Tag: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Toronto Blue Jays (51-59) and New York Yankees (65-46) meet for the middle contest of a 3-game AL East series Saturday afternoon. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 6-5

Toronto clobbered Yankee starter RHP Marcus Stroman and then hung on to win 8-5 in Friday’s series opener. The Blue Jays have scored 8 or more runs in their last 3 wins against New York.

Friday’s loss snapped a 5-game win streak for the Yankees. New York has failed to capitalize in leveraging much of a home-field advantage this season. Friday’s loss marked the Yanks’ 3rd in a row in the Bronx, and New York is just 27-24 in Yankee Stadium.

Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Berrios (9-8, 3.93 ERA) is tabbed for his 23rd start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 130 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 7-3 home victory vs. Texas Rangers Sunday
• Career vs. Yankees (regular season): 4-7, 4.96 ERA (74 1/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 13 starts
• Had bounceback in his last start after clocking 7.78 ERA over his previous 4 efforts

Rodon (11-7, 4.34 ERA) is making his 23rd start. He owns a 1.22 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 120 1/3 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 8-2 win at Boston Red Sox Sunday
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 1-2, 5.01 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.49 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 in 6 starts
• Has been clobbered twice by Blue Jays this season (combined 9 IP, 11 runs allowed on 1.058 OPS)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Blue Jays +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Yankees -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-125) | Yankees -1.5 (+105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Blue Jays 5

Moneyline

The Jays entered this series 15 games under .500 (33-48) vs. teams playing .500-or-better baseball. Peg New York as a lean but a better actionable play on the run line.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Berrios has pitched through the good fortune of a .257 batting average on balls in play, and his season ERA figures to be artificially tamped down. Sans his last start, the Toronto right-hander had not been pitching well of late, and hard contact had been the primary culprit. Berrios has also pitched much better north of the border where he owns an ERA of 2.99 (his road ERA heading into Saturday is 2 runs higher).

Led by OF Aaron Judge‘s 1.290 OPS against the Blue Jays hurler, current Yankee bats own an aggregate .842 OPS against Berrios per ESPN.

Left-handers swing Toronto around to the lesser side of its platoon splits (.660 OPS vs. southpaws).

FanDuel Sportsbook offers more leverage here. BACK THE YANKEES -1.5 (+112).

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 9 of Toronto’s last 10 games and in 8 straight on the New York side. The last 7 Blue Jays-Yankees games in the Bronx have also hit the Over.

With 2 shaky bullpens and some warm, humid, breeze-blowing-out weather in the forecast, the OVER 9 (-115) is the value play.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (50-59) and New York Yankees (65-45) meet Friday as they swing into a 3-game AL East series in the Bronx. First pitch in the lid-lifter is 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 5-5

Toronto is continuing a road trip that opened with the Blue Jays losing 3 of 4 at the Baltimore Orioles Monday-Wednesday. The Jays have played well for the most part in the 2nd half, but they are just 8-13 across their last 21 games south of the border.

The Yankees have had their share of struggles over the middle months of the season, but they enter this series on a win streak. Scoring 9.2 runs per game along the way, New York has won 5 straight.

Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Gausman (9-8, 4.44 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 119 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Win, 9 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 7-3 win vs. Texas Rangers Saturday
• Career vs. Yankees: 10-9, 3.51 ERA (169 IP, 66 ER), 164 H, 53 BB, 169 K in 34 games (28 starts)
• Has been a solid late-season pitcher in his career; has held foes to a .696 OPS in August games

Stroman (7-5, 3.64 ERA) is tabbed for his 22nd start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 113 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 3.1 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 0 K in 11-8 win at Boston Red Sox Saturday
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 2.61 ERA (20.2 IP, 6 ER), 17 H, 8 BB, 12 K in 4 starts
• Has pitched less than 5 innings in 3 of his last 5 outings

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:46 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Blue Jays +144 (bet $100 to win $144) | Yankees -172 (bet $172 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+116)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

The expected-vs.-actual ERAs for both starters tilt this one into underdog territory. Gausman has been hurt by a .326 batting average on balls in play in inning-leadoff situations and a .314 BABIP with runners in scoring position. Figure his “true-skill” ERA being a number in the high 3s.

Stroman has benefited from a .180 BABIP with RISP. Peg his skill-based ERA being in the high 4s.

That differential creates value.

BACK THE BLUE JAYS (+144).

Run line/Against the spread

Better leverage can be found with the ML action. STEER CLEAR.

