Tag: UFC Fight Night 226 odds lines picks and predictions best bets

UFC Fight Night 226: Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Thiago Moises odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 226 odds between Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Thiago Moises with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round lightweight bout on the main card, Benoit Saint-Denis and Thiago Moises meet at UFC Fight Night 226 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 84 and UFC Paris — at Accor Arena in Paris on Saturday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 226: Saint-Denis vs. Moises odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

Records: Saint-Denis (11-1-0) | Moises (17-6-0)

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 12:30 p.m. ET, while the main card starts at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Saint-Denis will have the home crowd behind him, but he more going for him than just noise from the fans. The southpaw has a 2.5-inch reach advantage and a 4.11-to-2.47 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. He also lands 62.70% of those strikes, compared to just 45.34% for his counterpart.

After losing his UFC debut, Saint-Denis, a.k.a. “God of War”, has rattled off 3 straight victories, all via stoppage. That includes a 1st-round victory via submission against Ismael Bonfim last time out on July 1.

If Moises has an advantage, it’s in the ground game, where he had a 41.38% takedown accuracy percentage and a 1.28 submission average. Moises has won his past 2 fights via submission, including a 2nd-round win over Melquizael Costa last time out at UFC 283 in late January.

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UFC Fight Night 226: Saint-Denis vs. Moises odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:47 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Saint-Denis -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Moises +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -105 | Under -115)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +130 | No -175)

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UFC Fight Night 226: Saint-Denis vs. Moises picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

SAINT-DENIS (-165) is a rather moderate favorite, but he is a strong play in front of his fellow French citizens. They’ll be a full throat spurring him on.

BSD rolls in with 3 straight victories, and he has gotten the job done at 1:32 of the 2nd Round or earlier in each win.

Moises will be trying desperately to get Saint-Denis to the mat, but the Frenchman is also pretty strong on the canvas. That mitigates the only slight advantage Moises might have.

Over/Under (O/U)

NO (-175): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a little bit pricey, but this fight is likely to end before the judges are forced to get involved.

Since going the distance in his UFC debut, Saint-Denis has 3 consecutive finishes; Moises has 4 straight stoppages since his last decision back on Feb. 27, 2021.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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UFC Fight Night 226: Manon Fiorot vs. Rose Namajunas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 226 odds between Manon Fiorot vs. Rose Namajunas with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round women’s flyweight bout on the main card, Manon Fiorot and Rose Namajunas meet at UFC Fight Night 226 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 84 and UFC Paris — at Accor Arena in Paris on Saturday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 226: Fiorot vs. Namajunas odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

Records: Fiorot (10-1-0) | Namajunas (12-5-0)

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 12:30 p.m. ET, while the main card starts at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Fiorot takes the walk to the octagon looking to stay perfect at the UFC level. Since her company debut on Jan. 20, 2021, “The Beast” has won 5 straight bouts, including 3 consecutive unanimous-decision victories. The opponents haven’t been slouches, either, as Fiorot has stopped veterans Katlyn Chookagian, Jennifer Maia and Mayra Bueno Silva in the past 3 outings.

Namajunas makes her debut at 125 pounds. The 31-year-old last fought at UFC 274, falling to Carla Esparza via split-decision in May 2022 to lose her women’s strawweight title. In an odd twist, 3 of her past 4 fights have ended with split-decision results, with 2 wins and the loss to Esparza.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 226: Fiorot vs. Namajunas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:36 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Fiorot -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Namajunas +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -175 | No +130)

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UFC Fight Night 226: Fiorot vs. Namajunas picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Fiorot (-200) will be fighting on her home soil in Paris, and the fans will be behind her. But NAMAJUNAS (+160) is the play in her flyweight debut. The former strawweight champ has the experience, and she’ll tap into that wealth of knowledge to get it done and wow the judges.

In addition to the straight-up play on the 2-way line, look to METHOD OF VICTORY 5-WAY: NAMAJUNAS BY DECISION (+300) for the chance to triple up.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (-175): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a tad on the expensive side but it’s the slam-dunk play here — especially if you want action on the bout and don’t want to declare a winner.

Fiorot has gone the distance in 3 straight unanimous-decision results, and Namajunas has needed the judges in 3 of her previous 4 outings.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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UFC Fight Night 226: Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 226 odds between Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 5-round heavyweight bout in the main event, Ciryl Gane and Serghei Spivac meet at UFC Fight Night 226 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 84 and UFC Paris — at Accor Arena in Paris on Saturday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 226: Gane vs. Spivac odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

Records: Gane (11-2-0) | Spivac (16-3-0)

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 12:30 p.m. ET, while the main card starts at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Gane is looking to bounce back after losing to Jon “Bones” Jones in a 1st-round submission at UFC 285 in March. The loss marked his 2nd straight failed attempt to reclaim the title, as the Frenchman went the distance in a unanimous-decision loss to Francis Ngannou at UFC 270 in Jan. 2022. That was the only time in his last 4 fights that he’s needed the judges, and he earned a 3rd-round TO/TKO victory over Tai Tuivasa in between the title-shot defeats. “Bon Gamin” is 8-2 since joining the UFC with his only 2 losses coming in the title fights.

Spivac takes the walk with 3 consecutive stoppage wins in tow. He submitted Derrick Lewis in the 1st-round of a fight night main event last time out on Feb. 4, and he recorded a pair of KO/TKO wins over Augusto Sakai (2nd round) and Greg Hardy (1st round) in 2022. He has gone the distance just once in his previous 6 battles in the octagon.

Gane holds a 3-inch reach advantage, and he also has a slight 5.08-to-3.79 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Spivac is slightly more accurate with the strikes, landing 63.78% to 61.93% for Gane. Spivac’s biggest advantage is in the takedown game, posting a 5.05 TD Average, while also posting a 65.85% takedown accuracy percentage and 0.56 submission average.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 226: Gane vs. Spivac odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:28 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Gane -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Spivac +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +130 | Under -165)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +350 | No -550)

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UFC Fight Night 226: Gane vs. Spivac picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Gane (-190) had tons of trouble against Jones and Ngannou on the ground, and that certainly doesn’t bode well for him against SPIVAC (+160). The Moldovan fighter and moderate underdog is worth playing, despite the location of the fight favoring Gane.

Spivac holds a tremendous advantage in the ground game, and Gane just won’t be keen to get to the canvas. If the challenger does take it there, this one could be over quickly.

Over/Under (O/U)

No (-550): Will the fight go the distance? will cost you 5 1/2 times your potential return and that’s an awful play — even though this one is unlikely to include the judges for a decision.

I like METHOD OF VICTORY 7-WAY: SPIVAC BY SUBMISSION (+400) for a chance to multiply your wager by 4 times, and UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-165) is also a sound play.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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