UConn at Providence odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UConn at Providence odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Providence Friars (19-11, 10-9 Big East) welcome the No. 2 UConn Huskies (27-3, 17-2) to Amica Mutual Pavilion Saturday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UConn vs. Providence odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

UConn is No. 2 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The Huskies beat the No. 9 Marquette Golden Eagles 74-67 Wednesday, covering as 5-point road favorites. UConn has won 3 straight games and has lost just once since Dec. 20, 2023. The Huskies have covered in 6 of their last 7 games and are 19-11 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

Providence beat the Georgetown Hoyas 71-58 Tuesday, covering as an 8-point road favorite. The Friars have covered in just 2 of their last 3 games and have won 4 of their last 6. They are 17-12-1 ATS on the season. Providence is led by G Devin Carter, who is averaging 19.2 points per game.

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UConn at Providence odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): UConn -520 (bet $520 to win $100) | Providence +385 (bet $100 to win $385)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UConn -9.5 (-114) | Providence +9.5 (-106)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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UConn at Providence picks and predictions

Prediction

UConn 74, Providence 68

Moneyline

PASS.

UConn (-520) has just 1 loss to an unranked team, and there’s not much reason to think it’ll make that 2 on Saturday. However, at -520, avoid betting on the favored road team.

Against the spread

BET PROVIDENCE +9.5 (-106).

The Huskies are coming off a high-energy road win over Marquette in which they barely covered. They are 2-2 ATS in their last 4 road games as single-digit favorites.

The Friars have covered in 5 of their last 8 games and took down the No. 10 Creighton Bluejays at home Feb. 7 — so they can compete on their home court. Providence is 2-1 ATS in its last 3 home games when closing as an underdog or a single-digit favorite.

Back PROVIDENCE +9.5 (-106).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 139.5 (-110).

UConn has gone Over in 4 of its last 7 games and has tallied at least 74 points in 3 straight and at least 78 in 3 of its last 5. The Huskies have the nation’s 3rd-best offense, per KenPom.

Providence has gone Over in 2 of its last 5 but has scored at least 70 in 6 of its last 8 games. The Friars have 3 players averaging 15 or more points per game, so they have the firepower to help keep pace with UConn.

Back OVER 139.5 (-110).

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UConn at Providence odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s UConn at Providence odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 5 UConn Huskies (14-1, 3-1 Big East) and Providence Friars (12-3, 4-0) tangle in a Big East contest Wednesday. Opening tip at Amica Mutual Pavilion will be at 8:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UConn vs. Providence odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Connecticut is coming off its 1st loss of the season, an 83-73 setback at Xavier Saturday. The Musketeers outshot the Huskies by a wide margin for the game, but UConn did lead the contest for much of the 2nd half. The loss marked a 3rd straight in the against-the-spread (ATS) department: the Huskies had been 11-0-1 ATS until Dec. 20.

The Friars are 7-0 straight up and ATS since Dec. 3. All 7 covers have been by margins of 6 points or more. Providence is a strong rebounding team that frequently operates in the paint and gets to the free-throw line.

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UConn at Providence odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: UConn -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Providence +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UConn -5.5 (-105) | Providence +5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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UConn at Providence picks and predictions

Prediction

UConn 72, Providence 69

Moneyline

PASS.

Providence would be a lean if their odds were +200 or better, but that kind of price shift seems highly unlikely.

Against the spread

The Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. The Friars are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games against foes playing at least .600 ball on the road.

UConn’s top-20 rates in effective field-goal percentage on both sides of the ball are still somewhat ripe for fading. Look for Providence to leverage its size and looks in the paint. Three-pointers will key whether or not the Huskies can run this one past a couple of possessions. They went 13 of 37 from distance against a Xavier team that has struggled mightily against the 3, but PU’s perimeter defense has been above-average and trending in the right direction.

The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series.

BACK THE FRIARS +5.5 (-115)

Over/Under

A mid-paced game can be expected, and there’s no reason to quibble with a total in the low-140s.

PASS.

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