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 8 of Toronto’s last 9 games in in 7 straight on the New York side. The last 6 Blue Jays-Yankees games in the Bronx have also hit the Over.

New York’s actual-vs.-expected numbers on both offense and defense would make for a lean toward slightly higher scoring games.

Figure a slight lean on the OVER 9 (-105).

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The Toronto Blue Jays (4-5) and New York Yankees (7-2) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

After losing 3-0 in Friday’s opener, New York squeezed out the 9-8 win on Saturday as a -118 home favorite. The Yankees hit 3 HRs to the Blue Jays’ 1. The Yankees also left 7 runners on base compared to Toronto’s 11.

Toronto was down 9-2 heading into the 7th and scored 6 runs in the 7th and 9th innings to give the Yankees a scare.

Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Bowden Francis vs. RHP Luis Gil

Francis (0-1, 11.81 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 2.06 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 5 1/3 IP.

• 2023 road splits: 0-0, 2.19 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 8 H, 3 BB, 14 K through 8 relief appearances
• First career matchup with the Yankees

Gil (0-0, 1.93 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.86 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 4 2/3 IP.

• Career home splits: 1-1, 3.07 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 20 H, 19 BB, 38 K across 6 starts
• Career vs. Toronto: 0-0, 8.10 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 1 H, 7 BB, 6 K in 1 start

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Blue Jays at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:57 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (-150).

New York has won 4 of its last 6 matchups vs. Toronto overall and is 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in New York. New York has also gotten off to a better start than the Blue Jays, which makes me confident in this bet.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like Toronto to cover here as a +1.5 (-160) underdog, but the line here is just a bit too risky. This bet is made safer because of just how much Gil struggled against the Blue Jays in his only career start vs. Toronto, so if you’re willing to bet the juice, this line could be worth a small wager.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-105).

The Under has hit in 3 of Toronto’s last 4 overall. For New York, the Under is 6-2-1 on the season. The Under has also hit in 4 of the last 5 Toronto-New York matchups overall.

But be aware that with how Gil struggled in his only career matchup vs. New York and how Francis struggled in his 1st start this year, it is possible both team’s could get their big bats rolling.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (4-4) take on the New York Yankees (6-2) at Yankee Stadium Saturday night. First pitch in the Bronx is scheduled for 7:06 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 1-0.

Toronto defeated New York 3-0 on Friday afternoon, cashing as a (+136) road underdog. SS Ernie Clement came off the bench to hit the 1st home run of the season at Yankee Stadium in the 7th inning, which broke the scoreless tie.

The Yankees have now lost 2 of 3 after starting their season 5-0. CF Aaron Judge has just 5 hits in 30 ABs (.167 AVG) and DH Giancarlo Stanton has struck out 13 times in 24 ABs (.125 AVG).

Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt

Gausman (0-0, 2.08 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.46 WHIP, 0.00 BB/9 and 12.46 K/9 through 4.1 IP.

• Gausman was on a pitch count in his 1st start vs. TB after missing part of spring training with shoulder fatigue.
• The 33-year-old has made the most starts vs. the Yankees (25) compared to all other MLB teams. He is 10-7 with a 3.01 ERA in 158.1 IP.

Schmidt (0-0, 5.06 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 0.00 BB/9 and 8.44 K/9 through 5.1 IP.

• Schmidt sports a 3.97 career ERA in the Bronx compared to a 4.78 ERA on the road.
• The 28-year-old has never defeated Toronto in 5 career starts (0-3), and his 4 HRs surrendered vs. the Blue Jays are the highest amongst all MLB teams.

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Blue Jays at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL): Blue Jays -1.5 (+168) | Yankees +1.5 (-205)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (-120).

The Jays top sluggers, 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr., OF George Springer and SS Bo Bichette all entering Saturday with a sub-.175 batting average. While Judge and Stanton have struggled, RF Juan Soto has delivered early on in his career in Pinstripes. He recently saw his 39 game on-base streak snapped dating back to last season, and in a limited sample size the 25-year-old has a .625 OBP off Gausman. Soto will deliver his first hit (or hits) as a Yankee in the Bronx and help his team earn the win.

Run line

PASS.

With all that juice to lay I would not bet Yankees +1.5 by itself, but I certainly understand including in a parlay. If you believe the Rays bounce back against the Rockies, pairing Tampa Bay ML (-144) with the Yanks RL (-205) pays out roughly +152.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-114).

