Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (13-12) and Kansas City Royals (15-10) wrap up a 4-game series at Kauffman Stadium Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals lead 2-1

Kansas City, which was a +119 home underdog, won 3-2 in the 3rd game of the series Wednesday and the Under (8.5) hit. Royals RHP Alec Marsh and 4 relievers held the Blue Jays to just 6 hits.

Toronto has lost back-to-back games for the 1st time since a 2-game skid from April 10-12. The Blue Jays have yet to lose 3 consecutive games this season.

Blue Jays at Royals projected starters

RHP Jose Berríos vs. LHP Cole Ragans

Berríos (4-0, 0.85 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 31 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-2 victory at San Diego Padres Saturday
  • Career vs. Royals: 7-5, 4.72 ERA (124 IP, 65 ER), 1.38 WHIP in 21 starts — went 1-1 vs. them in 2023 (12 2/3 IP, 10 ER)

Ragans (0-2, 4.32 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 25 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 1 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 9-7 home loss vs. Baltimore Orioles Saturday
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 3.18 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 1 H, 6 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 5-2 road loss Sept. 10, 2023

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Blue Jays at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Royals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+165) | Royals +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blue Jays at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 3, Royals 2

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-105) are 5-0 in Berríos’ starts and have not lost 3 straight games at any point this season. Berríos has not given up a run in 3 consecutive outings and should shut down the Royals, who have scored 3 or fewer in 4 straight games.

BET BLUE JAYS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

The Royals will likely cover the run line, but it’s a losing proposition to lay -200 on teams long term.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Under has hit in the 1st 3 games of this series and in 4 straight for the Royals. Neither offense has been impressive lately. Kansas City and Toronto are 22nd and 23rd, respectively, in runs over the last 3 games. Having Berríos on the mound for Toronto shouldn’t hurt this bet either.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (13-11) and Kansas City Royals (14-10) play the 3rd game of a 4-game series at Kauffman Stadium Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Royals beat the Blue Jays 3-2 Tuesday, closing as +108 underdogs. They scored all 3 in the 5th inning. Kansas City snapped a 3-game losing streak with the win and pushed its home record to 10-5. The Royals are 14-10 on the run line this season.

The Blue Jays won 5-3 to open the series Monday but struggled offensively Tuesday. They have won 3 of their last 5 games, all on the road. Toronto is 7-8 on the road and 13-11 on the run line this season.

Blue Jays at Royals projected starters

RHP Yariel Rodriguez vs. RHP Alec Marsh

Rodriguez (0-0, 2.35 ERA) makes his 3rd start. The rookie has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 15.3 K/9 in 7 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-1 road win over San Diego Padres Friday
  • Blue Jays are 2-0 in his starts
  • Previously played with the Chunichi Dragons in Japan’s Central League

Marsh (3-0, 3.22 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 22 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 9-4 victory vs. Baltimore Orioles Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-0, 2.61 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 3 ER — 0 HR), 11 H, 3 BB, 9 K, .350 opponent slugging percentage in 2 starts
  • Royals are 4-0 in his starts

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Blue Jays at Royals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Royals +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+126) | Royals +1.5 (-152)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -114 | U: -106)

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Blue Jays at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

BET ROYALS (+108).

While both Marsh and Rodriguez have been strong options for their team, the latter has only pitched 7 2/3 innings through 2 starts, which suggests the Blue Jays bullpen will be more active in this game. Toronto’s relievers rank 26th in ERA.

The Blue Jays have lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring a combined 10 runs in those. Kansas City is 6-4 as a home underdog. With those trends in mind, back ROYALS (+108).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Royals are too expensive here as run-line underdogs, and the preferred play for the home side is on the moneyline. Similarly, the Blue Jays are too risky as favorites.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-106).

Both pitchers have been strong for their respective teams this season, and both teams have also recently trended toward the Under. The Royals are 8-15-1 O/U on the season and 2-7 O/U in their last 9 games.

The Blue Jays have gone Under in both of Rodriguez’s starts and are 10-14 O/U on the season. They have gone Under in 4 of their last 5, holding their opponent to 3 or fewer in 4 of those 5.

Back UNDER 8.5 (-106).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (13-10) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (13-10) to Kauffman Stadium Tuesday. First pitch in the 2nd game of the 4-game series is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 1-0

The Royals lost 5-3 to the Blue Jays in the series opener Monday, closing as +108 underdogs. They have lost 3 in a row, dropping 2 of 3 to the Baltimore Orioles in the prior series. Kansas City won 8 of its 1st 10 at home and is 9-5 at Kauffman Stadium this season.

