Tag: Trail Blazers Pelicans odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Portland Trail Blazers (19-47) take on the New Orleans Pelicans (40-26) Saturday with tip-off from Smoothie King Center set for 7 p.m. ET . Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Pelicans lead 1-0

The Blazers come to town after trading wins and losses the last 4 games. The most recent was a 105-93 loss to the New York Knicks Thursday. They pushed as 12-point dogs. C Deandre Ayton went off for 31 points and 14 boards. Portland is just 4-6 over its last 10 but are 6-3-1 ATS.

The Pelicans narrowly covered as 7-point favorites in a 112-104 W over the LA Clippers Friday. F Zion Williamson had 34 points and 7 boards as he has gone for 30+ in 2 straight. NOLA sits in 5th place in the West, just 2 games behind the Clippers for 4th.

Trail Blazers at Pelicans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:05 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Pelicans -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +13.5 (-115) | Pelicans -13.5 (-105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Trail Blazers at Pelicans key injuries

Trail Blazers

• G Malcolm Brogdon (elbow) out
• F Jerami Grant (hamstring) doubtful
• G Shaedon Sharpe (abdominal) out
• G Anfernee Simons (knee) probable
• G Matisse Thybulle (ankle) questionable
• F Jabari Walker (hip) questionable

Pelicans

• G Dyson Daniels (knee) out
• G Herbert Jones (hip) questionable
• F Larry Nance Jr. (illness) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Trail Blazers at Pelicans and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 110, Trail Blazers 100

Moneyline

There is no play on the ML here, but there is a solid prop to consider.

DEANDRE AYTON OVER 19.5 POINTS (-125) is ripe for the picking. He has gone for 20+ in 4 straight games, and he dropped 30 in 3 of them.

Against the spread

We mentioned in the opener that Portland is 6-3-1 ATS in its last 10. The Blazers kept it within 9 in the lone meeting against the Pels this season.

This is a big number for a New Orleans team on a back-to-back with Ayton in the kind of groove he’s in. TAKE TRAIL BLAZERS +13.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Pels are 1-9 O/U over the last 10, and Portland is 5-5. The Over has cashed just twice in the last 10 meetings between the teams. It’s a small number, but Portland doesn’t have the firepower to hold up its end.

BET UNDER 215.5 (-110).

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The Portland Trail Blazers (8-3) visit the Smoothie King Center Thursday to take on the New Orleans Pelicans (6-5). Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Trail Blazers are one of the more surprising teams to this point in the season. Led by G Damian Lillard, the Blazers are 6-2 in conference games and 5-1 on the road, the best record in the West.

Lillard is averaging 28.6 points per game this season and is shooting 48% from the field and 40.8% from deep. G Anfernee Simons is the other dangerous offensive player, averaging 22 per game.

The Pelicans, on the other hand, have played well but have also struggled heavily with injuries to both star F Brandon Ingram and F Zion Williamson. Both should be active against Portland.

New Orleans has 6 players that average double figures with G CJ McCollum, who spent the bulk of his career in Portland, leading the way with a 24.3 points-per-game average.

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Blazers at Pelicans odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:26 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blazers +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Pelicans -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Blazers +6.5 (-117) | Pelicans -6.5 (-103)
• Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Blazers at Pelicans key injuries

Blazers

• Not yet submitted

Pelicans

• Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Blazers at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 118, Blazers 114

Moneyline

PASS.

If there was a play, it would undoubtedly be Portland at +205, but I would pass on the moneyline here.

Against the spread

BET BLAZERS +6.5 (-117).

The Blazers are tied with the Bucks for the best-covering team in the NBA at 9-2 ATS, but they are the best on the road with a 5-1 ATS record.

The most beneficial thing for Portland is the presence of C Jusuf Nurkic, who will have to battle C Jonas Valančiūnas on the boards.

The Blazers rank 16th in defensive rebounding rate while the Pelicans often get 2nd-chance efforts, sitting 3rd in offensive rebounding rate. Nurkic should play a big part in Portland rebounding success.

Portland is also a better shooting team in terms of effective field goal percentage and have a better defensive rating. As road dogs, I would back the Blazers +6.5 (-117).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 224.5 (-112).

The Blazers have the 2nd-worst defensive rating in the NBA, and the Pelicans aren’t far behind, also in the bottom half of the league.

Offensive rebounding could be a problem for Portland as outlined as well. The pace will factor in, and while it may not be a hectic tempo, the Blazers sit 15th and Pelicans 21st in pace.

Given the offensive firepower in Simons and Lillard coupled with their pace and how the Pelicans rebound, I would back the Over 225.5 (-112).

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