Tag: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Toronto Blue Jays (35-41) and Cleveland Guardians (48-26) finish a 3-game series Sunday with 1st pitch from Progressive Field set for 1:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cleveland leads 3-2

Cleveland picked up the 6-3 win over Toronto Saturday while covering as a -135 home favorite.  RHP Ben Lively got the win with 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 4 K.

Toronto has dropped each of its last 5 games while Cleveland is on a 4-game win streak.

Blue Jays at Guardians projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Kikuchi (4-6, 3.65 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 81 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 7-3 loss vs. the Boston Red Sox on Monday
• Career vs. Cleveland: 0-2, 2.45 ERA (33 IP, 9 ER), 20 H, 10 BB, 35 K in 5 starts

McKenzie (3-4, 4.48 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 70 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 2 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 0 K in an 8-5 loss vs. the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday
• Career vs. Toronto: 1-2, 3.20 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 14 H, 4 BB, 13 K in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:17 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) | Guardians +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Blue Jays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

BET GUARDIANS (-115).

Cleveland enters on a 4-game win streak while Toronto is on a 5-game skid. The Guardians are also 6-4 in their last 10 while the Blue Jays are 3-7 across that same span.

Cleveland is 6-4 in its last 10 vs. Toronto and only 1 of those Blue Jays’ wins vs. the Guardians have come in Cleveland.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I fully expect the Guardians to cover here as +1.5 (-190) underdogs, but their odds are better on the moneyline.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9 (-120).

The Under is 2-0-2 in Toronto’s last 4 road games and is 5-3-2 in its last 10 overall. For Cleveland, the Under is 5-4-1 in its last 10 games. The Under has also hit in 3 of the last 4 Toronto-Cleveland meetings in Cleveland, being 6-3-1 in the last 10 matchups overall.

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The Cleveland Guardians (46-26) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (35-39) to Progressive Field Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-1

The Blue Jays and Guardians recently played their only other series of the year June 14-16. Toronto lost 3-1 to start the series then won 5-0 and closed it out with a 7-6 win. It is coming off a series in which it was swept by the Boston Red Sox, losing 7-3 twice and 4-3 as well. The Blue Jays are just 3-6 over their last 9. They are 17-20 this season on the road.

The Guardians have been among the best home teams in the majors, having won 23 of 32 at Progressive Field. They beat the Seattle Mariners in 2 of 3 games prior to this series but are still just 2-3 over their last 5. Cleveland is 18-14 against the spread (ATS) at home.

Blue Jays at Guardians projected starters

RHP Yariel Rodriguez vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco

Rodriguez (0-1, 4.11 ERA) makes his 5th start. The rookie has a 1.76 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 15 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 6 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 6-5 home win over Kansas City Royals April 29
• 2024 road stats: 0-1, 4.50 ERA (8 IP, 4 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 2 starts
• Has never faced Guardians before

Carrasco (2-6, 5.80 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 59 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 5-0 road loss to Blue Jays Saturday
• 2024 home splits: 1-3, 5.95 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 6 HR, 4.9 K/9 in 8 starts
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 4-2, 5.06 ERA (53 1/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 in 9 starts and 1 relief appearance

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +104 (bet $100 to win $104) | Guardians -122 (bet $122 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) | Guardians +1.5 (-188)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blue Jays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

BET GUARDIANS (-122).

The Guardians have been strong at home and won 5 of their last 8 games at Progressive Field. Cleveland is 6-4 in its last 10 overall and 28-17 following a win.

Toronto has been the 3rd-worst team in MLB as an underdog at just 8-20 straight up. Considering those trends, back GUARDIANS (-122).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no value here either way. As run-line favorites, the Blue Jays are far too risky, while the Guardians are far too expensive as run-line underdogs. Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-115).

The Guardians are 1-3 O/U in Carrasco’s last 4 starts. They’re 5-7 O/U in their last 12 overall, scoring 5 or fewer runs in 7 games over that span.

The Blue Jays are 32-40-2 O/U on the season. They’ve gone 3-5-1 O/U in their last 9 games and scored 4 or fewer runs 7 times during that stretch. With that in mind, back UNDER 9 (-115).

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The Toronto Blue Jays (65-51) and the Cleveland Guardians (55-60) wrap up a 4-game series at Progressive Field Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-1

The Blue Jays took a 1-0 lead in the top of the 1st inning Wednesday, and that was the only run the game would see. Toronto won 1-0 for a 2nd win in 3 tries, turning the tables after Cleveland won a 1-0 battle Tuesday. The Under has cashed in all 3 games in this series and is 12-1 in the past 13 games overall for Toronto.

