Tag: Twins Diamondbacks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (44-36) and Arizona Diamondbacks (39-41) close out their 3-game series on Thursday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 3:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s  lines around the Twins vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

After losing the opener 5-4 on Tuesday, the Twins won 8-3 on Wednesday,  jumping out to an 6-0 lead. The Over (9) cashed as Minnesota has won 3 of its last 4 games.

The Diamondbacks only managed 4 hits in the loss on Wednesday, their 3rd setback in the last 4 games.

Twins at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP David Festa vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery

Festa is making his MLB debut, getting the call up from AAA St. Paul. In 14 starts in AAA, he was 3-2 with a 3.77 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 13.1 K/9 in 59 2/3 IP.

  • Drafted by Twins in the 13th round in 2021 out of Seton Hall
  • Averaged 11.1 K/9 in 4 minor league seasons

Montgomery (6-4, 5.71 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 63 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 5-4 road win over Philadelphia Phillies on Friday
  • Is  0-1 with 7.01 ERA in 5 career starts vs. Minnesota
  • Is 3-0 with 2.70 ERA  over last 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $105) | Diamondbacks -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+155) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Twins at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Twins 5

Moneyline

The Twins have won 9 of their last 13 games, but will turn to a rookie making his 1st MLB start in the rubber game of the series. They are 21-20 on the road.

Arizona is 20-19 at home and 11-5 in the last 16 games at Chase Field.

Montgomery has won 3 straight starts and Arizona has scored 5 or more in each of those starts. The Diamondbacks are 12-0 in their last 12 games scoring 5 or more runs.

The Twins have allowed 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

Expecting an Arizona win, but betting them to cover the spread at -190 is not worth the wager. You gets better value with the moneyline.

Over/Under

Both games of the series so far hit the Over. Four of the Diamondbacks’ last 5 games have had at least 9 total runs while 7 of the Twins’ last 9 games have have at least 9 total runs.

BET OVER 9 (-105).

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Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (43-36) and Arizona Diamondbacks (39-40) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Chase Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 1-0

The Twins lost 5-4 as -131 favorites in the series opener Tuesday as the Over (7.5) hit. Minnesota has lost 4 of its last 6 games, but is still 10-5 over its last 15.

Diamondbacks 2B Ketel Marte had 3 RBIs, including an infield hit which drove in the go-ahead run in the 7th inning. The win snapped a 2-game skid for Arizona, which cashed as a +121 underdog.

Twins at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Simeon Woods Richardson vs. RHP Ryne Nelson

Woods Richardson (2-1, 3.26 ERA) makes his 13th start. The rookie has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 60 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-6 home loss in 10 innings vs. Tampa Bay Rays Thursday
  • 2024 road stats: 1-1, 3.12 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 6.2 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Never faced Diamondbacks before

Nelson (5-5, 5.18 ERA) makes his 13th start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 64 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 5-2 victory at Washington Nationals Thursday
  • 2024 home stats: 3-2, 5.74 ERA (31 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Twins: 0-1, 18.00 ERA (3 IP, 6 ER), 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 12-1 road loss Aug. 5, 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+135) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Twins at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

The TWINS (-120) should bounce back after Tuesday’s loss, especially since Woods Richardson will be taking the mound. The 23-year-old has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 9 of his 12 starts this season. Nelson, on the other hand, has been inconsistent for the Diamondbacks this year and given up 4 or more ER in 4 of his last 8 starts.

BET TWINS (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

Arizona +1.5 (-165) will likely hit, but it’s hard to be profitable long term betting MLB if you’re trying to beat the vig in 30-cent markets.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Over is 6-2 in the Twins’ last 8 contests, and they’re averaging 5.63 runs per game over that stretch. Nelson struggled against Minnesota last season and has allowed 4 or more ER in 3 of his 6 home starts this year. However, 9 is a key number in MLB totals, so I wouldn’t bet this unless it drops to 8.5 or lower.

LEAN OVER 9 (-115).