The Yankees still feature a top 5 bullpen ERA (.201), although they’ll need relievers like LHP Caleb Ferguson, RHP Nick Burdi (who threw 2 wild pitches Friday) and RHP Dennis Santana to step up in the wake of RHP Jonathan Loaisiga hitting the 60-day IL. Luckily, the Yanks pen will take on a lukewarm Jays lineup on a cold night in New York. Expect Gausman and Schmidt to both pitch effectively while runs will be at a premium.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (3-4) and New York Yankees (6-1) meet Friday afternoon to open a 3-game AL East series in the Bronx. Friday’s contest, New York’s home opener, is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; New York won last year’s series 7-6

The Blue Jays are continuing a season-opening, 3-city road trip. They are coming off scoring just 2 runs in losing 2 of 3 games at the Houston Astros.

The Yankees are back in the Bronx after a successful 6-1 road swing through Houston and Phoenix. New York was under-.500 (40-41) on the road last season when the club missed the postseason for the 1st time since 2016.

Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Kikuchi (0-1, 6.23 ERA) makes his 2nd start this season. He has a 2.08 WHIP, 6.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 4 1/3 IP.

• Owns a 4.72 ERA across 135 career games
• Last outing: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-1 loss at Tampa Bay Rays
• Career vs. Yankees: 4-3, 3.57 ERA (53 IP, 21 ER), 45 H, 22 BB, 49 K

Stroman (1-0, 0.00 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd start. He owns a 1.00 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 6 IP.

• Has a 3.64 ERA over 232 career starts
• Has held opposing batters to a tidy .637 OPS in his career March/April efforts
• Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 5-3 win at Houston Astros
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 2 BB, 1 K

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Blue Jays at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:39 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Blue Jays +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-155) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Blue Jays 5

Moneyline

New York is 3-1 over its last 4 games against Toronto.

Stroman figures as more likely to give some quality innings, but that’s more fade-Kikuchi than anything else. And the rested Yankee bullpen is also a green check in that column.

But at these prices, its tepid support for the home team. Consider holding out for a better price. Or perhaps BACK THE YANKEES -155 on a partial-unit play.

Run line/Against the spread

The Yankees are off to a hot start, but are likely getting too much support from bettors. Even with a likable Over (see below), this Yankees-minus-a-cushion offering gets a PASS.

Over/Under

Across 9 Kikuchi starts since August, the Over has gone 6-1-2.

Stroman is making his 1st home start with the Yankees, and he has a track record to dispel: In 11 career starts at Yankee Stadium, he has allowed an .839 OPS while posting a 6.06 ERA.

Peg Toronto’s offense as being a better-than-average one that has so far been hampered by a paltry .196 batting average on balls in play.

On a day the weather report tabs with a hefty outward blowing breeze, peg this game as being in the hands of the batters. BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-115).

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The Toronto Blue Jays (85-67) and New York Yankees (76-76) cap off a 3-game series Thursday. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 5-4

Toronto has won 5 straight games but that streak comes on the heels of a 4-game losing skid from Sept. 11-14. The Blue Jays have gone 6-2 in September road games with an .880 OPS.

The Yankees have lost 3 in a row. Two of those 3 games have been at Yankee Stadium, where the club is just 4-11 since Aug. 6. New York has lost 3 of its last 4 games against Toronto; all 3 losses have been by margins of 3 runs or more.

Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Berrios (11-10, 3.49 ERA) is tabbed for his 31st start of the season. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 178 IP.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 3-0 home win vs. Boston Red Sox Friday
• 2023 road stats: 5-3, 3.83 ERA in 94 IP across 16 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Yankees: 1-3, 5.28 ERA in 29 IP (2022-23)

Cole (13-4, 2.81 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has registered a 1.05 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 192 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 3 BB, 4 K in 7-5 win at Pittsburgh Pirates Friday
• 2023 home stats: 8-2, 3.01 ERA in 104 2/3 IP across 17 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Blue Jays: 1-1, 3.03 ERA in 29 2/3 IP (2022-23)

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Blue Jays at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Blue Jays +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-185) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

The Blue Jays have hit the moneyline in 30 of their last 46 road games (+9.20 units, 15% ROI).

However, Cole is the leveler here, and that’s what top-shelf pitching does in this game despite that these clubs are headed in different directions. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

More juice here and even less interest. PASS.

Over/Under

Yankees home games have cashed on the Over in 20 of the club’s last 33 games. (+7.75 units, 21% ROI).

There are some analytics vs. actual results that peg both starters as being vulnerable. Both have very friendly batting-average-on-balls-in-play rates with runners in scoring position. Berrios has run into more frequent hard contact in recent outings and owns a 5.52 ERA across 6 all-time starts at Yankee Stadium. Cole uncharacteristically walked 3 batters in his last start.

