Tag: UFC 289 odds lines picks and predictions best bets

UFC 289: Dan Ige vs. Nate Landwehr odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 289 odds and lines between Dan Ige vs. Nate Landwehr with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a featherweight bout on the main card, Dan Ige and Nate Landwehr meet Saturday at UFC 289 at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, British Columbia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 289: Ige vs. Landwehr odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 7 p.m., prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET, with the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Ige halted a 3-bout losing streak, all via unanimous decision, with a 2nd-round KO/TKO against Damon Jackson last time out in mid-January. He hasn’t picked up consecutive victories since winning 6 in a row from June 2018 to May 2020. Ige has gone the distance in 7 of his past 9 fights.

Landwehr takes the walk on a 3-bout win streak, including a pair of submission victories over Austin Lingo and Ludovit Klein. Sandwiched between those victories was a majority decision win over David Onama in mid-Aug. 2022.

Landwehr has a 2-inch height and 1-inch reach advantage, and he also has an impressive 6.47-to-3.80 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Landwehr is more accurate too, landing 52.51% of those strikes compared to just 50.26% for Ige.

As far as the ground game is concerned, it’s advantage Landwehr too. “The Train” has a slight takedown average lead (1.36-to-1.25), but a huge 62.5% takedown accuracy percentage compared to just 26.79% for Ige. Landwehr holds the 1.36 submission average lead, too, with Ige posting just 0.33.

UFC 289: Ige vs. Landwehr odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:44 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Ige -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Landwehr +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +110 | No -145)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC 289: Ige vs. Landwehr picks and predictions

Records: Ige (16-6-0) | Landwehr (17-4-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

LANDWEHR (+200) is a tremendous value as a live ‘dog, giving bettors a chance to double up.

Statistically, the underdog holds all of the major advantages, and the only area Ige has an advantage is being 4 years younger.

Landwehr has been the hotter fighter, too, posting 3 straight wins, and a pair of submissions during the run. However, like the Onama fight, I think LANDWEHR ON POINTS (+475) is the result, and worth playing lightly.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (+110): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a tremendous value at plus money.

I think Landwehr gets it done, but if you don’t want to take a chance on the underdog, and simply want some action on the fight, this is a great play. Landwehr has ended up going the distance in 2 of his past 5 UFC fights, while Ige has needed the help of the judges to determine a winner in 7 of his past 9 outings.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC 289: Mike Malott vs. Adam Fugitt odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 289 odds and lines between Mike Malott vs. Adam Fugitt with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a welterweight bout on the main card, Mike Malott and Adam Fugitt meet Saturday at UFC 289 at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, British Columbia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 289: Malott vs. Fugitt odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 7 p.m., prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET, with the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

The Canadian Malott has won each of his 2 fights since making his UFC debut. The 31-year-old picked up a 1st round submission victory of Yohan Lainesse in February on the heels of a 1st-round KO/TKO at UFC 273 against Mickey Gall in April 2022. He has 5 consecutive finishes dating back to Feb. 2017 when he topped Craig Shintani at XFFC 13, with each fight ending in the 1st round.

Fugitt, the American southpaw, represents Art of War MMA. The 34-year-old has 2 fights under his belt, winning against Yusaku Kinoshita last time out in early February. That made up for a 3rd-round KO/TKO loss to Michael Morales in his company debut in July 2022.

UFC 289: Malott vs. Fugitt odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Malott -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Fugitt +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +275 | No -400)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC 289: Malott vs. Fugitt picks and predictions

Records: Malott (9-1-1) | Fugitt (9-3-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Malott (-210) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little too expensive for a singular bet. As part of a multi-fighter parlay, it isn’t nearly as bad.

The Canadian has been on a roll, winning each of his 2 UFC fights, and not wasting any time in each of his past 5 professional bouts, ending each fight with a 1st-round win.

Still, we have to get a little creative, as Malott on the 2-way line is too expensive. Instead, MALOTT BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+200) for a chance to double up is more attractive.

Over/Under (O/U)

No (-400): Will the fight go the distance? is way too expensive.

Instead, I’d take a chance on Round Betting, and look to MALOTT IN ROUND 2 (+400) for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 4 times. Toss in MALOTT IN ROUND 3 (+800), too. Yes, you’ll lose one of the ends, but if the Canadian wins in either Round 2 or 3 you will be well ahead.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC 289: Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Eryk Anders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 289 odds and lines between Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Eryk Anders with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight bout on the main card, Marc-Andre Barriault and Eryk Anders meet Saturday at UFC 289 at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 289: Barriault vs. Anders odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 7 p.m., prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET, with the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Barriault, the Canadian native, dropped Julian Marquez in a 2nd-round KO/TKO win at UFC 285 in his most-recent showing in early March. He has alternated wins and losses across his past 5 fights, with 4 consecutive finishes. In the 4-bout finish streak, he has a win and a loss via KO/TKO, and a win and a loss via submission.

For Anders, a.k.a. ‘Ya Boi’, the southpaw snapped a 2-bout skid with a 2nd-round KO/TKO against Kyle Daukaus last time out in early Dec. 2022. Anders hasn’t won consecutive fights since topping Vinicius Moreira and Gerald Meerschaert in June and Oct. 2019 bouts.

Anders has a 1-inch reach differential, while Barriault has an impressive 5.90-to-3.39 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Neither fighter has an advantage in the ground game, although Anders is more apt to go there, posting a 1.59 takedown average.

UFC 289: Barriault vs. Anders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Barriault -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Anders +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -135 | No +100)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC 289: Barriault vs. Anders picks and predictions

Records: Barriault (15-6-0) | Anders (15-7-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

BARRIAULT (-140) should feed off a pro-Canadian crowd in this first fight on the main card.

