Wild Card Round: Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots odds, picks and bets bets

Previewing Saturday’s Wild Card Round showdown between the Tennessee Titans and New England Patriots, with betting odds, picks and bets.

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The Tennessee Titans (9-7) travel to Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (12-4) in the Wild Card Round of the 2019-20 NFL playoffs. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET Saturday. We analyze the Titans-Patriots odds and sports betting lines while providing NFL betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Titans at Patriots: Wild Card Round preview, betting trends and notes


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  • The Titans finished the season third in total rushing yards at 138.8 yards per game, but Derrick Henry won the league’s rushing title with 1,540 yards and 16 touchdowns.
  • The Titans have struggled mightily against the Patriots as of late, losing six-straight games in New England.
  • The Over hit in nine of the last 10 games for the Titans.
  • The Patriots finished the 2019 season as the league’s top-ranked defense, allowing just over 14 points per game.
  • The Patriots have won five straight playoff games. They’ve also won 10-straight playoff games at home with their last loss coming in 2012 against the Baltimore Ravens.
  • The Patriots have not fared well against the spread as of late, covering in just two of their previous six contests.

Titans at Patriots: Key injuries

Titans:

  • WR Adam Humphries (hamstring) out
  • S Dane Cruikshank (illness) questionable

Patriots:

  • WR Julian Edelman (knee) questionable

Titans at Patriots: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:10 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Patriots 24, Titans 17

Moneyline (?)

The PATRIOTS (-223) are 1-2 moneyline favorites in this contest, and while that doesn’t provide a ton of value to bettors, it’s still a wise bet. New England just doesn’t lose at home in the playoffs, and the Titans are a team that has some significant weaknesses on the defensive side of the ball. Take the Patriots on the moneyline.

Against the Spread (?)

The PATRIOTS (-4.5, -115) are slight favorites at home against a red-hot Titans team. Despite the recent play of QB Ryan Tannehill, it’s hard to bet against the Patriots at home in the playoffs.

New England has won 18 of its last 20 games at home and are incredible 6-1 against the spread in their previous seven games in January. There are going to be a lot of people betting Tennesee in this game, but avoid picking with the public and side with New England Saturday night.

Over/Under (?)

The total for this AFC matchup is set at 44.5, and that seems slightly high given the caliber of these two defenses. Tennesee is going to want to establish the run, and the Patriots are going to lean on their defense to keep this game close. Take the UNDER 44.5 (-110) here and expect a low-scoring game into the fourth quarter.

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