In a bantamweight title fight on the main card, Petr Yan and Sean O’Malley meet Saturday at UFC 280 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC 280: Yan vs. O’Malley odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The fight can be viewed on ESPNews/ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at 10:30 a.m. ET and the main card at 2 p.m. ET on Pay-Per-View.
Yan steps into the octagon looking to rebound after a split-decision loss to Aljamain Sterling at UFC 273, losing his strap in the process. A win here would go a long way in positioning Yan for another shot at the title sooner rather than later.
Yan stands 4 inches shorter than O’Malley, who has a 5-inch reach advantage over the Russian fighter, too. However, Yan is the much better fighter on the ground, and that’s where he’ll try and get this fight as quickly as possible, avoiding going toe-to-toe with the switch-stance striker.
O’Malley’s fight against Pedro Munhoz last time out at UFC 276 was declared a no contest after an accidental eye poke knocked Munhoz out of the fight.
Each of O’Malley’s past 6 fights prior to UFC 276 resulted in a KO/TKO, with 5 victories. He hasn’t ended up going the distance since a unanimous-decision win against Andre Soukhamthath at UFC 222 in March 2018, his first official fight at the UFC level.
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UFC 280: Yan vs. O’Malley odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:41 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Yan -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | O’Malley +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -210 | Under +150)
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes (-200) | No (+140)
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UFC 280: Yan vs. O’Malley picks and predictions
Records: Yan (16-3-0) | O’Malley (15-1-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Yan (-300) is too expensive laying 3 times your potential return if you like him on the 2-way line. Get creative instead.
While Yan is tremendous in the takedown game, he has just 1 submission win and result in his pro career, while O’Malley also has been involved in just 1 submission.
Yan will score points with the judges, but if he is to get the win, it will be with a finish. Play the “Congrats Hasbulla” special bet at Tipico with YAN TO WIN BY TKO/KO (+410) for a solid value as that’s the best way to beat O’Malley.
Over/Under (O/U)
NO (+140): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is solid at plus-money as O’Malley just doesn’t get the judges involved. This fight is going to end in a knockout.
UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+150) is also worth a roll of the dice for a slightly better value, too.
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