Tag: Twins Yankees odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (44-19) welcome the Minnesota Twins (33-28) to Yankee Stadium Thursday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 5-0

The Yankees have won and covered every game in the series — and in every game in the season series. They beat the Twins 5-1 Tuesday and then 9-5 Wednesday.

New York is 20-8 at home this season and has won 7 in a row. It has scored at least 5 runs in 6 straight games. The Yankees sit atop the AL East and are 37-25 against the spread (ATS).

The Twins are 17-15 on the road and have struggled as of late, losing 3 of their last 4. They are still 5-4 over their last 9 and sit in 3rd place in the AL Central. Minnesota is 27-34 ATS.

Twins at Yankees projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Lopez (5-5, 4.84 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 67 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 6-1 road win over the Houston Astros Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-2, 5.03 ERA (34 IP, 19 ER), 30 H, 8 HR, 6 BB, 40 K in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 2.95 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 in 3 starts

Stroman (5-2, 2.73 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 69 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 6-2 road win over the San Francisco Giants Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-2, 3.38 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 29 H, 6 HR, 14 BB, 36 K in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Twins: 2-4, 4.95 ERA (40 IP, 22 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 7 starts

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Twins at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:52 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Yankees -154 (bet $154 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-162) | Yankees -1.5 (+134)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Twins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Twins 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Yankees are just too steep here to suggest taking them outright on the moneyline. They have dominated the Twins this season and this series and have performed well at home, so take the home side on the run line for the better value.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+134).

The Yankees are on fire right on and have been rewarding bettors at a high rate. They have won their last 2 games against the Twins a combined 14-6 and have covered in both. They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games, losing 2 and winning just 1 by 1.

New York has covered in 3 of Stroman’s last 4 starts as well, including a 4-0 win at Minnesota on May 15. The Yankees are 15-13 ATS as a home favorite while Minnesota is just 16-16 ATS, which ranks in the bottom half of the league, as a road underdog.

Take New York to cover and back YANKEES -1.5 (+134).

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

New York has been dominant because its offense has been red hot. The Yankees have gone north of the total in 5 of their last 6 games, scoring at least 5 in all 6 and allowing at least 3 in 4 of the 6 games.

The Twins have gone Over in just 2 of their last 6, but they have scored at least 4 in 4 of those. Both offenses have consistently produced as of late. Back OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (43-19) face the Minnesota Twins (33-27) Wednesday in the 2nd game of their 3-game series at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 4-0

New York defeated Minnesota 5-1 Tuesday, closing as a -173 favorite.  CF Aaron Judge led the team with 2 hits and 2 RBIs.

The Yankees are surging, having won 6 in a row. They have won 10 of their last 12 as well. New York sits atop the AL East and has covered the spread in 5 straight games. It is 36-25 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Twins have traded off winning and losing over their last 4 games, beating the Astros in 2 of 3 prior to facing New York. Minnesota is 9-4 over its last 13 and sits 3rd in the AL Central. It is 27-33 ATS on the season.

Twins at Yankees projected starters

RHP Chris Paddack vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Paddack (4-2, 4.57 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 61 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 7-6 home win over the Kansas City Royals on May 30
  • 2024 road splits: 1-1, 6.85 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 29 H, 5 HR, 4 BB, 12 K in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 8.10 ERA (10 IP, 9 ER), 2.10 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 2 starts

Rodon (7-2, 3.09 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 67 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 8-3 road loss to the Los Angeles Angels on May 30
  • 2024 home splits: 3-0, 2.13 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 17 H, 2 HR, 6 BB, 23 K in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Twins: 7-3, 4.35 ERA (70 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 13 appearances (12 starts)

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Twins at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-128) | Yankees -1.5 (+106)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Twins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Twins 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no value in betting on the Yankees, and they have a significant pitching advantage. At -190, they aren’t worth a play, and they’re also too hot to bet against.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+106).

The Yankees have covered in 5 straight games, winning by 4, 2, 4, 4, and 5 in those. They are 36-25 ATS on the season and 14-13 ATS at home. They are the 6th-best team in the MLB at covering as a home favorite.

Also, Minnesota is 8-8 ATS as a road underdog, which is the 6th-worst covering rate.

Given the advantage on the mound with Rodon, who has helped the Yankees cover in his last 5 starts, expect New York to win by multiple runs and take YANKEES -1.5 (+106).

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

The Yankees have gone north of the total in 4 of their last 5 games, and their offense has been red hot. They have scored 6 or more in 4 of those games.

