QB Tom Brady, arguably the greatest quarterback of all time, has signed with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers after 20 years and six championships with the New England Patriots. What can be expected from Brady statistically as a 43-year-old in a new offensive system for the first time in his career? He’ll turn 43 in August.
Here we look at the season special bets from BetMGM for Brady’s play in 2020 and analyze how you should place your wager.
Odds: Tom Brady 2020 season specials
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, April 10 at 3:30 a.m. ET.
- 200+ passing yards in each of the 16 regular-season games: Yes +650
- 1+ touchdown pass in each of the 16 regular-season games: Yes +800
- Regular-season interceptions: Over 10.5 -132/Under 10.5 +110
Looking to wager on a Brady season special? Place a bet at BetMGM.
Passing yards best bet
For this bet, BetMGM only offers the “Yes +650” option. You either wager that he’ll throw for at least 200 passing yards in every regular-season game or you don’t. There is no line for a “No.”
For a historical look at Brady’s numbers, he had four games in 2019 with fewer than 200 passing yards, two in 2018, one in 2017 and one in 2016.
He is joining a Buccaneers team coached by Bruce Arians, known for prolific passing offenses. However, even the 2019 Buccaneers had four games with fewer than 200 net passing yards. When he coached the Arizona Cardinals from 2013-2017, there were 18 such games with at least two every season.
A “Yes” on Brady throwing for at least 200 in every single game would be doing so without recent precedent. ABSTAIN from this bet.
Touchdown passes best bet
As with the passing yards special above, there is only a “Yes” option for this wager: Recording at least one touchdown pass in each of the 16 regular-season games.
Brady has had nine zero-touchdown performances since 2016, with at least two every year.
Jameis Winston, the 2019 Bucs’ starting QB, had just one game with no touchdown passes last season.
When Arians coached the Cardinals, QB Carson Palmer had at least one game every season from 2013-2017 with no TD passes.
Historically, the best bet is to ABSTAIN.
Total interceptions best bet
The Over/Under for total regular-season interceptions is set at 10.5.
Brady has had fewer than 11 interceptions in five of the last six seasons. However, he will play in Arians’ offense, where interceptions are at a higher risk. Winston had 30 interceptions in 2019. Arians’ Cardinals teams threw no fewer than 12 interceptions from 2013-2017. As an offensive coordinator, only once has an Arians team thrown fewer than 11 interceptions in a season.
Here, your best bet is to take the OVER (-132).
New to betting? A $10 bet on Brady to throw more than 11 interceptions will win $7.58 if you win.
Want some action on any of these? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com..
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