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The Miami Heat (39-33) welcome the Portland Trail Blazers (19-54) to the Kaseya Center Friday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Trail Blazers vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Heat lead 1-0 after 106-96 win on Feb. 27, covering as a 7-point road favorite
The Heat are coming off a 113-92 home loss to the Golden State Warriors Tuesday, failing to cover as a 4.5-point underdog. They have lost 3 of their last 5 games and are 2-4 against the spread (ATS) over their last 6. Miami is 34-37-1 ATS on the season. It is led by F Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 21.4 points per game (PPG).
The Trail Blazers lost to the Atlanta Hawks 120-106 Wednesday, failing to cover as an 11.5-point road underdog. They have lost 8 in a row yet are 3-5-1 ATS in that span. Portland is 34-38-1 ATS on the season. The Blazers have lost 2 straight by 14 points or more.
Trail Blazers at Heat odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:29 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Heat -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +14 (-110) | Heat -14 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 210 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Trail Blazers at Heat key injuries
Trail Blazers
- C Deandre Ayton (elbow) questionable
- G Malcolm Brogan (elbow) out
- F Jerami Grant (hamstring) doubtful
- G Shaedon Sharpe (abdominal) out
- G Anfernee Simons (knee) out
Heat
- G Jimmy Butler (head) probable
- G Tyler Herro (foot) out
- F Jaime Jaquez Jr. (ankle) probable
- G Caleb Martin (ankle) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Trail Blazers at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 119, Trail Blazers 103
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no value here either way, especially as the Blazers are without several of their top options. Avoid a moneyline play.
Against the spread
BET HEAT -14 (-110).
The Trail Blazers will likely be missing their top 3 scoring options and could be without 4 of their top 5. If Ayton and Grant miss this one, they’ll be without their top 5 offensive weapons. That’s difficult to recover from against a Heat team contending for a playoff spot.
Portland is also just 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games as a double-digit underdog and 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 as an underdog of 10 or more. Since the beginning of February, the Heat are 14-10 ATS.
Miami has the scoring in G Terry Rozier (19.7 PPG) and Butler to pull away early and keep this one at a distance. Take HEAT -14 (-110).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 209 (-110).
The Blazers have gone Over in 6 of their last 7 games, scoring at least 106 in 3 of their last 4. Portland’s defense has also left a good bit to be desired, allowing at least 110 points in 7 straight games.
The Heat have allowed 3 of their last 4 opponents to score at least 104 points and have scored at least 108 in 5 of their last 7 games as a favorite. Considering those trends and this low total, back OVER 219 (-110).
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