The Guardians have managed a total of just 18 runs across the past 9 games, or 2.0 runs per game (RPG). It’s no surprise Cleveland is just 2-7 during that offensive drought and that the Under is 7-1 in its last 8 outings.

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Blue Jays at Guardians projected starters

RHP Alek Manoah vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard

Manoah (3-8, 5.72 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 6.0 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 83 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 7-3 road win vs. Boston Red Sox Friday
• 2023 road splits: 3-3, 3.94 ERA (48 IP, 21 ER – 6 HR), .225 opponent batting average (OBA) in 9 starts

Syndergaard (1-5, 6.75 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 66 2/3 innings for the Guardians and Los Angeles Dodgers.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 7-4 home loss vs. Chicago White Sox Saturday in his home debut for Cleveland
• 2023 home splits: 1-3, 4.93 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 21 ER – 10 HR), .283 OBA in 7 starts

Blue Jays at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Guardians +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+120) | Guardians +1.5 (-145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Blue Jays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Guardians 4

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-135) are worth playing in the series finale, although we should see a lot more offense with a pair of shaky pitchers on the bump.

Manoah actually showed some shades of his 2022 AL Cy Young finalist form last time out in Boston, and he has been somewhat serviceable on the road. He should be able to keep down a toothless Cleveland offense.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-145) are worth a look on the run line as home ‘dogs.

Cleveland has won each of the past 4 games outright as an underdog and is 8-0 on the run line in the past 8 as a ‘dog.

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Over/Under

UNDER 9 (+100) is the lean, and you would think this is a slam-dunk play after a pair of 1-0 games the past 2 days.

However, Manoah has been very giving this season and was even banished to the minors for a month to straighten himself out. Syndergaard is also a shell of his former self. Look for both of these pitchers to be giving, although I do not expect to see a double-digit run total, either. Unlike the past couple of days, you’ll actually have to sweat out the Under here.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (64-51) and the Cleveland Guardians (55-59) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game series at Progressive Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 1-1

The Guardians turned the tables in a 1-0 win Tuesday after dropping the opener 3-1 on Monday. The Under has easily cashed in each of the 2 games of the series so far as runs have been at a premium.

Toronto saw its 4-game winning streak snapped with Tuesday’s shutout loss, its first time going without a run since July 19 at home against the San Diego Padres. The Jays hadn’t been shut out on the road since July 8 in Detroit. The Under is on an 11-1 run for Toronto dating back to July 25.

The Guardians halted a 3-game losing skid with Tuesday’s win, but they’re still just 2-6 across their past 8 games. Cleveland is averaging just 2.3 runs per game (RPG) across its last 11 games, including just 2 total runs in the first 2 outings of the series. The Under has cashed at an 8-2-1 clip in the past 11 contests.

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Blue Jays at Guardians projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. LHP Logan Allen

Gausman (8-6, 3.20 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 in 132 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 6-1 home loss vs. Baltimore Orioles Thursday
• 2023 road splits: 5-4, 3.75 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 26 ER – 8 HR), .248 opponent batting average (OBA) in 11 starts

Allen (5-4, 3.65 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 86 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 4-2 home win vs. Chicago White Sox Friday
• 2023 home splits: 2-2, 4.00 ERA (45 IP, 20 ER – 6 HR), .272 OBA in 8 starts

Blue Jays at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Guardians +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+105) | Guardians +1.5 (-130)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Blue Jays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-155) are worth backing as moderate favorites in this 3rd installment of the series.

Gausman has been rather even-handed this season, although he is coming off his shortest outing since May 4. He looks to rebound in a big way, and he did just that after that May outing, spinning 6 scoreless innings. Look for Gausman to bounce back and for the Jays’ offense to get untracked against the southpaw Allen.

Run line/Against the spread

The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+105) are a decent value at plus odds.

While Toronto failed to cover the run line as a favorite in Tuesday’s game, it did cover in the series opener Monday and is 6-6 on the run line as a favorite across the past 12 games.

On the flip side, the Guardians are just 2-4 in the past 6 games on the run line as underdogs.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-110) is the best play on the board as these teams have managed a total of just 5 runs in the first 2 games of the series.

The Under has connected in 3 in a row for Cleveland, in 6 of its last 7 outings and 8 of its previous 11 contests overall.

As far as Toronto is concerned, the Under is on an 11-1 run. Keep thumping the Under until both of these teams see their bats wake up.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (64-50) and the Cleveland Guardians (54-59) play the 2nd contest of a 4-game series at Progressive Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays won the 1st meeting by a 3-1 score Monday

The Blue Jays and Guardians were scoreless until the top of the 8th inning Monday when 2B Cavan Biggio broke the tie with a 2-run homer. It was the 4th consecutive victory for Toronto. The Under cashed, and the total has now gone low in 10 of the past 11 games for the Jays.