In a zag move against the public and with a nice price here, BACK THE OVER 7 (-115).

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The Toronto Blue Jays (84-67) and New York Yankees (76-75) meet Wednesday to continue a 3-game AL East series in the Bronx. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 4-4

Toronto has won 4 straight games, and that streak comes on the heels of a 4-game losing sked Sept. 11-14.  The Blue Jays are 8-4 with an .839 OPS over their last dozen games on the road.

New York had just 1 walk and 1 extra-base hit in Tuesday’s 6-1 loss. Over their last 12 games, the Yankees have logged a whiff-heavy .193/.297/.296 (.593 OPS).

Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Michael King

Gausman (11-9, 3.4 ERA) makes his 30th start of the season. He has a 1.2 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 172 innings

• Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 6 BB, 5 K in 9-2 home loss vs. Texas Rangers Thursday
• 2023 road stats: 6-5, 3.52 ERA in 79 1/3 IP across 14 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Yankees: 2-1, 1.64 ERA in 33 IP (2022-23)

King (4-6, 2.77 ERA) makes his 47th appearance and 7th start. He has notched a 1.15 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 87 2/3 IP

• Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 8 K in 5-0 loss at Boston Red Sox Thursday
• 2023 home stats: 2-3, 3.66 ERA in 39 1/3 IP in 2 starts and 22 relief appearances
• Career vs. Toronto: 2-1, 3.75 ERA in 36 IP

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Blue Jays at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:53 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Blue Jays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+145) | Yankees +1.5 (-175)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The Blue Jays have hit the moneyline in 29 of their last 45 road games (+8.20 units, 14% ROI).

Gausman’s season line is for real, and he has an excellent history against New York. He’s on his preferred 5-day rest (.649 OPS allowed career) heading into this turn and draws a scuffling Yankee offense. And of late, he has improved on his contact-allowed figures (fewer hard-contact and barreled balls).

King is a swingman who figures to give New York 4 or 5 innings, and that exposes a banged-up Yankee bullpen.

TAKE THE BLUE JAYS (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

More juice here, but a line watch might be in order for players willing to take on the run line favorite risk. A Toronto -1.5 +150 or higher would make for decent return.

Otherwise, PASS.

Over/Under

Numbers vs. expected. possible leverage factors, swing both ways. PASS.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (83-67) and New York Yankees (76-74) meet Tuesday as they open a 3-game AL East set in the Bronx. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 4-3

Toronto has won 3 straight games, and that streak comes on the heels of a 4-game losing sked Sept. 11-14. Across that 7-game span, Blue Jays batters have scuffled, logging a .557 OPS while scoring just 2.71 runs per game.

New York is 6-2 over its last 8 games. Yankee pitching has compiled a 2.92 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over that stretch.

Tuesday’s contest at Yankee Stadium marks the 1st of 6 remaining meetings between Toronto and New York.

Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt

Kikuchi (9-6, 3.81 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 153 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 10-0 home loss vs. Texas Rangers Wednesday
• 2023 Road stats: 4-3, 3.74 ERA in 59 1/3 IP across 15 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Yankees: 2-1, 3.28 ERA in 24 2/3 IP

Schmidt (9-8, 4.56 ERA) makes his 30th start and 31st appearance. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 146 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-5 win at Boston Red Sox Thursday
• 2023 Home stats: 4-5, 3.94 ERA in 77 2/3 IP across 15 starts and 1 relief apperance
• Only other career start vs. Toronto was on April 3:  5 2/3 IP, 3 R (0 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 8 K

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Blue Jays at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:43 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Blue Jays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Yankees -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+150) | Yankees +1.5 (-185)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

Peg Schmidt as being slightly underrated by his surface numbers. He has pitched through the extra traffic of a .316 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) and a .320 BABIP in inning lead-off situations which have extra leverage.

The host Yankees have shown better form of late, and they are 6-1 over their last 7 series openers. New York is also on its best platoon side when facing southpaws (.786 OPS).

Toronto owns a whiff-heavy .541 OPS over its last 6 games. The Bronx weather calls for an outward breeze at Yankee Stadium: advantage Schmidt and the New York bullpen as both get more ground balls than their Toronto counterparts.

TAKE THE YANKEES (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

More juice here, and much better value on the above play: PASS.

Over/Under

This one has a bit of an Under lean with the starters, but the offenses — slightly undercooked on both sides — and some overrated-ness for the Yankee ‘pen push things back the other way.

On a wind-blowing-out night, a PASS is most prudent.

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