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The UCF Knights 3-1 and Florida Gators 2-2 meet at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the UCF vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Before their week off, the Gators had a 45-28 victory over Mississippi State. They built a strong 28-14 halftime lead, with quarterback Graham Mertz throwing for 201 yards and 3 touchdowns. RB Montrell Johnson contributed 68 rushing yards on 15 carries.
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UCF vs. Florida odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): UCF -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Florida +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): UCF -1.5 (-105) | Florida +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 61.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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UCF vs. Florida picks and predictions
Prediction
UCF 35, Florida 31
Moneyline
PASS.
I’ve got UCF (-120) going on the road in the SEC and claiming victory, but I’m not interested in paying that juice. I’ll take my bet to the spread.
Against the spread
BET UCF -1.5 (-105).
Betting on UCF -1.5 against Florida presents an enticing opportunity, as the Knights appear to have a distinct advantage in the trenches. UCF’s dynamic rushing attack could prove too much for the Gators’ struggling run defense, which has faced significant challenges this season. With a powerful offensive line and talented running backs, the Knights have the ability to dominate the ground game and control the clock.
While Florida may find avenues for success through the air, especially with their skilled receivers, UCF’s ability to dictate the pace of the game on the ground is likely to be the deciding factor. Additionally, UCF’s recent performances suggest they are hitting their stride, making them a tough opponent for the Gators. As UCF aims to secure their 2nd consecutive win over Florida, expect them to not only take the victory but also comfortably cover the 1.5-point spread in this matchup.
Over/Under
BET OVER 61.5 (-110).
Betting the Over 61.5 points between UCF and Florida presents an enticing opportunity. The Gators have consistently shown their offensive prowess, hitting the Over 8 of their last 10 games dating back to last season. Meanwhile, UCF has found success as well, surpassing the total points line in 4 straight.
The Knights are particularly effective on the road, with 9 of their last 13 away games going Over. Florida’s track record is just as impressive, with 10 of their last 12 games finishing above the total. Given both teams’ explosive offenses, this matchup promises to deliver plenty of scoring chances, making the Over 61.5 a compelling wager.
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