The Blue Jays, after starting their season 4-6, have turned things around, winning 3 of their last 4 and 7 of their last 9. They are coming off a series against the San Diego Padres, winning 2 of 3 on the road. Toronto is 7-7 straight up on the road this season.

Blue Jays at Royals projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Michael Wacha

Gausman (0-2, 8.16 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10 K/9 in 14 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 6-4 loss vs. New York Yankees Wednesday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-1, 7.27 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 14 H, 3 BB, 7 K, .513 opponent’s slugging percentage (SLG) in 2 starts

Wacha (1-2, 3.75 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 24 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 2-1 loss at Chicago White Sox Wednesday
  • 2024 home stats: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 1 start, a 3-0 victory vs. White Sox April 6
  • 2023 home splits: 10-3, 2.62 ERA (79 IP, 23 ER — 8 HR), 66 H, 24 BB, 79 K in 14 starts

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Blue Jays at Royals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -122 (bet $122 to win $100) | Royals +104 (bet $100 to win $104)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+136) | Royals +1.5 (-164)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Blue Jays at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

BET ROYALS (+104).

Kansas City is 7-7 straight up as an underdog, which is the 11th-best underdog record in MLB. It is also 5-4 straight up as a home underdog, which sits as the 6th-best win record in that situation.

The Royals have struggled as of late, but they have allowed just 14 runs in the 4 starts by Wacha this season. The Blue Jays have allowed 27 runs in Gausman’s 4 starts. Toronto has given up at least 6 runs in 9 of its 23 games and has struggled defensively.

Given the price on the Kansas City moneyline, back ROYALS (+104).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s just not much value here. The Blue Jays are too risky as favorites, while the Royals are far too expensive as run-line underdogs. Ultimately, play the moneyline here regardless.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (+100).

The Blue Jays have scored at least 4 runs in 5 of their last 6 games and at least 5 runs in 4 of those. They have gone Over in 3 of their last 6 as well. They are 4-0 O/U in Gausman’s starts.

The Royals might be just 8-14-1 O/U on the season, but they have allowed at least 5 runs in 3 straight games and scored 7 or more in 2 of their last 4. They are 2-2 O/U in their last 4.

Back OVER 8.5 (+100).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (3-3) and the Kansas City Royals (1-5) wrap up a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch at Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead the series 2-1 in 2023 and won the series 5-2 in 2022.

The Blue Jays snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 4-1 win in Tuesday’s contest. Toronto had allowed an average of 7.8 runs per game across the first 4 games of the season — including 9 runs in 3 of them — but has allowed just 1 total run in the past 2 games after recording a 3-0 shutout on Wednesday.

The Royals exploded for 9 runs in the series opener with the Jays, but Kansas City has already been shut out 3 times through the first 6 games. The Royals are dead-last in scoring with 14 runs, hitting an awful .155 with just 11 extra-base hits.

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Blue Jays at Royals projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Jordan Lyles

Gausman (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He conceded 3 R (all unearned) on 8 H and 1 BB with 7 K across 6 IP in a hard-luck loss on the road against the St. Louis Cardinals Saturday.

  • Went 8-3 with a 2.30 ERA and 110 K with just 5 HR allowed across 94 IP in 15 road starts in 2022.
  • Allowed 2 ER on 7 H and 2 BB with 6 K across 6 IP in a loss at home against the Royals on July 14, 2022, his only start against K.C. last season.

Lyles (0-1, 1.69) makes his 2nd start of the season. He allowed 2 R (1 ER) on 5 H and 2 BB with 2 K across 5 1/3 IP in an 86-pitch appearance Saturday against the Minnesota Twins.

  • Posted a 5-3 record and 3.47 ERA with 55 K and just 6 HR allowed across 83 IP, including 1 complete game, in 14 home starts as a member of the Baltimore Orioles in 2022.
  • Faced the Jays 3 times in 2022, going 2-1 with a 5.63 ERA with 5 HR allowed in 16 IP

Blue Jays at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Royals +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (-115) | Royals +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Royals 2

Moneyline

The Blue Jays (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s too expensive on a team that has struggled to score runs lately. Toronto has posted just 7 total runs in the past 2 games and is averaging just 3.4 runs per game (RPG) across its last 5 outings since posting 10 runs in the regular-season opener last Thursday.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-115) are a much better play on the run line. Toronto has cashed on the run line as a favorite in the past 2 games.

The Royals have been blanked 3 times in 6 games so far, and Kansas City has lost by 2 or more runs in each of its 5 losses.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-105) is the lean.