Minnesota, while it has gone Under in 4 straight, has tallied at least 4 runs in 3 of its last 5 games. Both offenses have been playing at a high level. Expect that to continue and take OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (33-26) and New York Yankees (42-19) open up a 3-game series at Yankee Stadium Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB.TV Free Game of the Day). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 3-0

After sustaining a 7-game losing streak that began with a sweep at home against the Yankees May 14-16, Minnesota has reeled off 9 wins in their last 12 games. Minnesota cashed as a (+135) favorite with a 4-3 victory at the Houston Astros this past Sunday. Twins 3B Jose Miranda delivered a game-tying solo shot in the 6th inning and the eventual game-winning RBI double in the 8th, driving in OF Manuel Margot.

The Yankees have won 5 straight and most recently swept the San Francisco Giants in 3 games at Oracle Park over the weekend. RF Juan Soto homered twice and drove in 3 runs in Sunday’s 7-5 win as the Yanks cashed as (-130) favorites. Entering Tuesday, both the Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies are 42-19, good for the best records in MLB.

Twins at Yankees projected starters

RHP Bailey Ober vs. RHP Luis Gil

Ober (5-3, 4.89 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 57 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 6-1 home setback vs. Kansas City Royals Wednesday
  • Out of 113 pitchers with at least 50 IP, only Astros RHP Justin Verlander has a higher fly-ball percentage (58.1%) than Ober (52.5%)

Gil (7-1, 1.99 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 63 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 8 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 2-1 victory at Los Angeles Angels Wednesday
  • Generates highest infield fly-ball percentage (20.3%) in AL among qualified pitchers

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Twins at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Yankees -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-134) | Yankees -1.5 (+112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Twins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Twins 2

Moneyline

Consider adding Yankees (-178) to a moneyline parlay.

By all means, lay the juice if you are comfortable. I would rather take a shot getting +151 in a 2-leg parlay with the Yankees (-178) and Seattle Mariners (-164 at Oakland A’s, 9:40 p.m. ET).

Run line

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+112).

Gil, who was elevated from Triple-A because RHP Gerrit Cole suffered an elbow injury in March, is the favorite to win the AL Rookie of the Year award (+125 at FanDuel Sportsbook). The 26-year-old leads the majors in OBA (.134), and his Stuff+ rating on his fastball is 4th-highest among qualified pitchers.

Only 7 other teams have a lower OBP vs. RHP than Minnesota, and once Gil’s outing is complete, he’ll turn it over to a New York pen that sports the 2nd-lowest ERA (2.87) in the league. Expect a 5th straight victory by multiple runs for the Yankees over the Twins.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

The Twins pen is not too shabby either, as they sport the 4th-lowest ERA in the AL. It won’t be too hot of a night in the Bronx and winds will be blowing slightly in from right, so I can’t imagine lefty bats like RF Max Kepler or LF Alex Kiriloff will be overly dangerous at the plate.

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Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (10-5) and New York Yankees (9-6) close out their 4-game series Sunday. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1.

After Minnesota drubbed the Yanks 11-2 in Thursday’s series opener and scored a 4-3 come-from-behind win Friday, the Yankees fought back and  shut down the Twins’ offense in a 6-1 victory on Saturday.

The Yankees went 5-2 against the Twins last season and 6-1 against them in 2021. Despite allowing 11 earned runs in Thursday’s game, New York pitching has logged a 3.42 ERA over its last 8 games.

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Twins at Yankees projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Lopez (1-0, 1.35 ERA) is making his 4th start of the season. He has a 0.65 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 20 IP.

  • Has gone at least 7 innings in his last 2 starts; threw 98 pitches Tuesday vs. the Chicago White Sox
  • Has benefited from a .184 batting average on balls in play

Cole (3-0, 1.40 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 19 1/3 IP.

  • Current Minnesota batters have banged out an aggregate .827 OPS against him
  • Has a 3.01 ERA, 1.00 WHIP in his last 194 2/3 IP at Yankee Stadium

Twins at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Twins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Twins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

New York has had Minnesota’s number in past years, but there is some gray area in Sunday’s pitching matchup. No interest in the sides on this game, just the Over. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

Respecting these tags. On a Twins get-away day heading into an off day Monday and with an Over lean, the Yankees getting +145 for a multi-run lead would be enticing. But don’t expect that kind of sway in the numbers before 1st pitch.

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Over/Under

Both starting pitchers tote favorable BABIPs into this game. Cole only got 6 swinging strikes in his last start, and although he’s a workhorse could succumb to the effects of 95-plus pitches in each start so far. He also has struggled against current Twins bats.

