AAC Championship Game: Tulane at Army odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tulane at Army odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tulane Green Wave (9-3, 7-1 AAC) and No. 23 Army Black Knights (10-1, 8-0) meet Friday for the AAC Championship Game. Kickoff from Michie Stadium in West Point, New York, is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Tulane vs. Army odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Tulane suffered a 34-24 home loss as a 12.5-point favorite against Memphis on Thanksgiving as the Over (54) cashed. The setback snapped an 8-game win streak, but it didn’t cost the Green Wave a trip to the AAC title game, since they finished second in the conference. The non-cover halted a 4-0 against the spread (ATS) run for Tulane, which is 9-3 ATS overall.

Army, which didn’t face Tulane in the regular season, ran the table in the AAC to make it to the league championship in their first season in the conference. The Black Knights’ lone loss came in a 49-14 defeat as 14-point underdogs to then-No. 6, now-No. 4 Notre Dame at Yankee Stadium Nov. 23, but that was a non-conference tilt. Still, Army is just 1-4 ATS in the past 5 games, while the Under is on a 3-1 run.

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Tulane at Army odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tulane -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Army +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread: Tulane -4.5 (-115) | Army +4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Tulane at Army picks and predictions

Prediction

Army 23, Tulane 20

Moneyline

ARMY (+170) is a solid play at plus-money as the Black Knights have run the table in the AAC. They didn’t face the Green Wave in the regular season.

Tulane (-210) is not only coming off a loss to Memphis at home, but the Green Wave are also going up north to play in temperatures in the high 20’s with no precipitation and light wind — not the type of weather they are accustomed to. It should be a shock to the system for most of the Green Wave players experiencing their coldest temperatures of the season.

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Against the spread

Back Army +4.5 (-105) if you don’t want to play the +170 moneyline and prefer the insurance of the 4½ points.

Again, the cold temperatures will do Tulane no favors. The Green Wave rank 34th against the rush, allowing just 123.5 yards per game (per NCAA.com), so that is a concern with the Black Knights. But,the fact this game is at home, and it is being played in subfreezing temperatures benefits Army.

Over/Under

UNDER 45.5 (-110) is a low number, but we have 2 teams with very strong rushing games. Running the ball runs the clock, which Under bettors certainly appreciate.

Army ranks first in the country in offensive rushing yards per game (312.5 ypg), while Tulane is 12th (212.9 ypg).

The Under has cashed in the past 2 road games for Tulane, too, while the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 home outings for Army.

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