Toronto Blue Jays at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (68-56) and Cincinnati Reds (64-60) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 1-1

The Blue Jays won 4-3 as -131 road favorites in the 2nd game of the series Saturday. Blue Jays 2B Davis Schneider hit a tiebreaking solo HR in the 5th inning that stood as the winner in All-Star SS Bo Bichette‘s first MLB game since July 31.

Toronto is just 4-6 in its last 10 contests and is a half-game back of the Seattle Mariners for the final AL Wild Card spot.

The Reds are 5-5 in their last 10 contests and are tied with the Chicago Cubs for the final NL Wild Card spot and 3 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central.

Blue Jays at Reds projected starters

LHP Hyun Jin Ryu vs. RHP Hunter Greene

Ryu (1-1, 2.57 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 14 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 R (0 ER), 2 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 11-4 home victory vs. Cubs last Sunday
  • 2023 road stats: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (4 IP) in 1 start, a 3-1 victory at Cleveland Guardians on Aug. 7
  • Career vs. Reds: 5-2, 3.23 ERA (47 1/3 IP, 17 ER) in 8 starts — last faced Cincinnati in 2022

Greene (2-4, 3.93 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 12.3 K/9 in 73 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 10-3 victory at Houston Astros June 17
  • 2023 home stats: 0-3, 5.18 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 14 ER) in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 3-1 road loss May 21, 2022

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Blue Jays at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Reds -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+140) | Reds +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Blue Jays at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

The Reds should bounce back after losing a close one Saturday.

Ryu has looked good in back-to-back outings but has been unable to go deeper than 5 innings in his 3 starts this season.

Cincinnati has been the slightly better team lately and should be able to take this 3-game series at home, especially with Greene on the mound.

BET REDS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

Cincinnati +1.5 (-165) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Reds should win straight up.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

The Under is 8-2 in the Reds’ last 10 games and 7-3 in Toronto’s last 10.

Both pitchers have given up 0 earned runs in their last 2 starts and should help the Under hit once again in this series finale.

BET UNDER 9.5 (-120).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (64-59) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (67-56) to Great American Ball Park Saturday. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 1-0.

The Reds beat the Blue Jays 1-0 to open the 3-game series up Friday. Cincinnati has won 5 of its last 9 but lost 6 in a row before those 9. The Reds sit 2nd in the NL Central. Cincinnati is 31-32 at home this season.

The Blue Jays are 35-29 on the road and have a .545 win percentage but still sit 3rd in the AL East, 8 games behind the Baltimore Orioles. Toronto has won just 4 of its last 10 games.

Blue Jays at Reds projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. LHP Brandon Williamson

Bassitt (11-6, 3.95 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 145 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 6 K in a 6-5 home loss against the Chicago Cubs Saturday
  • 2023 road stats: 5-4, 5.19 ERA in 69 1/3 IP through 13 starts

Williamson (4-2, 4.33 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 81 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 6 K in a 4-2 road loss over the Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday
  • 2023 home stats: 2-1, 3.97 ERA in 45 1/3 IP through 8 starts

Blue Jays at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Reds +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+105) | Reds +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blue Jays at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

BET REDS (+120).

Cincinnati has been one of the streakiest teams in the MLB, and it is 37-26 following a victory. The Reds are also 19-21 straight up as a home underdog, which is the top half of the league in win percentage.

Cincinnati is also a league-best 19-11 in non-league games, which this is. The Blue Jays are 47-39 as a favorite as well which ranks in the bottom half of the league in terms of win percentage.

The Reds need to win to keep a playoff berth possible and should win at home, especially given Bassitt’s struggles on the road. Take REDS (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The value is on Cincinnati on the moneyline, and the Reds at +1.5 (-135) is a little too much juice compared to them to winning outright.

Similarly, the Blue Jays are just 33-53 on the run line as a favorite and aren’t worth a play at their current value. Ultimately pass on this total and play the Reds to win outright.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 10 (-115).

The Reds have gone Under in Williamson’s last 2 starts, and they have gone Under in 3 straight games. Cincinnati has also gone Under in 11 of its last 13 games.

Toronto has gone Under in 2 of its last 3 and is 49-68-6 O/U on the season. It has gone Under in 3 of the last 9 starts for Bassitt as well. Considering the trends for both teams take UNDER 10 (-115).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Toronto Blue Jays at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (67-55) and Cincinnati Reds (63-59) meet Friday to kick off a 3-game series. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Toronto won the 2022 series 2-1

Cincinnati won 7-2 as a -169 home favorite Wednesday vs. the Cleveland Guardians to earn a series split. 2B Matt McLain tallied 3 hits in 5 at-bats with 1 HR and 3 RBIs. The Reds are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 30-32 at home and tied for the final NL Wild Card spot.

The Blue Jays lost 9-4 as -135 home favorites Wednesday vs. the Philadelphia Phillies as they failed to sweep the 2-game set. That loss ended a 2-game win streak for Toronto, who is now 5-5 in its last 10. The Blue Jays are 35-28 on the road and hold the final AL Wild Card berth.

Blue Jays at Reds projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Brett Kennedy

Berrios (9-8, 3.53 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 140 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 R (4 ER), 9 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 6-2 home loss last Friday vs. Chicago Cubs
  • Career vs. Cincinnati: 0-2, 9.00 ERA (8 IP, 8 ER), 10 H, 5 BB, 7 K through 2 starts

Kennedy (1-0) is expected to make his 2nd start and 3rd appearance. He has allowed 4 ER on 6 H and 2 BB through 7 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 8-4 road win vs. Washington Nationals on July 4
  • Returned to majors in 2023 for first time since 2018

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Blue Jays at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:53 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Reds +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (-105) | Reds +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blue Jays at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 3, Reds 2

Moneyline

LEAN BLUE JAYS (-160).

The Blue Jays took 2 of 3 meetings from the Rays last season and are the slightly hotter team at 5-5 in their last 10 compared to the Reds’ 4-6. Toronto is also a very good road team, sitting at 7 games above .500 on the road while the Reds are 2 games below .500 at home.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN REDS +1.5 (-115).

These teams are pretty evenly matched so seeing the Blue Jays as such heavy favorites surprised me. I expect the Reds to give the Blue Jays some problems, especially with their home crowd behind them in the series opener. Two of last season’s meetings ended with a 1-run margin and we should expect the same here.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 10.5 (-115).

The Under cashed in all 3 meetings between these squads last season. The Under is also 8-2 in Cincinnati’s last 10 games, is 6-4 in Toronto’s last 10 contests and is 4-0-1 in Jose Berrios’ last 5 starts.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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