Lopez makes this start on 4 days’ rest. Over his career that has not been anywhere near his best interval. The hurler who has yielded a mere 3.84 ERA on a .696 OPS in his career, has on 4-day rest coughed up a 4.59 ERA on a .744 OPS.

Fading the pitching and respecting the Yankee offense especially, BACK THE OVER 7 (-120).

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Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (10-4) and New York Yankees (8-6) meet Saturday to continue their 4-game series. The first pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-0.

Minnesota clubbed the Yanks 11-2 in Thursday’s series opener. Minnesota had 5 doubles and 4 HRs in that game. Then the Twins got a big, 8th-inning 2-run double by SS Carlos Correa to vault them past New York 4-3 Friday.

The Yankees went 5-2 against the Twins last season and 6-1 against them in 2021. New York, a dominant 57-24 team at home last season, is 1-3 with a .624 OPS over its last 4 games at Yankee Stadium.

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Twins at Yankees projected starters

RHP Tyler Mahle vs. RHP Domingo German

Mahle (1-1, 4.09 ERA) is making his 3rd start of the 2023 season. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 11 IP.

  • Logged a 4.40 ERA in 120 2/3 IP last season (pitched for the Cincinnati Reds and Twins)
  • Has at least 6 K’s in both starts thus far

German (0-1, 5.87 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 5.9 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 7 2/3 IP.

  • Did not issue a walk in his 1st start but threw only 49 of his 87 pitches for strikes and walked 5 in start No. 2
  • Owns a 4.40 ERA, 1.21 WHIP over 421 1/3 career IP

Twins at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Twins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Yankees -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-185) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Twins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

New York has really had Minnesota’s number in past years, but the Twins have a golden opportunity to take this series. And to do so Saturday.

Mahle is the better starting hurler; he has been hurt by a .429 batting average on balls in play so far. He does much better than German in limiting hard, barreled contact. German’s form thus far has been lackluster. His problems with home runs have hurt him more at home than on the road in recent seasons.

The Minnesota lineup is a bit banged up, but so is New York’s bullpen, which is missing key pieces in Jonathan Loaisiga and Lou Trevino. closer Clay Holmes and top lefty Wandy Peralta have each pitched 2 of the last 3 days.

TWINS (+110) is a Saturday play with some value attached.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

The juice here makes for a lofty price on the value team.

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Over/Under

The Over is 17-5-1 in the last 23 meetings between these clubs in New York.

The high side of the total was the play the last 2 days at Yankee Stadium. But the wind shifts in Saturday’s forecast. A cooler day with a decent chance of rain and a breeze in the batter’s face is in the forecast.

The Minnesota offense is in fade territory. Mahle figures as an Under agent as well.

PASS. An Under 8.5 priced at -105 would be perhaps worth some partial-unit action.

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Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (9-4) and New York Yankees (8-5) meet Friday to continue their 4-game series. The first pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 1-0.

Minnesota went into this set off back-to-back wins in pitchers’ duels. Then the Twins clobbered the Yanks 11-2 in Thursday’s lid-lifter. Minnesota had 5 doubles and 4 HRs in the opener.

The Yankees went 5-2 against the Twins last season and 6-1 against them in 2021. But they were out of Thursday’s game from the outset. RHP Jhony Brito was lit up in a 9-run 1st inning. New York did well to avoid any key bullpen arms in playing out its worst defeat (margin) since Sept. 2.

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Twins at Yankees projected starters

RHP Louie Varland vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Varland is making his 1st start of the season. The 25-year-old clocked a 3.81 ERA, 1.23 WHIP in 26 IP over 5 starts last season.

  • Has pitched 5 IP at Triple-A this season; in his career he has pitched just 52 1/3 IP above Double-A.
  • Struggled in spring training, allowing 5 runs (2 HR) in 4 IP

Cortes (2-0, 2.61 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 10 1/3 IP.

  • Has a 2.14 ERA, 0.91 WHIP at home the last 3 years (2021-23)
  • Current Minnesota batters own an aggregate .797 OPS against him

Twins at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Twins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-125) | Yankees -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Twins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

New York has really had Minnesota’s number in past years, but peg the true odds here as trapped between these prices. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

STEER CLEAR.

Again, the at-home Yanks (57-24 at Yankee Stadium last season) are a lean. The Twins figure to be a bit too far over their skis so far based on run-scoring and defense-support analytics. New York -1.5 would have some value at +115 or better.

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Over/Under

The Over is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings between these clubs in New York.

