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The Miami Marlins visit the Philadelphia Phillies Friday at Citizens Bank Park for a 7:05 p.m. ET start. We analyze the Marlins-Phillies MLB betting odds and lines, with betting advice and tips around the matchup.
Marlins at Phillies: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Aaron Nola
Alcantara in 2019: 6-14, 3.88 ERA in 32 starts.
- 2019 vs Phillies: 2-1, 3.86 ERA in 3 starts.
- Career vs Phillies: 3-1, 2.81 ERA in 4 starts.
Nola in 2019: 12-7, 3.87 ERA in 34 starts.
- 2019 vs Marlins: 0-2, 2.08 ERA in 3 starts.
- Career vs Marlins: 3-6, 3.28 ERA in 13 starts.
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Marlins at Phillies: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
The Phillies dealt with their fair share of COVID-19 cases a few weeks ago, including closer Hector Neris and 2B Scott Kingery. They should be ready to roll for Opening Day, though, and both teams will be close to full strength.
Marlins
- OF Lewis Brinson (illness) doubtful
Phillies
- RP Seranthony Dominguez (elbow) out
- OF Mikie Mahtook (positive COVID-19 test) out
Marlins at Phillies: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Phillies 4, Marlins 3
Moneyline (ML)
The MARLINS (+165) come into this game as underdogs, but stand a decent chance of pulling this one out with Alcantara on the mound. He thrived down the stretch in 2019, with a 2.78 ERA across his final 11 starts. A price of -189 on the Phillies is a little steep, even in their home park.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Marlins to win the game will turn a profit of $16.50 if they prevail.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
It’s probably best to AVOID this one altogether. The Marlins are a good bet to keep this one close, but taking the Moneyline, rather than +1.5 (-134), is probably the way to go. Meanwhile, the Phillies check in at -1.5 (+110), but look elsewhere for value.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 9 (-110) is the side to take here. This is a matchup of two strong pitchers, and one pretty weak offense in Miami. Both starters have fared well in the past against the team they’ll be facing today, and should continue that trend. Look for this game to be a rather low-scoring affair.
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