Portland Trail Blazers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Portland Trail Blazers (9-19) are on the road Monday to face the Dallas Mavericks (18-10). Tip-off from American Airlines Center is at 8:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mavericks lead 1-0

The Blazers have only 1 win in their last 8 games. After snapping a 7-game losing streak on Thursday, they lost 114-94 on Saturday on the road to the San Antonio Spurs, failing to cover the 6.5-point spread. The Under (223.5) cashed.

The Mavs have won 8 of their last last 10 games, but are just 2-2 in their last 4. They are coming off a 113-97 home win over the LA Clippers, covering the 3.5-point spread as favorites. The Under (220) cashed.

Trail Blazers at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 12:44 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Mavericks -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +10.5 (-105) | Mavericks -10.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Trail Blazers at Mavericks key injuries

Trail Blazers

  • Dalano Banton (hip) questionable
  • Matisse Thybulle (ankle) out

Mavericks

  • Luka Doncic (heel) questionable
  • Dante Exum (wrist) out
  • Jaden Hardy (ankle) out
  • Brandon Williams (thumb) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Trail Blazers at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 122, Trail Blazers 110

Moneyline

The Blazers are only 3-12 on the road compared to Dallas’ 9-4 home mark. Also, the Mavs have beaten the Blazers in 5 straight meetings.

There is no reason to believe that the Blazers can win this game. So betting them on the moneyline is just a prayer, while betting the Mavs at -650 isn’t worth your time.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Mavs have covered the spread in all of their last 5 wins over the Blazers. They are 16-2 ATS in their 18 wins this season.

Portland has lost by more than 10 points 11 times this season, but only 3 times in their last 10 games. Four of the last 5 meetings with Dallas have been losses by 11 or more points.

BET MAVERICKS -10.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Eight of the last 9 meetings between the 2 teams have seen the Over hit. Three of the last 4 games for the Mavs have had the Under hit while the last 6 games for the Blazers have alternated between the Over and the Under, their most recent game finishing Under the projected total.

Five of Dallas’ last 8 wins hit the Over.

BET OVER 229.5 (-110).

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Portland Trail Blazers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (13-14) host the Portland Trail Blazers (15-10) Sunday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off at American Airlines Center. Below, we analyze the Trail Blazers-Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Portland is red-hot coming into Sunday’s contest as a winner of three in a row and five of its previous six games (5-1 against the spread). Two of those wins came against the current 1-seed of the Eastern Conference, Philadelphia 76ers, but the rest were to sub-.500 teams.

The Mavericks are also starting to come alive, winning four straight and five of their last six; however, they covered in only two of those games. Dallas’ offense has looked great over its last six games, ranking second in offensive rating, first in assist-to-turnover rate, and third in effective field-goal percentage.

These teams split last season’s series 2-2 (straight up and ATS). Both All-Star PGs were fantastic in those meetings: Trail Blazers PG Damian Lillard averaged 42.5 points per game on .533/.429/.902 and Mavericks PG Luka Doncic put up 29.0 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 8.8 assists last season.

Trail Blazers at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Trail Blazers +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Mavericks -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Trail Blazers +5.5 (-115) | Mavericks -5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Trail Blazers at Mavericks: Key injuries

Trail Blazers

  • SG Rodney Hood (foot) questionable
  • SG C.J. McCollum (foot) out
  • Jusuf Nurkic (wrist) out
  • PF Zach Collins (ankle) out

Mavericks

  • None affecting the betting lines.

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Trail Blazers at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Trail Blazers 124, Mavericks 118

Money line (ML)

The banged-up Trail Blazers need Lillard to play at an MVP-caliber and he is delivering. Dame is fourth in points per game (29.0) and ninth in assists per game (7.2), but most importantly, he does work against Dallas.

Lillard has scored 30 or more in seven of his last eight games against the Mavs, and he shot over 50% from the field in five straight. It’s unlikely this Dallas team will be able to keep Dame in check.

In fact, Dame Time takes into effect in the fourth quarter and the Mavs are a bad fourth-quarter team; Portland is fifth in clutch net rating while Dallas is 24th. If this game is within a couple of possessions late, I trust Dame to close it out. GIMME TRAIL BLAZERS (+170) for a quarter-unit.

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Against the spread (ATS)

BET TRAIL BLAZERS +5.5 (-115) heavier or instead of the money line. Portland is 4-2 ATS in road games vs. losing teams and Dallas 1-3 ATS in home games vs. winning teams.

Both are terrible defensively, however, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, Portland is 6-1 with a plus-5.3-point ATS margin and is third in net efficiency vs. bottom-10 teams in defensive efficiency. Dallas is 3-2 with the 19th-ranked net efficiency and a minus-4.7 ATS margin, which ranks 28th.

Over/Under (O/U)

The last five Trail Blazers-Mavericks games went Over the projected total and it’s hard to see this one not follow suit.

Either team is capable of scoring in the 130s to help push the game Over if the other team is shooting poorly and neither team can defend. I prefer sides more than totals so I only lean OVER 235.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit if at all.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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