Varland introduces plenty of gray area here but has no reason to come in with loads of confidence. Cortes has allowed a mere .241 batting average on balls in play the last 2 seasons (2022-23). Both bullpens have excellent early-season numbers so far — both have also been BABIP-aided in those efforts.

The Over was the play Thursday and is in Friday’s game as well. On an 80-degree night with a breeze blowing out to left, even if Cortes continues to confound with his hard-contact-stifling stuff, the Yankees could well Bronx Bomber their way nearly to this total.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-115).

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Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (8-4) visit the New York Yankees (8-4) Thursday for the opener of a 4-game series. The first pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. The Yankees went 5-2 against the Twins last season and 6-1 against them in 2021.

Minnesota is coming off back-to-back wins in pitchers’ duels. The Twins have played 8 games since April 4, and 7 of them have totaled 7 runs or fewer.

New York won Tuesday and Wednesday to take a 2-1 series win at the Cleveland Guardians. Yankees pitchers own a 2.72 ERA overall (3rd in MLB), and the club is 4-1 across its last 5 games.

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Twins at Yankees projected starters

RHP Joe Ryan vs. RHP Jhony Brito

Ryan (2-0, 3.75 ERA) is making his 3rd start. He has a 0.75 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 12 IP.

  • Owns a 3.64 ERA across 34 career games
  • Logged a 4.22 ERA and 1.22 WHIP on the road last season

Brito (2-0, 0.90 ERA) is making his 3rd start. He owns a 0.80 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 10 IP.

  • Pitched 5 scoreless innings in his MLB debut against the San Francisco Giants on April 2
  • Registered a 2.08 ERA in 13 spring training innings

Twins at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Twins +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Twins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Twins 4

Moneyline

New York has really had Minnesota’s number in past years, and the Twins come into this series a bit banged up. The Yankees are a lean but only up to -145 tops. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

STEER CLEAR. 

Again, the at-home Yanks (57-24 at Yankee Stadium last season) are a lean. The Twins figure to be a bit too far over their skis so far based on run-scoring and defense-support analytics. New York -1.5 (+140) would have some value.

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Over/Under

The Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings between these clubs in New York.

Brito has been barreled up at a hefty 11.5% rate so far and Ryan yields a lot of fly-ball contact. Both have been fortunate to pitch with low batting averages on balls in play so far.

Fading both starters and both bullpens (both top-5 in ERA so far) on a warm evening with a forecast of an outward breeze. BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (68-67) and New York Yankees (83-54) meet Thursday night at Yankee Stadium in the finale of the 4-game set. First pitch  is at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 5-1 and the Yankee are 11-2 against the Twins over the last 2 seasons

The Twins are 1-5 on a road trip that opened with 3 games against the Chicago White Sox. Minnesota is just 6-12 since Aug. 20. The Twins have a .572 OPS across 9 road games in that stretch.

The Yankees have averaged just 3.11 runs per game on a .593 OPS since Aug. 9. But New York bats did produce 15 hits — including 3 home runs — in a Wednesday doubleheader against Minnesota. The Yanks have scored 5-plus runs in 3 straight games, something they had not done since July 31-Aug. 2.

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Twins at Yankees projected starters

RHP Sonny Gray vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Gray (7-4, 3.10 ERA) makes his 22nd start of the season. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 104 2/3 IP.

  • Has benefited from a low 8.6% of fly balls resulting in HR
  • Owns a 4.44 ERA in his last 4 road starts

Cortes (9-4, 2.68 ERA) has logged a 0.96 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 131 IP in 23 starts.

  • Touched up for 4 R in 4 1/3 IP in a June 8 start at Minnesota
  • Returning from the 15-day IL (groin) for this start; has not pitched for the Yankees since Aug. 21
  • Owns a 3.22 ERA in 142 1/3 career IP at Yankee Stadium

Twins at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:34 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-190) | Yankees -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Twins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Twins 3

Money line

Minnesota owns a .731 against right-handers but just a .709 mark against port-siders.

New York has certainly been shaky offensively, but the Yanks have had perhaps more than their share of woes with runners in scoring position. And that’s not a repeatable skill on which to bank.

TAKE NEW YORK (-145). The Cortes return from injury brings some caution into play. Make this a partial-unit play unless the price gets to -135.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. A lot of juice drowning out potential value here.

Over/Under

Both bullpens have been heavily used this series. And ammunition is running low. Add in some fade lean on both starters (expected-ERA figures drifting higher than surface numbers)

BACK THE OVER 6.5 (-135). 

