The Toronto Blue Jays (44-40) and Baltimore Orioles (28-58) will finish up a three-game series Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Alek Manoah is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 36 2/3 IP over seven starts.
Manoah is coming off back-to-back starts in which he didn’t allow an earned run while recording 16 K across 13 IP. The first of those two outings was against the Orioles, although his worst start of the year – where he allowed 5 ER on 4 HR in 3 1/3 IP – was right before this stretch and was also against Baltimore.
LHP Keegan Akin is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 0-4 with a 7.46 ERA, 1.68 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 41 IP over seven starts and four relief appearances.
It has been ugly for Akin lately as he’s had more earned runs allowed than IP in each of his last four starts. He has surrendered 23 ER in 17 IP while serving up six homers during that span.
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Blue Jays at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:11 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Blue Jays -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Orioles +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
- Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays -2.5 (+100) | Orioles +2.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Blue Jays 8, Orioles 4
Money line (ML)
Akin has been getting hit around and he’ll face a stiff test Thursday as the Blue Jays rank 6th in wRC+ vs lefties. Even so, this is a high price to pay, especially with Baltimore being at home. PASS on the money line and look for value elsewhere.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Jays have the highest implied run total of the day in this game. They have scored 6.1 runs per game in their last 18 contests and are facing a pitcher who has really been struggling lately. Back the BLUE JAYS -2.5 (+100) or knock it down to -1.5 (-140).
Over/Under (O/U)
The Toronto offense has been firing on all cylinders and it is set up for another big game Thursday evening. Meanwhile, Manoah has been solid in his first seven big-league starts, but also a little lucky, as he’s benefited from a .214 BABIP.
The total has gone over in 10 of Baltimore’s last 12 home games, and that trend should continue. OVER 10.5 (-115) is the side to take.
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