Tag: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Mets odds predictions pick betting line spread

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (32-27) and New York Mets (30-29) close out a 3-game series in the Big Apple Sunday. First pitch from Citi Field is slated for 1:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-0

The Blue Jays look to sweep the Mets after winning 3-0 on Friday and 2-1 on Saturday. Toronto has won 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 games and held their opponents to just 8 runs over that span.

After sweeping the Philadelphia Phillies at Citi Field to start their 6-game homestand, the Mets have dropped their last 2 games and have only scored 1 run over their last 20 innings.

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Blue Jays at Mets projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Kodai Senga

Kikuchi (6-2, 4.47 ERA) makes his 12th start and 1st career start against the  Mets. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 56 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 4 K in a 7-2 home victory vs Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday
  • Day games this season: 3-0, 3.67 ERA, .278 Opponent BA, 11 ER in 5 starts (26 1/3 IP)
  • Has allowed at least 1 HR in 5 of his last 6 starts

Senga (5-3, 3.44 ERA) makes his 11th start and 1st career start vs. the Blue Jays. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 55 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 9 K in a 2-0 home victory vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
  • Home starts this season: 3-1, 1.20 ERA, .136 Opponent BA, 4 ER in 5 starts (30 IP)

Blue Jays at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mets -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-185) | Mets -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Mets 2

Moneyline

I’ll back the BLUE JAYS (+105) to finish the sweep at Citi Field on Sunday. Toronto is 10-5 in interleague games this season. The Mets are 8-14 against left-handed pitchers this season.

Run line/Against the spread

Even though I have Toronto securing the win, the Mets should keep this game competitive. That being said, taking the run line in favor of Toronto +1.5 (-185) isn’t advised at the current odds.

PASS.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-105)

This game will be a pitching duel for at least the 1st 5 innings. These two pitchers have been solid most of the season and that should continue on Sunday. The bullpens will be the determining factor on whether this game stays Under. The Blue Jays have been Under in 4 of their last 5 and the Mets have been Under in their last 4.

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Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (31-27) will play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the New York Mets (30-28) Saturday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 1-0.

On Friday, the Blue Jays secured a 3-0 victory over the Mets. Toronto has won 5 of its last 7 games, though, it is still 9 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays for 1st place in the AL East.

In Friday’s shutout loss, the lone bright spot for the Mets was RHP Justin Verlander striking out 8 batters and allowing only 1 earned run in a 117-pitch outing. Despite the loss, New York is only 3 1/2 games back of the Atlanta Braves for 1st place in the NL East.

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Blue Jays at Mets projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Berrios (5-4, 3.86 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 65 1/3 IP.

  • After allowing a combined 20 ER in his first 6 starts, he’s given up only 8 total ER in his last 5 starts.
  • Has notched 5-plus K’s in 8 of his first 11 starts.

Megill (5-3, 4.67 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 54 IP.

  • Has surrendered multiple ER in 9 of his first 11 starts.
  • Has also walked 2-plus batters in 9 of his first 11 starts.

Blue Jays at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+145) | Mets +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Blue Jays at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

After taking the first game of the series, I’ll back the BLUE JAYS (-115) on the road in Saturday’s interleague bout. Berrios has pitched better for Toronto in recent outings, recording a win in 3 of his last 5 starts.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

While I have the Blue Jays winning Saturday, the Mets should be able to keep this game within 2 runs. Wagering on New York’s run line isn’t worth the risk unless you can get it at -160 odds or better.

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Over/Under

All signs point toward UNDER 8.5 (+100) being the correct choice in this game. Berrios has been better in recent starts, and Toronto has produced 3 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 10 games.

The Blue Jays are 4-0-1 to the Under in their last 5 games overall, and the Mets are 4-0 to the Under in their last 4 games overall. Plus, the Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in New York.

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Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (30-27) open a 3-game series against the New York Mets (30-27) on Friday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since the Mets took 2 of 3 meetings in 2021

The Blue Jays defeated the Milwaukee Brewers 3-1 on Thursday to win the series 2-1. Toronto has gone 5-5 in its last 10 contests and is 9 1/2 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays for 1st place in the AL East.

The Mets beat the Philadelphia Phillies 4-2 Thursday to sweep the 3-game series. New York is now in 2nd place in the NL East with its recent success and is only 3 1/2 games back of the Atlanta Braves.

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Blue Jays at Mets projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Justin Verlander

Bassitt (5-4, 3.80 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 66 1/3 IP.

  • He’s allowed a combined 9 ER in his last 5 starts, including 7 ER last time out, after giving up a combined 19 ER in his first 6 turns
  • Has permitted 5 total HRs in his last 2 starts

Verlander (2-2, 4.80 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 30 IP.

  • Has allowed 6 ER in 2 of his last 3 outings
  • Owns a 4-6 record with a 4.29 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 8.3 K/9 in 15 career starts against the Blue Jays.

Blue Jays at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-175) | Mets -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

I’ll back the METS (-140) at home in Friday’s series opener. The Mets are 15-9 at home compared to the Blue Jays being 15-17 on the road.