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Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees Game 2 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (68-65) and New York Yankees (81-54) will tangle twice Wednesday at Yankee Stadium. Game 1 in this traditional doubleheader will begin at 3:05 p.m. ET. This game — the nightcap — will commence approximately 30-45 minutes after the conclusion of Game 1. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Yankees Game 2 odds with MLB picks and predictions.

(Stats and records don’t include the first game of Wednesday’s doubleheader)

Season series: New York leads 3-1

The Twins are 1-3 on a road trip that opened with 3 games against the Chicago White Sox. Minnesota is just 6-10 since Aug. 20.

The Yankees won Monday’s series opener 5-2 and are 9-2 against the Twins the last 2 seasons. New York has had trouble on the mound and at the plate in seeing its once-15.5-game lead in the Al East dwindle down to 4 1/2 games. Lately, the troubles have been at the plate. The Yanks have averaged 2.88 runs per game on a .582 OPS since Aug. 9.

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Twins at Yankees projected starters

RHP Joe Ryan vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Ryan (10-7, 3.88 ERA) is tabbed for his 23rd start of the season. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 118 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 5 runs in his last start and owns a 6.03 ERA across his last 7 turns
  • Could be facing some inning restrictions over the final month as he is already 25 innings past the 92 2/3 IP he threw at combined levels a year ago

Cole (10-7, 3.28 ERA) has logged a 1.01 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 through 164 2/3 IP over 27 starts.

  • Rocked in a start at Minnesota June 9 with 7 ER allowed in 2 1/3 IP
  • Has registered a 2.94 ERA and 0.99 WHIP at Yankee Stadium since 2020

Twins at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Yankees -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-135) | Yankees -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Twins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Twins 3

Money line

Some team batting and pitching factors swing both ways here. Cole has some better upside baked into his surface-versus-expected numbers, but he’s also likely to bring some indiscriminate public dollars toward the Yankees.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Ryan has been helped along by a .263 batting average on balls in play and some similar fortune in clutch situations.

PEG THE YANKEES -1.5 (+110) AS A SMALL-TO-MODERATE VALUE.

Over/Under

Fading Ryan and the Yankee bullpen makes for an Over lean. However, a cooled-off evening with an inward breeze is in the weather forecast and New York has often had some sleepwalk issues after off days.

PEG THE OVER 6.5 (-115) AS A SMALL-TO-MODERATE VALUE.

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Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees, ppd.

Tuesday’s Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees game was postponed due to rain and rescheduled as part of a doubleheader Wednesday.

Update 6:23 p.m. ET: Tuesday’s game between the Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees was rained out and rescheduled as part of a doubleheader Wednesday starting at 3:05 p.m. ET.

Original column below (published 7:49 a.m. ET)

The Minnesota Twins (68-65) and New York Yankees (81-54) clash Tuesday in the second game of a 4-game series at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 3-1

The Twins are 1-3 on a road trip that opened with 3 games against the Chicago White Sox. Minnesota is just 6-10 since Aug. 20.

The Yankees won Monday’s series opener 5-2 and are 9-2 against the Twins the last 2 seasons. New York has had trouble on the mound and at the plate in seeing its once-15.5-game lead in the Al East dwindle down to 5 games. Lately, the troubles have been at the plate. The Yanks have averaged 2.88 runs per game on a .582 OPS since Aug. 9.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Twins at Yankees projected starters

RHP Joe Ryan vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Ryan (10-7, 3.88 ERA) is tabbed for his 23rd start of the season. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 118 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 5 runs in his last start and owns a 6.03 ERA across his last 7 turns
  • Could be facing some inning restrictions over the final month as he is already 25 innings past the 92 2/3 IP he threw at combined levels a year ago

Cole (10-7, 3.28 ERA) has logged a 1.01 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 through 164 2/3 IP over 27 starts.

  • Rocked in a start at Minnesota June 9 with 7 ER allowed in 2 1/3 IP
  • Has registered a 2.94 ERA and 0.99 WHIP at Yankee Stadium since 2020

Twins at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Yankees -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Twins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Twins 3

Money line

Some team batting and pitching factors swing both ways here. Cole has some better upside baked into his surface-versus-expected numbers, but he’s also likely to bring some indiscriminate public dollars toward the Yankees.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Ryan has been helped along by a .263 batting average on balls in play and some similar fortune in clutch situations.

PEG THE YANKEES -1.5 (+115) AS A SMALL-TO-MODERATE VALUE.

Over/Under

Fading Ryan and the Yankee bullpen makes for an Over lean. However, it would be wise to wait out better pricing or PASS.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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