he has a 1.03 takedown average (Yanez 0.00), and 37.5% takedown accuracy.

Font is coming off consecutive setbacks via unanimous decision (UD) against Marlon Vera and Jose Aldo. He hasn’t won since a UD defeat of Cody Garbrandt on May 22, 2021. The Puerto Rican has faced the cream of the crop in the bantamweight division, and he’ll need to tap into his experience to get back on track by recording a much-needed win.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC 287: Font vs. Yanez odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:52 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Font +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Yanez -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -250 | Under +185)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -110 | No -120)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC 287: Font vs. Yanez picks and predictions

Records: Font (19-6-0) | Yanez (16-3-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

FONT (+155) is looking to slap the brakes on a 2-bout losing streak with a win over Yanez, and he’ll do just that in South Florida in one of the bigger upsets of the evening.

Font has faced a who’s who in the bantamweight division. The 35-year-old will use his experience, slight reach advantage and punching accuracy to wow the judges and do more in terms of points.

ROUND BETTING: FONT ON POINTS (+275) for a chance to nearly triple up is a very enticing play.

Over/Under (O/U)

If you don’t want to declare a winner then WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? YES (-110) is a strong play, especially more so than Over 1.5 Rounds (-250), which will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return.

If anything, FONT TO WIN BY SPLIT OR MAJORITY DECISION (+1100) is worth a roll of the dice for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 11 times.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC 287: Gilbert Burns vs. Jorge Masvidal odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 287 odds and lines between Gilbert Burns and Jorge Masvidal, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a welterweight bout on the main card, Gilbert Burns and Jorge Masvidal meet at UFC 287 at Kaseya Center in Miami. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 287: Burns vs. Masvidal odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 6 p.m. ET, while the prelims can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET. The main card begins at 10 p.m. on Pay-Per-View.

Burns bounced back from a unanimous-decision loss to Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 273 in April 2022 to submit veteran Neil Magny at UFC 283 last time out in January.

The Brazilian, a.k.a. “Durinho”, has alternated wins and losses across the past 5 outings. He has gone the distance in 5 of the past 8 fights — with 4 wins — dating back to Aug. 2019 and is 1-1 via KO/TKO with a 2-0 mark via submission during the span, showing his tremendous versatility.

Burns stands an inch shorter than his counterpart and gives up 3 inches in reach. However, he has a 56.82% significant strikes accuracy percentage, and a solid 2.03 takedown average. The Brazilian is 2 years younger, too.

Masvidal is looking to halt a 3-bout losing skid, including a unanimous-decision loss against Colby Covington in his most recent showing at UFC 272 in March 2022. That setback followed up a pair of title bout losses to Kamaru Usman in 2020 and 2021, giving Masvidal his first-ever 3-bout losing streak.

He has gone the distance in 2 of those 3 losses, and he has managed just 6 finishes with 1 doctor’s stoppage across the past 19 bouts at the UFC level.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC 287: Burns vs. Masvidal odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Burns -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Masvidal +340 (bet $100 to win $340)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -185 | Under +140)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +130 | No -175)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC 287: Burns vs. Masvidal picks and predictions

Records: Burns (21-5-0) | Masvidal (35-16-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Burns (-450) should be able to do enough to get it done against the veteran Masvidal, but risking 4 1/2 times your potential return is way too risky with not enough reward.

Masvidal will be looking to keep this bout upright to avoid Burns being able to use his tremendous wrestling ability to get a finish. The only hope the veteran Masvidal has is to turn this into a brawl, raining punches on the heavy favorite.

However, Burns will be able to weather the storm and is currently the much more well-rounded fighter of the pair. I think METHOD OF VICTORY: BURNS BY DECISION (+150) is the best value, as Masvidal is a wily veteran who will be able to keep the heavy favorite from knocking him out or submitting him. However, the Brazilian will do enough to wow the judges.

Over/Under (O/U)

If you don’t want to declare a winner, but still want action, playing HOW WILL THE FIGHT FINISH? DECISION (+130) for the fight finish is the way to go and is a tremendous value.

Burns went the distance in 2 of his past 3 fights, including the loss to Chimaev and a win over Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson in July 2021. Masvidal has also gone the distance in 2 of the previous 3 bouts.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC 287: Alex Pereira vs. Israel Adesanya odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 287 odds and lines between Alex Pereira and Israel Adesanya, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight championship bout in the main event, Alex Pereira and Israel Adesanya meet at UFC 287 at Kaseya Center in Miami. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 6 p.m. ET, while the prelims can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET. The main card begins at 10 p.m. on Pay-Per-View.

Pereira takes the walk looking to protect the middleweight strap that he earned by posting a 5th-round KO/TKO at UFC 281 against Adesanya in November. He has won 3 of his 4 matchups since arriving at the UFC level, including 3 via knockout.

Pereira has a 5.23-to-3.93 significant strikes landed per minute advantage and has posted a 67.49% significant strikes accuracy percentage in his 4 bouts in the UFC.

Adesanya has dropped 2 of his past 5 fights after starting his professional career an impressive 20-0. When Pereira dropped him at Madison Square Garden last time out, it was the first time “The Last Stylebender” has been knocked out. The stoppage snapped a 4-bout streak of unanimous-decision finishes.

We’ve never seen Adesanya lose consecutive fights at any point during his professional career. However, Pereira used a combination of punishing calf kicks and tremendous punching power to turn the tide in the first matchup.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:13 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Pereira +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Adesanya -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -225 | Under +170)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +110 | No -150)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya picks and predictions

Records: Pereira (7-1-0) | Adesanya (23-2-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

The middleweight division is in good hands with Pereira and Adesanya at the top of the charts.

ADESANYA (-135) is the play on the 2-way line in Miami, as he looks to regain his strap. A win here likely sets up a trilogy fight.

Look for Stylebender to defend against the calf kicks much better, as he tries to keep Pereira at more of a distance. Adesanya will go back to basics, looking to keep his opponent at arm’s length, while wowing the judges with his technique.

Over/Under (O/U)

Looking to METHOD OF VICTORY: ADESANYA BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+175) is a solid play for a chance to nearly double up.

If you don’t want to declare a winner, playing HOW WILL THE FIGHT FINISH? DECISION (+110) is also a value play.

There isn’t a lot of value in playing Over 2.5 Rounds (-225), as it will cost you more than 2 times your potential return.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]