The Texas Rangers (42-26) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (38-32) to Globe Life Field Friday for the opener of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Toronto won 4 of 6 games in 2022
The Rangers may sit atop the AL West, but they are just 2-6 over their last 8 games. Texas has been a powerhouse at home, posting a 22-12 record at Globe Life Field.
Toronto is 5-5 over its last 10 games and 19-19 on the road this season. The Rangers are coming off a 4-2 loss to the Orioles Thursday.
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Blue Jays at Rangers projected starters
RHP Kevin Gausman vs. LHP Martin Perez
Gausman (5-3, 3.12 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 in 86 2/3 innings.
- Has an MLB-leading 117 strikeouts and an MLB-leading 12.2 K/9
- Blue Jays have won his last 4 outings and are 8-6 in his 14 starts
Perez (6-2, 4.67 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 71 1/3 innings.
- Rangers are 9-4 in his starts
- Had his worst start of the season in last start vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 3 1/3 IP, 10 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 2 K
Blue Jays at Rangers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Rangers +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+110) | Rangers +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Blue Jays at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 6, Blue Jays 4
Moneyline
BET RANGERS (+120).
The Rangers have been strong at home this season and will need to get back on track. Texas is 5-3 as a home underdog this season, so this is a position it has performed well for bettors in.
The Rangers are also 16-9 following a loss while Toronto is just 16-15. The Blue Jays haven’t been overly impressive on the road either. Considering both trends, take RANGERS (+120).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Both pitchers are coming off their worst performances of the season. It is difficult to trust either, so I would pass on the run line both ways here.
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9 (+100).
Each pitcher has had multiple outings in which it has allowed at least 6 ER. At the same time, the Rangers have been hitting the Over at one of the highest rates in baseball. They are 38-25-5 O/U this season and 5-0-3 O/U in their last 8 games.
The Rangers are also 4-0-1 O/U in their last 5 games after a defeat. The Blue Jays are 3-2 O/U in their last 5 as well. The trends point to the OVER 9 (+100).
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