In a flyweight title bout in Saturday’s co-main event, Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno meet at UFC 263 at Gila River Arena in Glendale, Ariz. Below, we analyze the UFC 263 Figueiredo vs. Moreno odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The early prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims starting at 8 p.m. ET, and the main card beginning at 10 p.m. ET on pay-per-view.
UFC 263 Figueiredo vs. Moreno: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Figueiredo -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Moreno +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -110 | Under -110)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +120 | No -145)
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UFC 263 Figueiredo vs. Moreno: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Figueiredo 20-1-1 | Moreno 18-5-2
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
It’s a rematch of a thrilling draw back at UFC 256 Dec. 12, 2020, at the UFC’s APEX Facility. It was a rare fight to go the distance for the champ Figueiredo (-200), who had four consecutive stoppages before that outing.
Figueiredo actually needed to go to the hospital after that fight due to severe bruising, and he didn’t speak publicly after the fight. Moreno will get another chance to become the first Mexican-born champ in UFC history. He might have done it the first time, but a low blow slowed him in the first fight.
MORENO (+165) is a good bet as a healthy underdog as he proved he can more than hang with Figueiredo, who retained his strap by a thread last time out.
Moreno is 4-0-2 across the past six bouts with two KO/TKO wins, two draws and two unanimous-decision victories.
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Over/Under (O/U)
It will be hard for these two combatants to match the slugfest we saw the first time these two got together. But you can expect another brawl between the flyweights. They’re both tremendous in an upright fight, and they can handle themselves with aplomb on the mat, too.
I really like YES (+120): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? in this one. We won’t get a draw like last time, but these two fighters have a ton of heart and will take a considerable beating again in this rematch. In the end, Moreno will make history, and taking MORENO ON POINTS (+333) represents a good chance to triple up if get his arm raised.
OVER 4.5 ROUNDS (+105) is also a good play at near even-money if you don’t want to specify a winner and are not expecting a stoppage.
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