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The Toronto Blue Jays have continued to disappoint Canadian baseball fans and bettors alike. It was just 2 years ago that the Blue Jays had the 2nd-best preseason odds to win it all, but they were eventually swept in the AL Wild Card Series. They followed up that performance by, once again, getting swept in the Wild Card after going 89-73 in 2023.
Toronto’s mediocre offseason moves haven’t provided fans with much hope either. It lost DH Brandon Belt, 3B Matt Chapman, and RHP Jordan Hicks, and it added 3B Isiah Kiner-Falefa, DH Justin Turner, and DH Daniel Vogelbach. Let’s analyze the Toronto Blue Jays’ World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and AL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.
Toronto Blue Jays World Series odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, March 25, at 12:14 p.m. ET.
Odds: +1800 (bet $100 to win $1,800)
Toronto has the 8th-shortest odds to win the World Series.
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+320) are the favorites, followed by the Atlanta Braves (+450), Houston Astros (+700), and New York Yankees (+900). The 3 teams immediately ahead of the Blue Jays are the Baltimore Orioles (+1400), Texas Rangers (+1400), and Philadelphia Phillies (+1500).
At +1800, Toronto has an implied probability of winning it all of 5.26%.
I’m skeptical that the Blue Jays can even win a series, let alone the World Series.
PASS.
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Toronto Blue Jays playoff odds
Will they make the playoffs: Yes -154 | No +120
There’s no value on either side of this market with the way that it’s priced.
Do I believe the Blue Jays will make the playoffs? Yes because they have done it in back-to-back seasons. Do I want to risk $154 to win $100? Of course not, but I also don’t wan’t to bet against them and get just +120 on the return.
This market has a hold of 5.74%, compared to the standard 4.55% when both sides are -110.
PASS.
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Toronto Blue Jays win total
Over/Under: 86.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
This line makes complete sense.
The Blue Jays won 89 games last season and are expected to be slightly worse after losing Belt and Chapman.
However, I do see a scenario where SS Bo Bichette continues to improve and 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. bounces back after a somewhat disappointing season. The Blue Jays were 4th in MLB in team ERA last year, so they definitely have a strength they can lean on to win games.
Maybe the market is slightly overreacting to the lack of any big-name signings in the winter.
BET OVER 86.5 (-115).
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To win AL East Division
- New York Yankees +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Baltimore Orioles +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Toronto Blue Jays +380 (bet $100 to win $380)
- Tampa Bay Rays +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
- Boston Red Sox +1900 (bet $100 to win $1,900)
Toronto’s implied probability of winning the AL East is 20.83%. The last time the Blue Jays won this division was 2015. The Yankees and Orioles just have significantly better rosters, and this division is a challenge every year for Toronto.
PASS.
To win American League
Odds: +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000)
The Blue Jays have the 7th-shortest odds to win the American League.
The Astros (+360) are the favorites, followed by the Yankees (+450), Orioles (+650), and Rangers (+650). The Twins and Mariners (both +900) are directly ahead of Toronto.
I would be impressed if Toronto made the AL Wild Card Series and didn’t get swept for a 3rd straight season. Unfortunately, winning the American League and going to the World Series is out of the question for this version of the Blue Jays.
PASS.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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