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Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (43-35) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (38-40) on Tuesday. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Twins won all 3 games in 2023

Minnesota has won back-to-back games after taking down the Oakland A’s 3-0 as a -174 road favorite on Sunday. CF Byron Buxton had a HR and 2 RBIs while RHP Pablo Lopez (8 IP, 0 ER, 2 H) earned the win.

Arizona has lost back-to-back games after falling 4-1 against the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday as a +200 road underdog. 2B Ketel Marte had the D-backs’ only RBI whilee RHP Slade Cecconi (1 ER in 3 IP) took the loss.

Twins at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Joe Ryan vs. RHP Brandon Pfaadt

Ryan (5-5, 3.13 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.47 BB/9 and 9.29 K/9 in 92 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 3-2 loss against Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday.
  • Has never faced the Diamondbacks

Pfaadt (3-6, 4.37 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.18 BB/9 and 8.34 K/9 in 90 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 innings, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 0 K in 3-1 loss at Washington Nationals Wednesday.
  • First time facing the Twins

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+135) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Twins at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-125).

Minnesota has won back-to-back games and 7 of its last 10 games. It has scored 5 or more runs in 8 of its last 10 while allowing 2 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 10 games, including 2 or fewer runs in back-to-back road games.

Arizona has lost back-to-back games and 3 of its last 5. It has scored 1 run or fewer in 3 of its last 4 games and allowed 4 runs or more in each of its last 3.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline has better value in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-105).

The Twins have hit the Over in 6 of their last 10 games and have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 10. They have allowed 6 or more runs in 4 of their last 7. The Diamondbacks have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 while allowing 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8.

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Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (37-29) take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (31-35) for the second of their 3-game series Saturday. First pitch is 10:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Diamondbacks lead the season series 1-0.

The Twins fell 7-2 in the series opener Friday and are 2-2 on their current road trip. They are 7-6 in their last 13 games.

The Diamondbacks picked up their second straight win Friday. They are 5-4 in their last 9 games.

Twins at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Dylan Bundy vs. RHP Luke Weaver

Bundy (3-3, 5.87 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 46 IP.

  • The Twins have dropped 7 straight games when he is on the mound after he won his first 3 games of the season.
  • Has a 9.49 ERA over 12 1/3 innings across his last 3 starts.

Weaver (1-0, 4.91 ERA) makes his 1st start of the season after appearing twice out of the bullpen. He has a 2.18 WHIP, 2 BB and 4 K through 3 2/3 IP.

  • He missed 2 months with elbow inflammation which was the third time he has landed on the injured list with arm issues in the last four seasons.
  • Picked up the win in relief with 1 run allowed o 3 hits and 2 walks with 4 strikeouts in 3 innings in his lone appearance since being activated Sunday at the Philadelphia Phillies.

Twins at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:02 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+135) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Twins at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Twins 5

Money line

The last 7 starts for Bundy have been losses for the Twins. He has allowed 4 earned runs or more in 5 of his last 7 appearances.

The Diamondbacks are now 15-17 at home. They have won 2 games in a row but have not had a 3-game win streak since taking 3 in a row from the Chicago Cubs May 19-21.

Weaver will be a boost before turning the game over to the bullpen.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-105).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Twins, despite their winning record overall this season, are only 30-36 ATS overall and 15-17 ATS on the road.

The Diamondbacks are 4th in the majors with a 38-28 ATS record overall. They are 13-9 ATS as home underdogs.

If you like the Diamondbacks to win the game, the better value is the money line, but the spread gives you some leeway. Take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-170).

Over/Under

Bundy’s last 3 starts and 6 of his 10 starts overall have all had 10 or more runs.

The Diamondbacks have scored 7 runs in consecutive games and have scored 5 or more in 7 of their last 10 games.

While Weaver was sharp in his last outing, he will not go deep into the game. Arizona’s bullpen ERA is 4.37, 23rd in the league.

Take OVER 9.5 (-102).

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