The Guardians have dropped 3 in a row, and 6 of the past 7 games overall. Cleveland’s offense has struggled, averaging just 2.4 runs per game (RPG) across the past 10 outings overall, a span which has seen the Under go 7-2-1.

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Blue Jays at Guardians projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Tanner Bibee

Kikuchi (9-3, 3.67 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 115 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-1 home win vs. Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
• 2023 road splits: 4-1, 3.86 ERA (63 IP, 27 ER – 13 HR), .280 opponent batting average (OBA) in 12 starts

Bibee (7-2, 3.14 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 94 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 3-2 road loss vs. the Houston Astros Wednesday
• 2023 home splits: 4-1, 1.96 ERA (46 IP, 10 ER – 1 HR), .182 OBA in 8 starts

Blue Jays at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:48 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Guardians +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) | Guardians +1.5 (-160)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Blue Jays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 3, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (+105) are a solid value at home as short ‘dogs with Bibee on the bump.

He has been a Godsend for Tito Francona, winning 7 of his 9 decisions while posting a minuscule 1.96 ERA and .182 OBA in 46 IP across 8 home outings. The 24-year-old rookie sizzled in July, posting a 3-0 record with a 1.78 ERA across 30 1/3 IP over 5 starts.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-160) aren’t priced out of line if you can’t trust Cleveland straight up and would like a little bit of insurance.

Cleveland has covered in 5 of the past 9 games overall as an underdog, winning 3 of those games outright.

The Blue Jays won and covered the run line as a favorite in the series opener, but Toronto is just 4-5 in the past 9 on the run line.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-110) is the lean, mainly based upon Cleveland and its toothless offense.

The Guardians have managed just 2.4 RPG across the past 10 games overall, with the Under going 7-2-1 during the stretch.

And the Blue Jays have hit the Under in 10 of the past 11 games, while going 4-1 in the past 5 outings on the road.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (63-50) and the Cleveland Guardians (54-58) open a 4-game series at Progressive Field Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Guardians won season series 5-2 in 2022

The Blue Jays picked up a 3-game sweep of the Boston Red Sox over the weekend, winning the finale 13-1 on Sunday and outscoring the Red Sox 25-8 at Fenway Park. Toronto entered the series 0-7 this season against Boston. Toronto is 9-4 across the past 13 games overall and is 6-1 in its last 7 road outings.

The Guardians lost 5-3 Sunday and 7-4 Saturday to the Chicago White Sox as it failed to deliver a knockout punch after a 4-2 series-opening victory on Friday.

However, there were some punches thrown Saturday. Cleveland star 3B Jose Ramirez got into a fight with White Sox SS Tim Anderson, and both are likely facing a lengthy suspension. MLB is still reviewing the incident, so stay tuned. Ramirez, who leads the team with 18 HR, was in the lineup as the DH Sunday.

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Blue Jays at Guardians projected starters

LHP Hyun Jin Ryu vs. RHP Gavin Williams

Ryu (0-1, 7.20 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He made his season debut Tuesday against the Baltimore Orioles after recovering from elbow surgery.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 13-3 home loss vs. the Orioles Tuesday
• 2022 road splits: 1-0, 2.79 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 3 ER – 1 HR), .270 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts

Williams (1-3, 3.38 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 42 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 2-0 road loss vs. the Houston Astros Tuesday
• 2023 home splits: 1-1, 4.21 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 12 ER – 4 HR), .273 OBA in 5 starts

Blue Jays at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:33 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Guardians +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+125) | Guardians +1.5 (-155)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Blue Jays at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Guardians 4

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-130) are worth a look, as Toronto heads to The Land with a head of steam after sweeping the BoSox in Beantown.

The Guardians surprisingly were sellers at the MLB trade deadline, and they lost 2 of 3 games to the lowly White Sox over the weekend. Cleveland has a penchant for making trash look like treasure and is likely to make Ryu resemble his 2019 All-Star form rather than the rusty southpaw we saw last time out against Baltimore.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-155) are worth playing lightly, as they’re not priced out of line.

Williams has been a steadying force in a young and relatively inexperienced pitching rotation. He’ll keep the Guardians in it.

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Over/Under

AVOID, as I expect the run total to come down right on the number.

While Cleveland has cashed the Under in 4 of the past 5 games and has cashed low at a 6-2-1 clip across the past 9 games, it could pile up some decent offense against the shaky Ryu.

Meanwhile, we saw the Over cash Sunday in Toronto’s 13-1 rout in Boston, snapping a 9-0 run to the Under. Going low on the total might be tempting, but the pitching matchup makes that a rather risky proposition.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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