New York is also 7-0 in its last 7 interleague home games against a right-handed pitcher.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Even though I have the Mets securing the win, the Blue Jays should keep this game competitive. That being said, taking the run line in favor of Toronto +1.5 (-175) isn’t advised at the current odds.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-105) is how I’d wager on the total despite Bassitt and Verlander’s issues with giving up runs in certain starts. The Blue Jays are 3-0-1 to the Under in their last 4 games overall and the Mets are 6-3-1 to the Under in their last 10 games overall.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (48-45) meet the New York Mets (51-43) Saturday for the second game of their three-game interleague set at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0.

LHP Hyun Jin Ryu is Toronto’s projected starter. Ryu is 9-5 with a 3.32 ERA (105 2/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 over 18 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-0, with 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 4 K Sunday against the Texas Rangers.
  • vs. Mets on the current roster: 1.39 FIP with a .226 batting average (BA), .223 wOBA, .318 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 25.4 K% and 86.7 mph exit velocity (EV) in 63 plate appearances (PA).

RHP Taijuan Walker takes the mound for the Mets. Walker is 7-3 with a 2.99 ERA (90 1/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 across 17 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 0 K Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • vs. Blue Jays on the current roster: 2.02 FIP with a .195 BA, .236 wOBA, .400 xSLG, 36.4 K% and 88.5 mph EV in 44 PA.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Blue Jays at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mets +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

This is a “good spot” for the BLUE JAYS (-120) because they are productive against right-handed pitching while the Mets struggle vs. lefties and have a 10-17 record when facing lefty starters this season.

For instance, Toronto’s lineup is top 3 in wRC+, wOBA and OPS and has the eighth-highest hard-contact rate vs. right-handed pitching.

Furthermore, New York’s lineup is below-average to bad in wRC+, wOBA and OPS against left-handed pitching, and Ryu has pitched well when visiting New York. Ryu is 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA (27 IP, 3 ER), 0.70 WHIP and 7.8 K/BB rate in four career starts at Citi Field.

Also, the Blue Jays have dominated interleague competition (13-3 overall record) whereas the Mets are just 6-7 when playing AL teams.

BET 1 unit on the BLUE JAYS (-120).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+135) for a tiny wager because Toronto is 12-4 ATS in interleague games (New York is 6-7 ATS) and the Blue Jays have the third-best cover rate as a road favorite at 11-8 ATS.

My hesitancy with Toronto’s run line is that New York is 7-2 ATS as a home underdog this year, the Blue Jays bullpen is a below-average unit across several advanced pitching metrics, and the Mets relievers are top tier.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-105) for a half unit because Ryu has been good in Citi Field, Walker has been lights out at home this year and the Mets are 2-7 O/U this season as home underdogs.

Walker is 4-0 at home this season with a 1.75 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.95 WHIP and 2.9 K/BB in eight starts.

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Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets preview: Odds, analysis and best bets

Analysis and picks for Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets matchup to help you make your best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (48-44) visit the New York Mets (50-43) Friday to open a three-game series at Citi Field. First pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Blue Jays LHP Steven Matz (8-4. 4.43 ERA) faces the team that drafted him in 2009 for the first time. He enters his 17th start of 2021 with a 1.33 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 81 1/3 IP.

  • Tossed 5 scoreless innings with 3 H, 0 BB and 2 K in Toronto’s 10-0 win over the Texas Rangers Sunday.
  • Career 3.81 ERA with 52 home runs allowed over 302 1/3 IP, spanning 53 starts and three relief appearances at Citi Field.

Mets RHP Tylor Megill (0-0, 2.63 ERA) has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 across 24 innings, spanning five starts.

  • Soon-to-be 26-year-old made his MLB debut June 23 and has been a steady feature in the rotation. He went a season-high 6 innings Saturday against the Pittsburgh Pirates and didn’t allow a walk or a run.
  • Exit velocity and rates of fly balls and hard contact are right around the MLB average, while his ground-ball rate is well above average.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Blue Jays at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays +1.5 (-190) | Mets -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Blue Jays 7, Mets 4

Money line (ML)

Back the BLUE JAYS (+100) as short even-money underdogs. Matz didn’t allow a walk in any of his last three starts and will be able to contain a Mets lineup with a ninth-ranked 9.5% walk rate but 23rd-ranked OPS against left-handed pitching.

Toronto has an MLB-high .794 team OPS against righties.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+165) is the play on the alternate run line with the lines shifting early Friday morning.

The Jays have the advantage in the starting pitching splits and should be able to extend their lead once the game is turned over to the bullpens.

The Mets ‘pen is 28th in baseball with a 5.12 aggregate xFIP over the last 14 days, while Blue Jays relievers have combined for an eighth-ranked 4.09 xFIP despite suffering from an otherworldly 28.6% HR/FB rate.

Over/Under (O/U)

Take the OVER 8.5 (-125) alternate line. Neither starter has consistently been going deep into games and both bullpens are exploitable.

Toronto is second in MLB with 5.37 runs scored per nine innings on the season and New York’s offense has woken up with 7 or more runs scored in four of the last five games.

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