Neither of these fighters comes in particularly hot. But Barriault nearly doubles up Anders (+115) in significant strikes landed per minute, and that will be his M.O. in this fight. Barriault will look to keep the fight upright, try to drag Anders into a brawl, and avoid going to the mat where the underdog has his best chance.

Over/Under (O/U)

NO (+100): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a tremendous play.

Neither of these fighters seem terribly keen to get the judges involved. Barriault’s past 4 fights have ended early, including a pair of 1st-round endings.

For Anders, he has ended up going the distance in 4 of his past 6 fights, while there was also a no contest in March 2021 against Darren Stewart. It isn’t a certainty that this one ends early, but generally Barriault doesn’t waste much time getting the job done.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC 289: Charles Oliveira vs. Beneil Dariush odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 289 odds and lines between Charles Oliveira vs. Beneil Dariush with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a lightweight bout on the main card, Charles Oliveira and Beneil Dariush meet Saturday at UFC 289 at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, British Columbia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 289: Oliveira vs. Dariush odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 7 p.m., prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET, with the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Oliveira lost his lightweight strap at UFC 280 as he was submitted in the 2nd round by Islam Makhachev. “Do Bronx” had won his 2 previous fights via submission against Justin Gaethje (May 2022) and Dustin Poirier (Dec. 2021), and his win over Gaethje was in the opening round. The Chute Boxe fighter is a tough customer, and he has faced the best of the best in the class.

The southpaw Dariush has rattled off 8 straight victories since a 1st-round KO/TKO loss against Alexander Hernandez at UFC 222 in 2018, so yeah, it’s been a while. His past 2 fights might be the most impressive, topping Tony Ferguson and Mateusz Gamrot via unanimous decision at UFC 262 and UFC 280, respectively.

Oliveira holds a 2-inch reach advantage and has a slight 3.81-to-3.48 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Oliveira is a little more accurate at 61.52%, while Dariush lands his strikes at 53.73% accuracy. Both like to attempt the takedown too, but Oliveira well ahead with a 2.78-to-0.90 submission average.

UFC 289: Oliveira vs. Dariush odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:57 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Oliveira +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Dariush -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +180 | No -250)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC 289: Oliveira vs. Dariush picks and predictions

Records: Oliveira (33-9-0) | Dariush (22-4-1)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

OLIVEIRA (+125) is a solid value as the underdog in this fight. Dariush has been red-hot, winning 8 straight fights, but Oliveira has squared off with a who’s who in this division lately and has been a belt holder with 2 successful titles defenses.

I believe Oliveira taps into his championship experience to get the job done and hand Dariush his first loss since spring of 2018, while positioning himself for another shot at the strap. Oliveira hasn’t lost consecutive fights since 2016.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (+180): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is worth taking a flier on, for a chance to nearly double up.

While Oliveira doesn’t play around, finishing inside the distance in 4 straight fights, he did have a unanimous-decision win at UFC 256.

On the flip side, Dariush’s past 3 fights have ended via decision, although his 4 fights prior to that run ended in the 2nd round or sooner. Still, as the competition has improved, his fights have ended up going longer.

I think Dariush can really give Oliveira some trouble, and take this one the distance.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC 289: Amanda Nunes vs. Irene Aldana odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 289 odds and lines between Amanda Nunes vs. Irene Aldana with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a women’s bantamweight championship bout in the main event, Amanda Nunes and Irene Aldana meet Saturday at UFC 289 at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, British Columbia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 7 p.m., prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET, with the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Nunes, a.k.a. “The Lioness”, takes the walk with the bantamweight strap in tow. The 35-year-old was stunned in a 2nd-round submission setback at UFC 269 against Julianna Pena in December, 2021, but she returned the favor with a unanimous-decision win at UFC 277 in July to get her title back.

Since taking the belt off of Miesha Tate at UFC 200 in July 2016, Nunes is 8-1 in title defense fights. She has gone the distance in 3 of her past 5 fights — all victories — against Germaine de Randamie, Felicia Spencer and Pena.

Aldana enters the octagon as a huge underdog. She has recorded consecutive KO/TKO wins over Macy Chiasson and Yana Santos, but a fight against the legend Nunes is a giant step up in competition. Aldana appeared in one other main event in a Fight Night card on Oct. 3, 2020, losing to Holly Holm via unanimous decision.

Aldana actually holds a 5.39-to-4.40 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, although the champ is much more accurate at 57.43% compared to just 43.58% for Aldana. Nunes also loves the takedown, registering a 2.61 TD average, as opposed to just 0.20 for her challenger.

UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:32 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Nunes -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Aldana +260 (bet $260 to win $100)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +180 | No -250)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana picks and predictions

Records: Nunes (22-5-0) | Aldana (14-6-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

It’s a treat to be able to watch Nunes (-350), as she is one of the most dominant fighters in UFC history. But it’s also a little boring, too. She has won 13 of her past 14 fights, which makes the Pena loss at UFC 269 that much more shocking.

She reportedly contemplated retiring after that setback, but bounced back with a revenge win instead and now finds herself at the pinnacle again — and a heavy favorite to stay there.

However, you cannot risk 3 1/2 times your potential return on the 2-way line. Instead, NUNES BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+100) at even money is a much better play in the 7-way Method of Victory category.

Over/Under (O/U)

No (-250): Will the fight go the distance? is not worth playing. It will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive for not enough reward.

Instead, play a 3-round block instead. Playing NUNES IN ROUND 2 (+400), NUNES IN ROUND 3 (+800) and NUNES IN ROUND 4 (+1400). Yes, you’re going to lose 2 of those ends, but if Nunes gets the finish in Round 2 through 4, you’ll be well ahead, especially if she wins in Round 3 or 4.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]