Again, Kansas City has been shut out 3 times and is hitting a collective .155 and Toronto has struggled to plate runs consistently, averaging 3.4 RPG across the past 5 outings. The Under has hit in the past 2 games for the Jays, while the Royals have posted just 1 run in those contests.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (2-3) and Kansas City Royals (1-4) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set Wednesday at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Blue Jays won as -166 favorites 4-1 as the Under (10.5) hit Tuesday. 3B Matt Chapman finished 3-for-4 with a double as Toronto ended its 3-game skid.

The Royals scored just 1 run Tuesday after plating a combined 13 in their 2 previous games. Kansas City held a brief 1-0 lead after DH Franmil Reyes homered in the 2nd inning.

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Blue Jays at Royals projected starters

RHP Alek Manoah vs. RHP Zack Greinke

Manoah (0-0, 13.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 3.30 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 3 1/3 IP.

  • 2022: 16-7 with a 2.24 ERA (0.99 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9, 8.2 K/9 in 196 2/3 IP)
  • Career vs. the Royals: 3-0 with a 0.45 ERA (20 IP, 1 ER) in 3 starts

Greinke (0-1, 3.38 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 5 1/3 IP.

  • 2022: 4-9 with a 3.68 ERA (1.34 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9, 4.8 K/9 in 137 IP)
  • Career vs. Toronto: 5-5 with a 4.08 ERA (81 2/3 IP, 37 ER) in 15 appearances (13 starts)

Blue Jays at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:19 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Royals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (-110) | Royals +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blue Jays at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Royals 3

Moneyline

PASS.

Manoah should bounce back from a disappointing outing at the St. Louis Cardinals last time out and lead Toronto (-185) to a win, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Blue Jays should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-110).

Greinke is in the twilight of his career and has struggled vs. the Blue Jays. Toronto is 2nd in hits per game (10.6) and should be able to attack Greinke early to secure a multiple-run lead. It is unlikely that Manoah will get blown up for a 2nd straight game and the Blue Jays should be able to capitalize on their clear pitching advantage.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

The Over is 4-1 in Toronto’s last 5 games and 9-3 in Kansas City’s last 12. The Blue Jays should be able to make a lot of contact off Greinke early and continue their hot hitting as the Over hits Wednesday.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (1-2) and Kansas City Royals (0-3) open a 4-game set Monday at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023 (Blue Jays won last season’s series 5-2)

The Blue Jays lost as +105 underdogs 9-4 at the St. Louis Cardinals Sunday and lost the series 2-1. Toronto was momentarily down just 1 run in the top of the 2nd after C Danny Jansen and 3B Matt Chapman drove in runs to make it 4-3.

The Royals lost as +125 home underdogs 7-4 vs. the Minnesota Twins Sunday and were swept in the series 3-0. Kansas City had previously scored 0 runs on the season before plating 4 Sunday.

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Blue Jays at Royals projected starters

RHP José Berríos vs. RHP Brady Singer

Berríos (12-7, 5.23 ERA in 2022) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.42 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 172 IP in 2022.

  • Last start: Win at the Baltimore Orioles Oct. 3, 2022 (ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 6 IP)
  • Career vs. the Royals: 6-4 with a 4.45 ERA (111 1/3 IP, 55 ER) in 19 starts

Singer (10-5, 3.23 ERA in 2022) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.14 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 153 1/3 IP in 2022.

  • Last start: Loss at the Cleveland Guardians Sep. 27, 2022 (6 ER, 7 H, BB, 6 K in 5 2/3 IP)
  • Only career start vs. Toronto: Win June 8, 2022 (3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 5 IP)

Blue Jays at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Royals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) | Royals +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

BET ROYALS (+105).

Kansas City showed signs of life Sunday after scoring 0 runs in its 1st 2 games of the season. Toronto was dominated in its series at St. Louis and was somewhat lucky to win the opener 10-9 after scoring 5 runs in the final 3 innings. Singer looked good in his only career start vs. Toronto, while Berríos gave up 4 ER in 1/3 IP in his 1st start last season. Kansas City should get its 1st win Monday vs. a Blue Jays team that is off to a slow start.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Kansas City +1.5 (-160) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Royals should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or total instead.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

Kansas City’s offense should continue trending upward after a horrible start in its 1st 2 games. While Toronto’s offense has been inconsistent to start the season, Berríos on the mound should help the Over hit as he struggled with command last season. If Berríos has another disappointing start to the season, and Kansas City’s offense picks up where it left off Sunday, these teams should have no problem going over the total.

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